Florida State vs. Louisville

$98.1K Vol
2026年10月10日
Active
概率趋势
Louisville 62.5%
Florida State 37.5%

核心摘要

根据「Florida State vs. Louisville」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 39.5 以压倒性的 9,150% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 37.5 以 9,000% 位居第二，O/U 41.5 以 8,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $98.1K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 39.5 (9,150%)：O/U 39.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,150¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 37.5 (9,000%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 37.5 保持着 9,000% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,000¢。
  • O/U 41.5 (8,950%)：以 8,950% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 41.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,750%)、O/U 35.5 (8,700%)，以及 O/U 43.5 (8,400%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 4Q O/U 7.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 39.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
2O/U 37.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
3O/U 41.58950.0%$8028950¢-8850¢
42Q O/U 7.58750.0%—8750¢-8650¢
5O/U 35.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
6O/U 43.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
74Q O/U 7.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
8Louisville O/U 26.58000.0%—8000¢-7900¢
9Louisville O/U 23.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
10O/U 47.57850.0%$367850¢-7750¢
111H O/U 21.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
12O/U 45.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
132Q O/U 10.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
14Louisville O/U 29.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
15Florida State O/U 20.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
16O/U 49.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
17O/U 51.57050.0%$57050¢-6950¢
18Florida State 1H O/U 11.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
191Q O/U 7.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
204Q O/U 10.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
212Q O/U 13.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
223Q O/U 7.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
23Florida State O/U 29.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
241Q Moneyline6800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
25O/U 53.56700.0%$1556700¢-6600¢
262H O/U 21.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
27Florida State O/U 23.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
281H O/U 24.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
29Spread -0.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
30O/U 55.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
31Florida State O/U 32.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
32Spread -1.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
334Q O/U 13.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
34Spread -2.55850.0%$2565850¢-5750¢
351H O/U 27.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
36O/U 57.55750.0%$2.7K5750¢-5650¢
37Florida State O/U 26.55750.0%$6135750¢-5650¢
38Louisville 1H O/U 16.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
391H Spread -0.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
403Q O/U 10.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
411Q O/U 10.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
422Q O/U 16.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
432H O/U 24.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
44Florida State 2H O/U 11.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
451H Spread -1.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
46Louisville 2H O/U 12.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
47Florida State 1H O/U 13.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
48Louisville 1H O/U 14.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
49Spread -3.55150.0%$60.3K5150¢-5050¢
50Florida State 2H O/U 13.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
511H Spread -2.55150.0%$1575150¢-5050¢
521Q O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
532H Spread -1.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
54O/U 59.55050.0%$9.3K5050¢-4950¢
55Game Goes to Overtime5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
561H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
572H O/U 27.55000.0%$65000¢-4900¢
583Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Louisville 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Florida State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Florida State vs. Louisville: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Florida State vs. Louisville: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1192H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1202H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1211Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1232Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1243Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1253Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1264Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1274Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1284Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1292H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Louisville O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Florida State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1322Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1333Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1344Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Spread -20.54950.0%$1874950¢-4850¢
1361H O/U 30.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1372H O/U 33.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
138Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
139Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
140Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
141Louisville O/U 32.54900.0%$224900¢-4800¢
1422Q Spread -1.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
143Spread -4.54750.0%$4.8K4750¢-4650¢
1442H Spread -2.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
145O/U 61.54650.0%$1004650¢-4550¢
1464Q O/U 16.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
1472Q Spread -2.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
148Spread -5.54550.0%$3164550¢-4450¢
1491H Spread -3.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
1502Q O/U 19.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1513Q Spread -1.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1521Q Spread -0.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
153Spread -6.54350.0%$9734350¢-4250¢
1542H O/U 30.54350.0%$54350¢-4250¢
155Louisville 2H O/U 14.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
156Both Teams to Score Points - Q24350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
1571Q Spread -1.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
1582H Spread -3.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1594Q Spread -1.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1603Q Spread -2.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1614Q Spread -2.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
162O/U 63.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1631H Spread -5.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1641H Moneyline4100.0%$4.0K4100¢-4000¢
165Both Teams to Score Points - Q43950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1662Q Spread -3.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
167Louisville 2H O/U 16.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
168Spread -7.53800.0%$2433800¢-3700¢
169Florida State vs. Louisville3750.0%$10.9K3750¢-3650¢
170O/U 65.53750.0%$1383750¢-3650¢
171Louisville O/U 35.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
172Spread -0.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
173Spread -8.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1744Q O/U 19.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1752H Spread -5.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1761Q Spread -3.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1773Q Spread -1.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1783Q Spread -3.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
179Spread -1.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1801H Spread -1.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1812Q Spread -1.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1824Q Spread -3.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
183Spread -2.53400.0%$2563400¢-3300¢
184Both Teams to Score Points - Q33400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
1851Q Spread -1.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
186O/U 67.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
187Both Teams to Score Points - Q13350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
188Spread -10.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
189Florida State 1H O/U 15.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
190O/U 69.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1911Q O/U 16.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
192Spread -3.52850.0%$60.3K2850¢-2750¢
1933Q O/U 16.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
194Spread -13.52700.0%$942700¢-2600¢
195Spread -4.52600.0%$4.8K2600¢-2500¢
1961Q Spread -3.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
197O/U 71.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
198Spread -5.52450.0%$3162450¢-2350¢
199Spread -6.52350.0%$9732350¢-2250¢
200O/U 73.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
201Spread -14.52300.0%$8692300¢-2200¢
202Spread -16.52150.0%$4212150¢-2050¢
203O/U 75.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
2043Q O/U 19.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
2051Q O/U 19.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
206Spread -7.51850.0%$2431850¢-1750¢
207Spread -17.51850.0%$7101850¢-1750¢
208Spread -8.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
209Spread -10.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
210Spread -20.51450.0%$1871450¢-1350¢
211Spread -13.51100.0%$941100¢-1000¢
212Spread -14.51000.0%$8691000¢-900¢
213Spread -17.5640.0%$710640¢-540¢
214Spread -16.5550.0%$421550¢-450¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Louisville, scheduled for October 9 at 7:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 9, 2026

  • 09:27 AM
    SUsuperlxj
    $120.79

    Bought 257 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-4.5) at 0.47

  • 09:26 AM
    0X0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465
    $1,576.56

    Bought 3427.31 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-4.5) at 0.46

  • 09:26 AM
    ——
    $1.03

    Bought 2.19149 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-4.5) at 0.47

  • 09:26 AM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $203.34

    Bought 376.56 Florida State for Spread: Louisville (-4.5) at 0.54

  • 09:16 AM
    FAfayzan26
    $1.02

    Bought 1.64 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 08:16 AM
    ——
    $1.92

    Sold 3.14 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.61

  • 08:15 AM
    ——
    $1.95

    Bought 3.14516 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 06:56 AM
    0X0x7883DD16F31254193D8f3E89117814c643c8c0f9-1789456794731
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607844 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.51

  • 06:14 AM
    PCPCK
    $250.00

    Bought 403.225807 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 05:24 AM
    0X0x34FdC927C1C150012960454cFF4ECe24d4c5458C-1770404648271
    $10.00

    Bought 16.129031 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 04:58 AM
    FAfayzan26
    $1.02

    Bought 1.64 Louisville for Florida State vs. Louisville at 0.62

  • 04:53 AM
    ——
    $4.85

    Bought 9.509804 Under for Florida State vs. Louisville: O/U 59.5 at 0.51

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

491
0x4924…1188
事件盈亏
-$1,127.87
成交量
$48,682.04
持仓数
Florida State
MO2
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
+$847.81
成交量
$45,376.54
持仓数
LouisvilleUnderFlorida State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$231.13
成交量
$20,980.87
持仓数
LouisvilleUnderFlorida State
NO4
Nooserac
事件盈亏
-$44.92
成交量
$9,022.79
持仓数
Florida State
CH5
ChampGamp
事件盈亏
+$37.10
成交量
$7,419.35
持仓数
Louisville
FO6
Forecastication2
事件盈亏
+$3.78
成交量
$4,382.00
持仓数
OverLouisvilleOver+2
JA7
JAMJAMJAM4
事件盈亏
-$36.73
成交量
$3,673.00
持仓数
Florida State
HI8
hi774c
事件盈亏
+$51.61
成交量
$3,672.46
持仓数
LouisvilleFlorida State

常见问题

当前市场对「Florida State vs. Louisville」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 39.5 以 9,150% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 37.5（9,000%），以及 O/U 41.5（8,950%）。该市场总成交量已达 $98.1K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始