Florida State vs. Alabama

$102.3K Vol
2026年9月19日
Active
概率趋势
Alabama 91.5%
Florida State 8.5%

核心摘要

根据「Florida State vs. Alabama」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 30.5 以压倒性的 9,050% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 32.5 以 9,050% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 8,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $102.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 30.5 (9,050%):O/U 30.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 32.5 (9,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 32.5 保持着 9,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,050¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (8,850%):以 8,850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 34.5 (8,650%)、Spread -3.5 (8,600%),以及 Spread -5.5 (8,350%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 36.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 30.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
2O/U 32.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
3Spread -2.58850.0%8850¢-8750¢
4O/U 34.58650.0%8650¢-8550¢
5Spread -3.58600.0%8600¢-8500¢
6Spread -5.58350.0%8350¢-8250¢
7O/U 36.58350.0%8350¢-8250¢
8Spread -6.58250.0%8250¢-8150¢
9Spread -9.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
10O/U 42.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
112Q Spread -2.56950.0%6950¢-6850¢
121H O/U 20.56900.0%6900¢-6800¢
13Spread -11.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
14O/U 40.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
15Spread -12.56800.0%6800¢-6700¢
161H Spread -6.56800.0%6800¢-6700¢
17Spread -13.56600.0%$336600¢-6500¢
18O/U 44.56450.0%6450¢-6350¢
193Q Spread -2.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
204Q O/U 7.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
212H Spread -4.56300.0%6300¢-6200¢
221Q Spread -2.56300.0%6300¢-6200¢
23Spread -14.56200.0%6200¢-6100¢
24Spread -15.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
25O/U 46.56000.0%6000¢-5900¢
261H O/U 23.55950.0%5950¢-5850¢
271Q O/U 7.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
28Spread -16.55850.0%5850¢-5750¢
291H Spread -8.55800.0%5800¢-5700¢
301H Spread -9.55750.0%$1505750¢-5650¢
311Q Spread -3.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
323Q Spread -3.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
332H Spread -6.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
344Q Spread -2.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
35O/U 48.55450.0%$6.0K5450¢-5350¢
36Alabama O/U 34.55450.0%$10.0K5450¢-5350¢
37Spread -17.55350.0%$2.8K5350¢-5250¢
384Q O/U 10.55300.0%5300¢-5200¢
391H Spread -10.55100.0%$1575100¢-5000¢
402H O/U 20.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
414Q Spread -3.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
42Spread -18.55050.0%$12.3K5050¢-4950¢
432Q Spread -6.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
442H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
45Florida State O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
46Alabama O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
472Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
483Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
494Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
501H O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
511H O/U 32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
522H Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
532H Spread -11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
542H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
552H O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
562H O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
571Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
581Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
591Q O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
602Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
612Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
622Q Spread -9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
632Q O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
642Q O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
652Q O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
662Q O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
673Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
683Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
693Q O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
703Q O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
713Q O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
723Q O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
733Q O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
744Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
754Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
76Florida State O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
77Florida State O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
78Florida State O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
79Alabama O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
80Alabama O/U 31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81Alabama O/U 40.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
82Florida State 1H O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
83Florida State 1H O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
84Florida State 1H O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
85Alabama 1H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
86Alabama 1H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
87Alabama 1H O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
88Florida State 2H O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
89Florida State 2H O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
90Florida State 2H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91Alabama 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
92Alabama 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
93Alabama 2H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
94Spread -36.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
952H O/U 23.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
96Spread -34.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
973Q Spread -4.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
98Spread -19.54850.0%$10.8K4850¢-4750¢
991H O/U 26.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
1002H Spread -9.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
101O/U 50.54750.0%$2784750¢-4650¢
102Florida State O/U 14.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
1031Q O/U 10.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
1044Q O/U 13.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
1051H Spread -11.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
106Spread -20.54600.0%$7.4K4600¢-4500¢
1074Q Spread -4.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
108O/U 38.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
1091H Spread -13.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
110O/U 52.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
1112H Spread -7.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
1121Q O/U 13.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
113Alabama O/U 37.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
114Spread -21.54100.0%$114100¢-4000¢
115Spread -22.54050.0%$5124050¢-3950¢
1162Q Spread -7.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
117Spread -23.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
118Spread -40.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
119O/U 54.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
120Spread -24.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
121Spread -25.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
122O/U 56.53350.0%3350¢-3250¢
123Spread -26.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
124Spread -37.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
125Spread -27.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
1263Q Spread -7.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
1271Q Spread -4.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
128O/U 58.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
129Florida State O/U 20.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
1304Q O/U 16.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
1312Q O/U 20.52600.0%2600¢-2500¢
1321Q Spread -7.52550.0%2550¢-2450¢
1331Q O/U 16.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
134Spread -28.52400.0%2400¢-2300¢
135O/U 60.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
1364Q Spread -7.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
137Spread -30.52200.0%2200¢-2100¢
1381Q Moneyline2150.0%2150¢-2050¢
1394Q O/U 19.52050.0%2050¢-1950¢
140Spread -33.51850.0%1850¢-1750¢
141O/U 62.51800.0%1800¢-1700¢
142O/U 64.51600.0%1600¢-1500¢
143O/U 66.51350.0%1350¢-1250¢
1441H Moneyline1300.0%1300¢-1200¢
145O/U 68.51100.0%1100¢-1000¢
146Florida State vs. Alabama850.0%$51.8K850¢-750¢
147Spread -0.5850.0%$100850¢-750¢
148O/U 70.5800.0%800¢-700¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Alabama, scheduled for September 19 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 12:09 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $21.30

    Bought 46.304348 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-20.5) at 0.46

  • 12:01 PM
    DRdrex0o
    $40.00

    Bought 83.333334 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-18.5) at 0.48

  • 12:00 PM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $7.00

    Bought 14.583334 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-18.5) at 0.48

  • 12:00 PM
    CICip106
    $48.03

    Bought 96.06 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-19.5) at 0.5

  • 12:00 PM
    CICip106
    $28.32

    Bought 59 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-18.5) at 0.48

  • 12:00 PM
    PMpmas
    $10.00

    Bought 18.867925 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-18.5) at 0.53

  • 11:59 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $2.35

    Sold 5 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-20.5) at 0.47

  • 11:59 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $37.70

    Sold 72.5 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-18.5) at 0.52

  • 11:59 AM
    CICip106
    $34.80

    Bought 72.5 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-18.5) at 0.48

  • 11:59 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $7.08

    Bought 12 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-22.5) at 0.59

  • 11:59 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $6.27

    Bought 11 Florida State for Spread: Alabama (-21.5) at 0.57

  • 11:57 AM
    CICip106
    $29.97

    Bought 55.5 Over for Florida State vs. Alabama: O/U 48.5 at 0.54

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

CO1
coinlaundry
事件盈亏
-$230.79
成交量
$50,726.80
持仓数
Alabama
WR2
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$75.11
成交量
$32,276.14
持仓数
Florida StateFlorida StateUnder+2
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$38.68
成交量
$15,181.08
持仓数
Florida StateFlorida StateAlabama+3
VE4
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$73.08
成交量
$12,761.93
持仓数
OverFlorida StateAlabama+2
MO5
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$4.12
成交量
$9,036.19
持仓数
AlabamaAlabamaAlabama+2
656
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
+$30.00
成交量
$6,000.00
持仓数
Florida State
AN7
AnonymousUsername
事件盈亏
+$14.40
成交量
$4,650.00
持仓数
Florida State
SN8
SnakeBall
事件盈亏
+$10.13
成交量
$4,336.03
持仓数
Florida StateAlabamaFlorida State

常见问题

当前市场对「Florida State vs. Alabama」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 30.5 以 9,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 32.5(9,050%),以及 Spread -2.5(8,850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $102.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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