
Florida International vs. South Florida
核心摘要
根据「Florida International vs. South Florida」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,1H Moneyline 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;South Florida O/U 3.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Florida International O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $36.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- 1H Moneyline (5,000%):1H Moneyline 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $3.1K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- South Florida O/U 3.5 (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,South Florida O/U 3.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- Florida International O/U 2.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Florida International O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 D.J. Crowther: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)、Michael Van Buren Jr.: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%),以及 Jason Collins: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Anthony Carrie: Anytime Touchdown 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | $3.1K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | South Florida O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Florida International O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | D.J. Crowther: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Michael Van Buren Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Jason Collins: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Anthony Carrie: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Arhmad Branch: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Chase Garnett: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Bryson Rodgers: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Greg Gaines III: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Devonte Lyons: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | JeyQuan Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Wyatt Sullivan: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | JJ Kohl: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Kyle McNeal: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Sterling Joseph: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Cameron Seldon: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | JoJo Stone: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Mudia Reuben: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Jackson Verdugo: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Maguire Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | James Resar: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | South Florida O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Florida International O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Florida International O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Florida International O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Florida International O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | South Florida O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | South Florida O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | South Florida O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | South Florida O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:00PM ET:
If Florida International wins, the market will resolve to "Florida International".
If South Florida wins, the market will resolve to "South Florida".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 5, 2026
- 08:59 PMNInigiri99$32.48
Bought 58 Over for South Florida Team Total: O/U 33.5 at 0.56
- 07:48 PMJOjohnnyhopkins$4.66
Bought 29.125 Florida International for Florida International vs. South Florida at 0.16
- 07:41 PMDAdarrylli$4.00
Bought 25 Florida International for Florida International vs. South Florida at 0.16
- 07:35 PMCAcampbelldan$17.12
Bought 20.141173 South Florida for Florida International vs. South Florida at 0.85
- 07:34 PMMOMoltenpick$30.00
Bought 50 South Florida for Spread: South Florida (-10.5) at 0.6
- 07:30 PMDADanshan11$50.22
Bought 93 Over for Florida International vs. South Florida: O/U 51.5 at 0.54
- 07:26 PMCHchaeri$2.64
Bought 12 Florida International for Florida International vs. South Florida: 1H Moneyline at 0.22
- 07:25 PMCHchaeri$8.36
Bought 38 Florida International for Florida International vs. South Florida: 1H Moneyline at 0.22
- 07:22 PMGOgordonjonathan$22.81
Bought 26.835293 South Florida for Florida International vs. South Florida at 0.85
- 06:15 PMGUGuayo87$10.00
Bought 20 Florida International for Spread: South Florida (-14.5) at 0.5
- 06:15 PMGUGuayo87$10.00
Bought 20 Florida International for Spread: South Florida (-14.5) at 0.5
- 06:14 PM0X0x1bcef021C846cd82E3DaaB1F0E239c052465C696-1767521962995$5.00
Bought 10 Florida International for Spread: South Florida (-14.5) at 0.5
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Florida International vs. South Florida」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,1H Moneyline 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 South Florida O/U 3.5(5,000%),以及 Florida International O/U 2.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $36.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
