Duke vs. Illinois

$183.1K Vol
2026年9月12日
Active
概率趋势
Duke 100.0%
Illinois 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Duke vs. Illinois」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Duke vs. Illinois 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -2.5 以 9,955% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 9,955% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $183.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Duke vs. Illinois (9,995%):Duke vs. Illinois 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $110.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -2.5 (9,955%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -2.5 保持着 9,955% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,955¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (9,955%):以 9,955% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -0.5 (9,955%)、2H Moneyline (9,950%),以及 4Q Moneyline (9,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Duke O/U 2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Duke vs. Illinois9995.0%$110.8K9995¢-9895¢
2Spread -2.59955.0%$219955¢-9855¢
3Spread -1.59955.0%$1109955¢-9855¢
4Spread -0.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
52H Moneyline9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
64Q Moneyline9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
7Duke O/U 2.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
82H Spread -1.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
94Q Spread -1.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
104Q Spread -0.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
11Duke O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Duke O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Duke O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Duke O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Illinois O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Illinois O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Illinois O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Illinois O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Nate Sheppard: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Collin Dixon: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Ca'Lil Valentine: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Aidan Laughery: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Jeremiah Hasley: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Katin Houser: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Hudson Clement: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Jared Richardson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Brayden Trimble: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Ty Robinson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Kaden Feagin: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Christian Abney: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Jonah Burton: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Jayden Moore: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Walker Eget: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34CJ Campbell Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Jordan Anderson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36Javen Nicholas: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Jake Taylor: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38Kavon Simmons: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
392H Spread -0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
402H Spread -1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
412H Spread -2.5950.0%950¢-850¢
422H Spread -3.5950.0%950¢-850¢
432H Spread -4.5950.0%950¢-850¢
444Q Spread -0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
454Q Spread -1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
464Q Spread -2.5950.0%950¢-850¢
47Illinois O/U 3.5950.0%950¢-850¢
48Duke 2H O/U 11.5950.0%950¢-850¢
49Duke 2H O/U 13.5950.0%950¢-850¢
50Illinois 2H O/U 11.5950.0%950¢-850¢
51Illinois 2H O/U 13.5950.0%950¢-850¢
52Illinois 2H O/U 15.5950.0%950¢-850¢
53Duke 2H O/U 10.5950.0%950¢-850¢
54Duke 2H O/U 12.5950.0%950¢-850¢
55Duke 2H O/U 14.5950.0%950¢-850¢
56Duke 2H O/U 15.5950.0%950¢-850¢
57Illinois 2H O/U 12.5950.0%950¢-850¢
58Illinois 2H O/U 14.5950.0%950¢-850¢
59Illinois 2H O/U 16.5950.0%950¢-850¢
602H Spread -5.5950.0%950¢-850¢
612H O/U 19.5950.0%950¢-850¢
622H O/U 22.5950.0%950¢-850¢
632H O/U 25.5950.0%950¢-850¢
642H O/U 28.5950.0%950¢-850¢
652H O/U 31.5950.0%950¢-850¢
664Q Spread -3.5950.0%950¢-850¢
674Q Spread -3.5950.0%950¢-850¢
684Q O/U 8.5950.0%950¢-850¢
694Q O/U 11.5950.0%950¢-850¢
704Q O/U 14.5950.0%950¢-850¢
714Q O/U 17.5950.0%950¢-850¢
724Q O/U 20.5950.0%950¢-850¢
73Illinois O/U 29.555.0%$555¢45¢
74Spread -8.550.0%50¢50¢
75Spread -0.550.0%50¢50¢
76O/U 58.550.0%50¢50¢
77O/U 62.550.0%50¢50¢
78O/U 64.550.0%50¢50¢
79O/U 68.550.0%50¢50¢
80O/U 70.550.0%50¢50¢
81O/U 72.550.0%50¢50¢
82O/U 74.550.0%$150¢50¢
83Illinois O/U 28.550.0%50¢50¢
84Spread -8.550.0%50¢50¢
85Spread -7.550.0%$20.2K50¢50¢
86Spread -9.550.0%50¢50¢
87Spread -1.545.0%$11045¢55¢
88Spread -2.545.0%$2145¢55¢
89Spread -3.545.0%$23545¢55¢
90Spread -4.545.0%$30345¢55¢
91Spread -5.545.0%$20945¢55¢
92Spread -10.545.0%45¢55¢
93Spread -13.545.0%45¢55¢
94Spread -16.545.0%$9645¢55¢
95Spread -21.545.0%$4845¢55¢
96Spread -27.545.0%45¢55¢
97O/U 60.545.0%$845¢55¢
98O/U 66.545.0%45¢55¢
99Illinois O/U 32.545.0%45¢55¢
100Illinois O/U 35.545.0%45¢55¢
101Illinois O/U 31.545.0%45¢55¢
102Illinois O/U 34.545.0%45¢55¢
103Spread -14.545.0%45¢55¢
104Spread -11.545.0%45¢55¢
105Spread -10.545.0%45¢55¢
106Spread -4.545.0%$30345¢55¢
107Spread -12.545.0%45¢55¢
108Spread -19.545.0%45¢55¢
109Spread -22.545.0%45¢55¢
110Spread -23.545.0%45¢55¢
111Spread -26.545.0%45¢55¢
112Spread -14.540.0%40¢60¢
113Spread -17.540.0%40¢60¢
114Spread -24.540.0%40¢60¢
115Spread -11.540.0%40¢60¢
116Spread -7.55.0%$20.2K95¢
117Spread -6.55.0%$55.7K95¢
118Spread -20.55.0%$10495¢
119Spread -31.55.0%95¢
120Spread -34.55.0%95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Duke and Illinois, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game.

This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 12, 2026

  • 11:05 PM
    $4.99

    Bought 4.994 Under for Illinois Team Total: O/U 29.5 at 1

  • 10:51 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $2.83

    Bought 4.56 Duke for Spread: Illinois (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 10:51 PM
    DIdips.
    $65.10

    Bought 105 Duke for Spread: Illinois (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 10:00 PM
    -C-Ciguli-
    $44.99

    Bought 44.994 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 51.5 at 1

  • 09:56 PM
    GLGlory.be.to.God
    $5.00

    Bought 5.05 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 52.5 at 0.99

  • 09:56 PM
    GLGlory.be.to.God
    $5.00

    Bought 5.05 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 53.5 at 0.99

  • 09:56 PM
    $3.96

    Bought 4 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 52.5 at 0.99

  • 09:56 PM
    ASasd147
    $39.60

    Bought 40 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 52.5 at 0.99

  • 09:56 PM
    ASasd147
    $39.60

    Bought 40 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 53.5 at 0.99

  • 09:56 PM
    TOtoireK
    $49.50

    Bought 50 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 52.5 at 0.99

  • 09:56 PM
    TOtoireK
    $495.00

    Bought 500 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 52.5 at 0.99

  • 09:56 PM
    SHshugafa
    $10.00

    Bought 10.101 Over for Duke vs. Illinois: O/U 52.5 at 0.99

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

KC1
Kch-Temp
事件盈亏
+$27.94
成交量
$34,155.80
持仓数
IllinoisOverIllinois
SD2
SDTrading
事件盈亏
-$150.00
成交量
$30,000.00
持仓数
Duke
VE3
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$16.46
成交量
$2,742.75
持仓数
UnderUnderDuke+2
JA4
JAMJAMJAM4
事件盈亏
-$14.26
成交量
$1,426.00
持仓数
Under
LU5
LuckyLoo
事件盈亏
+$12.71
成交量
$1,271.00
持仓数
Over
JE6
Jeffersonczs
事件盈亏
-$5.00
成交量
$1,000.00
持仓数
Under
387
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$1.25
成交量
$790.63
持仓数
UnderOverDuke+6
MO8
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$4.73
成交量
$770.17
持仓数
OverDukeIllinois+3

常见问题

当前市场对「Duke vs. Illinois」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Duke vs. Illinois 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -2.5(9,955%),以及 Spread -1.5(9,955%)。该市场总成交量已达 $183.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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