Columbia vs. Marist

$130.6K Vol
2026年10月10日
Active
概率趋势
Columbia 61.5%
Marist 38.5%

核心摘要

根据「Columbia vs. Marist」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Columbia vs. Marist 以压倒性的 6,250% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -1.5 以 6,050% 位居第二,1H Moneyline 以 5,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $130.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Columbia vs. Marist (6,250%):Columbia vs. Marist 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,250¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $70.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -1.5 (6,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -1.5 保持着 6,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,050¢。
  • 1H Moneyline (5,250%):以 5,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 1H Moneyline 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -3.5 (5,150%)、2H Moneyline (5,000%),以及 Spread -5.5 (4,500%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Columbia vs. Marist6250.0%$70.7K6250¢-6150¢
2Spread -1.56050.0%$2.8K6050¢-5950¢
31H Moneyline5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
4Spread -3.55150.0%$985150¢-5050¢
52H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Spread -5.54500.0%$21.1K4500¢-4400¢
7Spread -1.53800.0%$2.8K3800¢-3700¢
8Spread -7.53700.0%$773700¢-3600¢
9O/U 49.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
10O/U 51.52850.0%$82850¢-2750¢
11Spread -3.52700.0%$982700¢-2600¢
12Spread -10.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
13O/U 53.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
14Spread -5.52200.0%$21.1K2200¢-2100¢
15O/U 55.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
16O/U 57.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
17Spread -14.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
18Spread -7.51550.0%$771550¢-1450¢
19O/U 59.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
20O/U 61.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
21Spread -10.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
22Spread -14.5550.0%—550¢-450¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Columbia and Marist, scheduled for October 9 at 7:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Columbia" if Columbia win the game.

This market will resolve to "Marist" if Marist win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 9, 2026

  • 10:01 AM
    ERerdos-baconator
    $6.60

    Sold 11 Marist for Spread: Columbia (-3.5) at 0.6

  • 09:45 AM
    LUlucyintheskywithdiamonds
    $20.00

    Bought 35.714286 Columbia for Columbia vs. Marist at 0.56

  • 09:45 AM
    LYlysergic
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Columbia for Columbia vs. Marist at 0.56

  • 09:30 AM
    PApatch18
    $40.26

    Bought 66 Marist for Spread: Columbia (-3.5) at 0.61

  • 09:02 AM
    LIlioncaosil
    $271.42

    Bought 444.952623 Marist for Spread: Columbia (-3.5) at 0.61

  • 08:07 AM
    USuser0000000
    $0.48

    Bought 3 Marist for Spread: Marist (-7.5) at 0.16

  • 07:39 AM
    HOhonduraslover
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Marist for Columbia vs. Marist at 0.45

  • 07:39 AM
    ——
    $21.28

    Bought 38 Columbia for Columbia vs. Marist at 0.56

  • 06:59 AM
    LOlolipopop
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Marist for Spread: Marist (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 06:58 AM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $39.97

    Bought 88.822223 Marist for Spread: Marist (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 05:49 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $20.64

    Bought 43 Marist for Spread: Columbia (-1.5) at 0.48

  • 05:16 AM
    USuser0000000
    $4.14

    Bought 9 Marist for Spread: Columbia (-1.5) at 0.46

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MD1
mde4life1986
事件盈亏
-$5,380.18
成交量
$76,563.37
持仓数
ColumbiaColumbiaColumbia+1
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$4,450.39
成交量
$39,251.00
持仓数
MaristMaristMarist+1
FO3
forecastication4
事件盈亏
-$55.44
成交量
$11,088.00
持仓数
Marist
NO4
Nooserac
事件盈亏
+$26.70
成交量
$5,113.00
持仓数
Marist
625
0x62e8…88a1
事件盈亏
+$280.42
成交量
$3,154.00
持仓数
MaristMarist
US6
User1244322
事件盈亏
+$534.06
成交量
$2,966.95
持仓数
Marist
GA7
Gaditima
事件盈亏
+$25.00
成交量
$2,500.00
持仓数
Marist
SN8
SnakeBall
事件盈亏
-$18.35
成交量
$2,291.00
持仓数
MaristMarist

常见问题

当前市场对「Columbia vs. Marist」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Columbia vs. Marist 以 6,250% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(6,050%),以及 1H Moneyline(5,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $130.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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