Charlotte vs. Appalachian State

$98.6K Vol
2026年9月20日
Active
概率趋势
Appalachian State 89.0%
Charlotte 11.0%

核心摘要

根据「Charlotte vs. Appalachian State」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 36.5 以压倒性的 8,850% 获胜概率主导市场；Spread -1.5 以 8,700% 位居第二，Spread -3.5 以 8,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $98.6K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 36.5 (8,850%)：O/U 36.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,850¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Spread -1.5 (8,700%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Spread -1.5 保持着 8,700% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,700¢。
  • Spread -3.5 (8,500%)：以 8,500% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Spread -3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 48.5 (7,550%)、Spread -4.5 (7,100%)，以及 Spread -7.5 (7,000%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Spread -9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 36.58850.0%—8850¢-8750¢
2Spread -1.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
3Spread -3.58500.0%—8500¢-8400¢
4O/U 48.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
5Spread -4.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
6Spread -7.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
7Spread -9.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
8Spread -13.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
9Spread -10.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
10Charlotte O/U 14.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
11Spread -11.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
12O/U 50.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
13O/U 42.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
14Spread -14.55300.0%$5.2K5300¢-5200¢
15Spread -15.55100.0%$1.5K5100¢-5000¢
16Spread -35.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
171H Spread -6.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
181H Spread -8.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
19O/U 52.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
204Q Spread -5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
212H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Charlotte O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Appalachian State O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
241Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
252Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
263Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
274Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Charlotte O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Spread -12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Spread -22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Spread -25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Spread -26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Spread -28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Spread -31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Spread -32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Spread -34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39O/U 34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40O/U 38.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41O/U 40.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42O/U 44.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43O/U 46.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44O/U 58.55000.0%$2175000¢-4900¢
45O/U 62.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46O/U 64.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47O/U 68.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48O/U 70.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
491H Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
501H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
511H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
521H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
531H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
541H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
552H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
562H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
572H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
582H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
592H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
602H O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
612H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
622H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
632H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
642H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
651Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
661Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
671Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
681Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
691Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
701Q O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
711Q O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
721Q O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
731Q O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
742Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
752Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
762Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
772Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
782Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
792Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
802Q O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
812Q O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
822Q O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
832Q O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
843Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
853Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
863Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
873Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
883Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
893Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
903Q O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
913Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
923Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
933Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
943Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
954Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
964Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
974Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
984Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
994Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1004Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1014Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1024Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1034Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1044Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Charlotte O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Charlotte O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Charlotte O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Charlotte O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Appalachian State O/U 28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Appalachian State O/U 31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Appalachian State O/U 34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Appalachian State O/U 37.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Appalachian State O/U 40.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Charlotte 1H O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Charlotte 1H O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Charlotte 1H O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Appalachian State 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Appalachian State 1H O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Appalachian State 1H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Charlotte 2H O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Charlotte 2H O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Charlotte 2H O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Appalachian State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Appalachian State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1251H Spread -9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1262H Spread -9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1271Q Spread -5.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1281Q O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1292Q O/U 11.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
130Appalachian State 2H O/U 18.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
131Spread -16.54850.0%$59.5K4850¢-4750¢
132Spread -17.54550.0%$22.6K4550¢-4450¢
133O/U 54.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1341H Spread -10.54350.0%$454350¢-4250¢
135Spread -18.54300.0%$3124300¢-4200¢
136Spread -20.54250.0%$4324250¢-4150¢
137Spread -19.54100.0%$1254100¢-4000¢
138O/U 56.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1391H Spread -11.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
140Spread -21.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
141O/U 60.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
142Spread -23.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
143Spread -24.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
1441H Moneyline1900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
145O/U 66.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
146Charlotte vs. Appalachian State1100.0%$8.6K1100¢-1000¢
147O/U 72.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
148Spread -2.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
149Spread -38.5700.0%$10700¢-600¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Charlotte and Appalachian State, scheduled for September 19 at 6:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Charlotte" if Charlotte win the game.

This market will resolve to "Appalachian State" if Appalachian State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 10:31 PM
    0X0x4304107fa56ff1D89d3Be7B00ADbD326Cb016138-1789786195540
    $1.23

    Bought 2.46 Appalachian State for Spread: Appalachian State (-16.5) at 0.5

  • 10:31 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $247.64

    Sold 505.39 Appalachian State for Spread: Appalachian State (-16.5) at 0.49

  • 10:31 PM
    0X0x4304107fa56ff1D89d3Be7B00ADbD326Cb016138-1789786195540
    $1.23

    Bought 2.46 Appalachian State for Spread: Appalachian State (-16.5) at 0.5

  • 10:31 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $247.64

    Sold 505.39 Appalachian State for Spread: Appalachian State (-16.5) at 0.49

  • 10:30 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $165.10

    Sold 336.93 Appalachian State for Spread: Appalachian State (-16.5) at 0.49

  • 10:02 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $215.64

    Sold 449.24 Appalachian State for Spread: Appalachian State (-16.5) at 0.48

  • 10:02 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $336.00

    Bought 600 Charlotte for Spread: Appalachian State (-17.5) at 0.56

  • 10:00 PM
    AJAJSV
    $7.16

    Bought 15.565218 Appalachian State for Spread: Appalachian State (-17.5) at 0.46

  • 09:57 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $98.00

    Bought 200 Appalachian State for Spread: Appalachian State (-16.5) at 0.49

  • 09:57 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $51.94

    Bought 106 Appalachian State for Spread: Appalachian State (-16.5) at 0.49

  • 09:54 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $3.14

    Bought 6.04 Charlotte for Spread: Appalachian State (-16.5) at 0.52

  • 09:53 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $13.62

    Bought 26.19 Charlotte for Spread: Appalachian State (-16.5) at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

HO1
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$206.90
成交量
$29,506.46
持仓数
Appalachian StateAppalachian State
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$361.29
成交量
$24,433.00
持仓数
CharlotteAppalachian State
KO3
Kosherlocks
事件盈亏
+$96.73
成交量
$9,351.80
持仓数
Charlotte
0A4
0x0A77exmm
事件盈亏
-$182.67
成交量
$9,317.69
持仓数
Appalachian StateAppalachian State
WR5
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$481.89
成交量
$8,158.87
持仓数
CharlotteCharlotte
MO6
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$46.59
成交量
$6,900.66
持仓数
Charlotte
MA7
MAGATheeStallion
事件盈亏
+$38.08
成交量
$3,638.09
持仓数
Charlotte
LU8
LuckyLoo
事件盈亏
-$45.09
成交量
$2,531.60
持仓数
Appalachian StateAppalachian State

常见问题

当前市场对「Charlotte vs. Appalachian State」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 36.5 以 8,850% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Spread -1.5（8,700%），以及 Spread -3.5（8,500%）。该市场总成交量已达 $98.6K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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