Cal Poly vs. Idaho State
核心摘要
根据「Cal Poly vs. Idaho State」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Cal Poly 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场；Idaho State 以 50% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $125.2K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Cal Poly (9,950%)：Cal Poly 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Idaho State (50%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Idaho State 保持着 50% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 50¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cal Poly | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | Idaho State | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Cal Poly and Idaho State, scheduled for October 10 at 6:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Cal Poly" if Cal Poly win the game.
This market will resolve to "Idaho State" if Idaho State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 10, 2026
- 09:59 PMNInigiri99$26.82
Bought 149 Cal Poly for Cal Poly vs. Idaho State at 0.18
- 09:56 PMNInigiri99$714.06
Bought 3967 Cal Poly for Cal Poly vs. Idaho State at 0.18
- 09:56 PMNInigiri99$2,042.82
Bought 11349 Cal Poly for Cal Poly vs. Idaho State at 0.18
- 09:56 PMNInigiri99$1.80
Bought 10 Cal Poly for Cal Poly vs. Idaho State at 0.18
- 09:56 PMNInigiri99$43.20
Bought 240 Cal Poly for Cal Poly vs. Idaho State at 0.18
- 09:56 PMNInigiri99$1,694.88
Bought 9416 Cal Poly for Cal Poly vs. Idaho State at 0.18
- 09:56 PMNInigiri99$1.98
Bought 11 Cal Poly for Cal Poly vs. Idaho State at 0.18
- 09:56 PMNInigiri99$1.26
Bought 7 Cal Poly for Cal Poly vs. Idaho State at 0.18
- 09:51 PMNInigiri99$9.00
Bought 50 Cal Poly for Cal Poly vs. Idaho State at 0.18
- 09:50 PMNInigiri99$8.82
Bought 49 Cal Poly for Cal Poly vs. Idaho State at 0.18
- 09:48 PM——$31.03
Bought 37.385541 Idaho State for Cal Poly vs. Idaho State at 0.83
- 09:48 PM——$4.00
Bought 4.819276 Idaho State for Cal Poly vs. Idaho State at 0.83
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Cal Poly vs. Idaho State」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Cal Poly 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Idaho State（50%）。该市场总成交量已达 $125.2K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。