
California vs. Syracuse
核心摘要
根据「California vs. Syracuse」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 34.5 以压倒性的 9,800% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 36.5 以 9,100% 位居第二,California O/U 20.5 以 9,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $397.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 34.5 (9,800%):O/U 34.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,800¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 36.5 (9,100%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 36.5 保持着 9,100% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,100¢。
- California O/U 20.5 (9,050%):以 9,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 California O/U 20.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 California vs. Syracuse (7,700%)、Spread -18.5 (5,200%),以及 California O/U 0.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 California O/U 1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 34.5 | 9800.0% | $1 | 9800¢ | -9700¢ |
| 2 | O/U 36.5 | 9100.0% | — | 9100¢ | -9000¢ |
| 3 | California O/U 20.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | California vs. Syracuse | 7700.0% | $329.4K | 7700¢ | -7600¢ |
| 5 | Spread -18.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 6 | California O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | California O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | California O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | California O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Syracuse O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Syracuse O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Syracuse O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Syracuse O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Spread -17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Spread -21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Spread -24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Spread -27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Spread -31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Spread -34.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | O/U 42.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | O/U 44.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | O/U 46.5 | 5000.0% | $50 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | O/U 48.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | O/U 50.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | O/U 60.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | O/U 66.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | O/U 72.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | O/U 74.5 | 5000.0% | $1 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Syracuse O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Syracuse O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Syracuse O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Syracuse O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Syracuse O/U 36.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | California O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | California O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | California O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | California O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | California O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Syracuse O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | California O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Adam Mohammed: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Tylik Hill: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Umari Hatcher: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Shavane Anderson Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Ian Strong: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Chase Hendricks: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Cole Weaver: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Matt Outten: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Mason Mini: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | David Clement: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Steve Angeli: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Ashten Emory: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Noah Meyers: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Cooper Perry: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Jordan King: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Dorian Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Syracuse O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Syracuse O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Syracuse O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Syracuse O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Syracuse O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | California O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | California O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | California O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | California O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Carter Vargas: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Darien Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Julian McFadden: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Zamondre Merriweather: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Kyion Grayes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Mark Hamper: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | California 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Syracuse 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Syracuse 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Syracuse 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Spread -12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Spread -12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | 2H O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | 2H O/U 25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | 2H O/U 28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | 2H O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | 2H O/U 34.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | 4Q O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | 4Q O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | 4Q O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | 4Q O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | 4Q O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Spread -13.5 | 4950.0% | $82 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 110 | Spread -14.5 | 4950.0% | $15 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 111 | Spread -10.5 | 4950.0% | $76 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 112 | Spread -16.5 | 4900.0% | $43 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 113 | Spread -3.5 | 4900.0% | $77.3K | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 114 | Spread -4.5 | 4795.0% | $34 | 4795¢ | -4695¢ |
| 115 | Spread -2.5 | 4750.0% | $224 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 116 | Spread -2.5 | 4750.0% | $224 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 117 | Spread -13.5 | 4735.0% | $82 | 4735¢ | -4635¢ |
| 118 | Spread -6.5 | 4600.0% | $1.1K | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 119 | O/U 40.5 | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 120 | Spread -1.5 | 4450.0% | $5 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 121 | Spread -9.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 122 | Spread -4.5 | 4350.0% | $34 | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 123 | Spread -16.5 | 4285.0% | $43 | 4285¢ | -4185¢ |
| 124 | O/U 70.5 | 4035.0% | $2.0K | 4035¢ | -3935¢ |
| 125 | O/U 55.5 | 3750.0% | $1.1K | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 126 | Spread -7.5 | 3650.0% | $2.0K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 127 | O/U 54.5 | 3400.0% | $2.1K | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 128 | Spread -9.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 129 | O/U 62.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 130 | O/U 58.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 131 | Spread -11.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 132 | Spread -10.5 | 3000.0% | $76 | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 133 | O/U 68.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 134 | O/U 56.5 | 2850.0% | $1.1K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 135 | Spread -3.5 | 2150.0% | $77.3K | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 136 | O/U 52.5 | 2050.0% | $351 | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 137 | Spread -5.5 | 1800.0% | — | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 138 | Spread -6.5 | 1650.0% | $1.1K | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 139 | Spread -1.5 | 1600.0% | $5 | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 140 | O/U 53.5 | 750.0% | $920 | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 141 | O/U 64.5 | 500.0% | — | 500¢ | -400¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between California and Syracuse, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game.
This market will resolve to "Syracuse" if Syracuse win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 12, 2026
- 10:23 PMMYmyfatsarearmour$20.00
Bought 33.898304 California for Spread: Syracuse (-4.5) at 0.59
- 10:21 PMRUrun-aleks-run$1.23
Bought 3.153847 California for Spread: Syracuse (-3.5) at 0.39
- 10:21 PMIAIAmDoom$1.00
Bought 2.564103 California for Spread: Syracuse (-3.5) at 0.39
- 10:21 PMSOsolstice2025$1.65
Bought 4.23077 California for Spread: Syracuse (-3.5) at 0.39
- 10:21 PMMAmarigliano$1.00
Bought 2.564103 California for Spread: Syracuse (-3.5) at 0.39
- 10:21 PM——$5.00
Bought 12.820513 California for Spread: Syracuse (-3.5) at 0.39
- 09:45 PMANandytest3$5.00
Bought 6.578945 Syracuse for Spread: Syracuse (-3.5) at 0.76
- 09:30 PMLELetsGoV2$1.64
Bought 2.024689 Under for California vs. Syracuse: O/U 55.5 at 0.81
- 09:29 PMLIlifeonrock$40.00
Bought 66.666667 Syracuse for Spread: Syracuse (-2.5) at 0.6
- 09:26 PMZHzhao0$1.14
Bought 6 California for California vs. Syracuse: 1H Moneyline at 0.19
- 09:25 PMSHSharkooo$1,203.01
Bought 2039 California for Spread: Syracuse (-7.5) at 0.59
- 09:23 PMLELetsGoV2$1.87
Bought 2.2 Under for California vs. Syracuse: O/U 56.5 at 0.85
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「California vs. Syracuse」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 34.5 以 9,800% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 36.5(9,100%),以及 California O/U 20.5(9,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $397.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
