
Boston College vs. SMU
核心摘要
根据「Boston College vs. SMU」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Spread -1.5 以压倒性的 9,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -2.5 以 8,950% 位居第二,Spread -3.5 以 8,300% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $294.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Spread -1.5 (9,050%):Spread -1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Spread -2.5 (8,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -2.5 保持着 8,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,950¢。
- Spread -3.5 (8,300%):以 8,300% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 37.5 (8,190%)、Spread -4.5 (8,150%),以及 Spread -5.5 (7,800%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -6.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -1.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 2 | Spread -2.5 | 8950.0% | $17 | 8950¢ | -8850¢ |
| 3 | Spread -3.5 | 8300.0% | $206 | 8300¢ | -8200¢ |
| 4 | O/U 37.5 | 8190.0% | — | 8190¢ | -8090¢ |
| 5 | Spread -4.5 | 8150.0% | $273 | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 6 | Spread -5.5 | 7800.0% | $572 | 7800¢ | -7700¢ |
| 7 | Spread -6.5 | 7500.0% | $872 | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 8 | O/U 35.5 | 7200.0% | — | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 9 | O/U 39.5 | 7150.0% | — | 7150¢ | -7050¢ |
| 10 | Spread -7.5 | 6700.0% | $2.6K | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 11 | O/U 41.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 12 | O/U 43.5 | 6200.0% | $210 | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 13 | SMU O/U 23.5 | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 14 | Spread -8.5 | 5650.0% | $337 | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 15 | Spread -10.5 | 5350.0% | $8.9K | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 16 | O/U 45.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 17 | Boston College O/U 20.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 18 | Spread -11.5 | 5250.0% | $8.4K | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 19 | O/U 47.5 | 5050.0% | $5 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 20 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 21 | SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 22 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 23 | Spread -17.5 | 5000.0% | $107 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Spread -16.5 | 5000.0% | $3.0K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Spread -14.5 | 5000.0% | $8.4K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Spread -13.5 | 5000.0% | $2.2K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | $8.9K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | $337 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | $2.6K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | $872 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | $572 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Boston College O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Boston College O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Boston College O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | SMU O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | SMU O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | SMU O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | SMU O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Boston College 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Boston College 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Boston College 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | SMU 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | SMU 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Boston College vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Boston College vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Boston College vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Boston College 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Boston College 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | SMU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | SMU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | SMU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | SMU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | SMU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | SMU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Boston College vs. SMU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | Boston College vs. SMU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | Boston College vs. SMU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | Spread -25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | Spread -26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | Spread -28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Spread -29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | 2H Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | 2H Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | 2H Spread -11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | 2H Spread -13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 132 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 133 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 134 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 135 | 3Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 136 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 137 | 3Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 138 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 139 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 140 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 141 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 142 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 143 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 144 | Boston College O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 145 | SMU O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 146 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 147 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 148 | Spread -20.5 | 4950.0% | $17.6K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 149 | O/U 75.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 150 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 151 | SMU 2H O/U 12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 152 | Game Goes to Overtime | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 153 | Spread -32.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 154 | Spread -36.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 155 | Spread -39.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 156 | Spread -42.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 157 | Spread -13.5 | 4550.0% | $2.2K | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 158 | O/U 51.5 | 4500.0% | $655 | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 159 | Spread -14.5 | 3950.0% | $8.4K | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 160 | O/U 49.5 | 3950.0% | $12.6K | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 161 | Spread -15.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 162 | Boston College O/U 23.5 | 3700.0% | $6 | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 163 | O/U 53.5 | 3550.0% | $631 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 164 | Spread -18.5 | 3550.0% | $1.1K | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 165 | Spread -16.5 | 3450.0% | $3.0K | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 166 | Spread -19.5 | 3450.0% | $11 | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 167 | O/U 63.5 | 3150.0% | $10 | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 168 | O/U 65.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 169 | O/U 71.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 170 | Spread -2.5 | 3000.0% | $17 | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 171 | O/U 69.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 172 | Spread -3.5 | 2900.0% | $206 | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 173 | Spread -17.5 | 2900.0% | $107 | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 174 | Spread -22.5 | 2850.0% | $100 | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 175 | Spread -4.5 | 2800.0% | $273 | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 176 | Spread -20.5 | 2050.0% | $17.6K | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 177 | O/U 55.5 | 1900.0% | $66.8K | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 178 | Spread -21.5 | 1750.0% | $26.9K | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 179 | O/U 57.5 | 1450.0% | $5.2K | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 180 | Spread -23.5 | 1450.0% | $6.0K | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 181 | Boston College vs. SMU | 950.0% | $115.7K | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 182 | O/U 59.5 | 950.0% | $287 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 183 | Spread -24.5 | 850.0% | $1.6K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 184 | Spread -1.5 | 650.0% | — | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 185 | O/U 61.5 | 600.0% | $47 | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 186 | Spread -27.5 | 600.0% | $3.3K | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 187 | Spread -30.5 | 390.0% | $52 | 390¢ | -290¢ |
| 188 | O/U 73.5 | 245.0% | $30 | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 189 | Spread -35.5 | 245.0% | — | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 190 | Spread -38.5 | 220.0% | — | 220¢ | -120¢ |
| 191 | O/U 67.5 | 200.0% | $18 | 200¢ | -100¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Boston College and SMU, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Boston College" if Boston College win the game.
This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 3, 2026
- 09:11 AMLYlysergic$1.00
Bought 1.923077 Boston College for Spread: SMU (-21.5) at 0.52
- 08:52 AMDZDZ002$1.24
Sold 2.25 Under for Boston College vs. SMU: O/U 57.5 at 0.55
- 08:32 AMMAmartinsugar$23.25
Bought 25 SMU for Boston College vs. SMU at 0.93
- 08:12 AM0X0xca0c6d9b7A2C0cB9582591Cd2D8ff42D5674b9B6-1751220806251$4.65
Bought 5 SMU for Boston College vs. SMU at 0.93
- 07:22 AMPUpurplegatto$30.24
Bought 378 Boston College for Boston College vs. SMU at 0.08
- 07:17 AMCRcrossfire1$4.00
Bought 50 Boston College for Boston College vs. SMU at 0.08
- 06:30 AMFOForecastication2$9.31
Bought 19 Over for Boston College vs. SMU: O/U 55.5 at 0.49
- 06:20 AMSRsreca$2.80
Bought 5 Under for Boston College vs. SMU: O/U 57.5 at 0.56
- 05:52 AMSWSwampmaster247$1.50
Bought 2.678572 Over for Boston College vs. SMU: O/U 53.5 at 0.56
- 05:38 AMEVEVryBet4$22.51
Bought 40.196429 Under for Boston College vs. SMU: O/U 57.5 at 0.56
- 05:26 AMCUcuracau$5.60
Bought 70 Boston College for Boston College vs. SMU at 0.08
- 05:26 AMCUcuracau$5.60
Bought 70 Boston College for Boston College vs. SMU at 0.08
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Boston College vs. SMU」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Spread -1.5 以 9,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -2.5(8,950%),以及 Spread -3.5(8,300%)。该市场总成交量已达 $294.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
