Boston College vs. Cincinnati

$53.2K Vol

2026年9月5日

Active

概率趋势

Cincinnati 90.5%

Boston College 9.5%

核心摘要

根据「Boston College vs. Cincinnati」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Spread: Cincinnati (-7.5) 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 37.5 以 9,995% 位居第二，O/U 43.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $53.2K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

Spread: Cincinnati (-7.5) (9,995%)：Spread: Cincinnati (-7.5) 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $5.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

O/U 37.5 (9,995%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 37.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
O/U 43.5 (9,995%)：以 9,995% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 43.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

替代选项：包括 Spread -1.5 (9,960%)、Spread -2.5 (9,960%)，以及 Spread -3.5 (9,960%)。
投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Spread -5.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名	预测结果	获胜概率	成交量	买入 Yes（成本）	买入 No（成本）
1	Spread: Cincinnati (-7.5)	9995.0%	$5.3K	9995¢	-9895¢
2	O/U 37.5	9995.0%	$4.3K	9995¢	-9895¢
3	O/U 43.5	9995.0%	$1.1K	9995¢	-9895¢
4	Spread -1.5	9960.0%	—	9960¢	-9860¢
5	Spread -2.5	9960.0%	—	9960¢	-9860¢
6	Spread -3.5	9960.0%	—	9960¢	-9860¢
7	Spread -5.5	9960.0%	$1.0K	9960¢	-9860¢
8	Spread -6.5	9960.0%	$46	9960¢	-9860¢
9	Spread -10.5	9960.0%	$2.3K	9960¢	-9860¢
10	Spread -17.5	9960.0%	$2.5K	9960¢	-9860¢
11	Spread -4.5	9955.0%	—	9955¢	-9855¢
12	Spread -13.5	9955.0%	$683	9955¢	-9855¢
13	Spread -14.5	9955.0%	$2.6K	9955¢	-9855¢
14	Spread -16.5	9955.0%	$597	9955¢	-9855¢
15	Spread -0.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
16	Spread -8.5	9950.0%	$147	9950¢	-9850¢
17	O/U 35.5	9950.0%	$374	9950¢	-9850¢
18	O/U 39.5	9950.0%	$8	9950¢	-9850¢
19	O/U 41.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
20	O/U 45.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
21	O/U 47.5	9950.0%	$51	9950¢	-9850¢
22	Cincinnati O/U 29.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
23	Cincinnati O/U 32.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
24	Cincinnati O/U 28.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
25	Cincinnati O/U 31.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
26	Boston College O/U 14.5	9950.0%	—	9950¢	-9850¢
27	4Q Spread -0.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
28	4Q Spread -1.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
29	4Q Spread -2.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
30	2H Spread -0.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
31	2H Spread -1.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
32	2H Spread -2.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
33	2H Spread -3.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
34	2H Spread -4.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
35	Boston College 2H O/U 9.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
36	Boston College 2H O/U 11.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
37	Cincinnati 2H O/U 15.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
38	2H Spread -5.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
39	2H Spread -6.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
40	Cincinnati 2H O/U 14.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
41	Cincinnati 2H O/U 16.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
42	Boston College 2H O/U 8.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
43	Boston College 2H O/U 10.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
44	Boston College 2H O/U 12.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
45	2H Spread -7.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
46	2H Spread -8.5	9050.0%	—	9050¢	-8950¢
47	Boston College O/U 2.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
48	Cincinnati O/U 3.5	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
49	Gi'Bran Payne: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
50	Evan Dickens: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
51	JC French: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
52	Zylan Perry: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
53	Zion Johnson: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
54	Isaiah Johnson: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
55	Mason McKenzie: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
56	Zeke Moore: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
57	Bo MacCormack III: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
58	Nolan Ray: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
59	Jaedn Skeete: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
60	JaVonnie Gibson: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
61	Reed Swanson: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
62	Cole Tabb: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
63	Javarius Green: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
64	Larenzo Fenner: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
65	Gavin Grover: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
66	Cade Wolford: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
67	Malachi Henry: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
68	John Montague: Anytime Touchdown	5000.0%	—	5000¢	-4900¢
69	4Q Spread -3.5	950.0%	—	950¢	-850¢
70	4Q Moneyline	950.0%	—	950¢	-850¢
71	2H Spread -9.5	950.0%	—	950¢	-850¢
72	Spread -20.5	50.0%	$120	50¢	50¢
73	Spread -24.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
74	Spread -31.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
75	Spread -34.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
76	O/U 53.5	50.0%	$26	50¢	50¢
77	O/U 57.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
78	O/U 59.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
79	O/U 63.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
80	O/U 65.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
81	O/U 69.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
82	O/U 71.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
83	2H Moneyline	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
84	Cincinnati O/U 35.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
85	Cincinnati O/U 34.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
86	Boston College O/U 17.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
87	Boston College O/U 20.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
88	Boston College O/U 23.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
89	Boston College O/U 26.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
90	Boston College O/U 15.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
91	Boston College O/U 18.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
92	Boston College O/U 21.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
93	Boston College O/U 24.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
94	Boston College O/U 27.5	50.0%	—	50¢	50¢
95	O/U 51.5	45.0%	$97	45¢	55¢
96	Spread -21.5	45.0%	$121	45¢	55¢
97	Spread -27.5	45.0%	—	45¢	55¢
98	O/U 55.5	45.0%	—	45¢	55¢
99	O/U 61.5	45.0%	—	45¢	55¢
100	O/U 67.5	45.0%	—	45¢	55¢
101	O/U 50.5	45.0%	$125	45¢	55¢
102	O/U 49.5	40.0%	$1.1K	40¢	60¢
103	Boston College vs. Cincinnati	5.0%	$30.2K	5¢	95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET:

If Boston College wins, the market will resolve to "Boston College".

If Cincinnati wins, the market will resolve to "Cincinnati".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 5, 2026

08:52 PM
DCDCAAA
$142.82
Bought 280.03 Boston College for Spread: Cincinnati (-13.5) at 0.51
08:52 PM
DCDCAAA
$61.11
Bought 111.1 Boston College for Spread: Cincinnati (-14.5) at 0.55
08:39 PM
FEfelixroj
$3.60
Bought 7.5 Over for Boston College vs. Cincinnati: O/U 39.5 at 0.48
08:37 PM
0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
$2.45
Bought 5 Under for Boston College vs. Cincinnati: O/U 37.5 at 0.49
08:37 PM
RNRN1
$700.30
Bought 1490 Under for Boston College vs. Cincinnati: O/U 37.5 at 0.47
08:35 PM
0X0x688d6Ab750561b690c3AA92d859ecBc8770afb8E-1775158343333
$8.00
Bought 12.903223 Under for Boston College vs. Cincinnati: O/U 43.5 at 0.62
08:18 PM
FLFlaznorp
$2.51
Bought 8.964284 Boston College for Boston College vs. Cincinnati at 0.28
08:18 PM
3838791873984189
$43.20
Bought 90 Cincinnati for Spread: Cincinnati (-7.5) at 0.48
08:11 PM
ZUzusu
$1.00
Bought 3.448274 Boston College for Boston College vs. Cincinnati at 0.29
08:11 PM
DCDCAAA
$28.96
Bought 53.63 Boston College for Spread: Cincinnati (-8.5) at 0.54
08:11 PM
ZUzusu
$1.00
Bought 1.2987 Cincinnati for Boston College vs. Cincinnati at 0.77
08:10 PM
ZUzusu
$1.00
Bought 1.315787 Cincinnati for Boston College vs. Cincinnati at 0.76

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

CA1

CanadianGoose

事件盈亏

-$71.90

成交量

$14,382.01

持仓数

Boston College

RN2

RN1

事件盈亏

-$791.15

成交量

$8,855.64

持仓数

Boston CollegeUnderCincinnati+2

VE3

VeryLucky888

事件盈亏

+$1,186.04

成交量

$7,689.72

持仓数

CincinnatiCincinnatiOver

HO4

HomeRunHazard

事件盈亏

+$43.22

成交量

$7,032.34

持仓数

CincinnatiOverCincinnati+5

FL5

Flaznorp

事件盈亏

+$1,042.64

成交量

$4,109.17

持仓数

Cincinnati

LI6

lissartter

事件盈亏

-$6.45

成交量

$2,452.71

持仓数

CincinnatiBoston College

CH7

chaeri

事件盈亏

-$0.68

成交量

$1,769.00

持仓数

Boston College

388

38791873984189

事件盈亏

+$422.67

成交量

$1,571.10

持仓数

CincinnatiCincinnatiUnder+2

常见问题

当前市场对「Boston College vs. Cincinnati」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Spread: Cincinnati (-7.5) 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 37.5（9,995%），以及 O/U 43.5（9,995%）。该市场总成交量已达 $53.2K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。