Boise State vs. Fresno State

$161.1K Vol
2026年10月11日
Active
概率趋势
Boise State 72.5%
Fresno State 27.5%

核心摘要

根据「Boise State vs. Fresno State」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Spread -0.5 以压倒性的 8,400% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 35.5 以 8,250% 位居第二，O/U 37.5 以 7,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $161.1K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Spread -0.5 (8,400%)：Spread -0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,400¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $150 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 35.5 (8,250%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 35.5 保持着 8,250% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,250¢。
  • O/U 37.5 (7,850%)：以 7,850% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 37.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 2Q O/U 7.5 (7,750%)、Boise State O/U 20.5 (7,750%)，以及 O/U 39.5 (7,450%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Boise State vs. Fresno State 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Spread -0.58400.0%$1508400¢-8300¢
2O/U 35.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
3O/U 37.57850.0%$77850¢-7750¢
42Q O/U 7.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
5Boise State O/U 20.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
6O/U 39.57450.0%$77450¢-7350¢
7Boise State vs. Fresno State7350.0%$41.3K7350¢-7250¢
8Spread -1.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
91H Moneyline7050.0%$57050¢-6950¢
10Spread -2.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
11Boise State O/U 23.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
124Q O/U 7.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
13O/U 41.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
14Spread -3.56500.0%$996500¢-6400¢
15O/U 43.56400.0%$36400¢-6300¢
162Q O/U 10.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
17Boise State O/U 26.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
181H Spread -2.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
191H O/U 21.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
20Spread -5.56150.0%$1.9K6150¢-6050¢
21Spread -4.56150.0%$56150¢-6050¢
221Q Moneyline6100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
234Q O/U 10.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
24Spread -6.55950.0%$8.2K5950¢-5850¢
25O/U 45.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
26Boise State 1H O/U 13.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
271Q O/U 7.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
283Q O/U 7.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
291H Spread -3.55500.0%$2.3K5500¢-5400¢
302Q O/U 13.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
31Boise State 1H O/U 11.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
32O/U 47.55300.0%$655300¢-5200¢
333Q Spread -2.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
34Spread -7.55250.0%$645250¢-5150¢
352H Spread -3.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
36Spread -8.55150.0%$3.3K5150¢-5050¢
372H O/U 27.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
382H O/U 30.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
392Q Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
402H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
422H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
434Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Fresno State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Fresno State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Fresno State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Fresno State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Fresno State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Boise State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Boise State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Boise State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Fresno State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Fresno State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Fresno State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Boise State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Boise State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Boise State vs. Fresno State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1211H Spread -4.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
1221H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1232H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1242H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1252H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1262H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1271Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1281Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1291Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1302Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1312Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1322Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1332Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1343Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1353Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1363Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1373Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1384Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1394Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1404Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142Boise State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143Fresno State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1442Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1453Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1464Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
147Spread -17.54950.0%$1884950¢-4850¢
148Spread -20.54950.0%$2.6K4950¢-4850¢
1491H O/U 33.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1501H Spread -5.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
151Boise State O/U 29.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1521Q Spread -0.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1534Q Spread -1.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1541H O/U 24.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
155Boise State 1H O/U 15.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1562Q Spread -3.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
157O/U 49.54650.0%$574650¢-4550¢
1582H Spread -4.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
1594Q Spread -2.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
160Spread -10.54550.0%$3114550¢-4450¢
1613Q O/U 10.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
1621Q O/U 10.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1632Q O/U 16.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
164O/U 51.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1654Q Spread -3.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
166Spread -13.54050.0%$3614050¢-3950¢
167Boise State O/U 32.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
1681H O/U 27.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1691Q Spread -3.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1703Q Spread -3.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
171O/U 53.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
172Fresno State O/U 35.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
1731H Spread -7.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
1741Q O/U 13.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
175Fresno State O/U 23.53550.0%$253550¢-3450¢
1763Q O/U 13.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
177Spread -14.53350.0%$1973350¢-3250¢
178O/U 55.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
1794Q O/U 16.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
180Spread -16.53100.0%$7773100¢-3000¢
1811H O/U 30.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
182O/U 57.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
183Spread -17.52750.0%$1882750¢-2650¢
1842Q O/U 19.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
185Spread -0.52450.0%$1502450¢-2350¢
186Spread -1.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
187Spread -20.52200.0%$2.6K2200¢-2100¢
188Spread -2.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
189O/U 59.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
1904Q O/U 19.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
1911Q Spread -3.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
192O/U 61.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
193Fresno State O/U 32.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
194Spread -3.51950.0%$991950¢-1850¢
1953Q O/U 16.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
196O/U 63.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
197Spread -4.51700.0%$51700¢-1600¢
1981Q O/U 16.51700.0%$451700¢-1600¢
199Spread -5.51650.0%$1.9K1650¢-1550¢
2001Q O/U 19.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
201O/U 65.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
202Spread -6.51400.0%$8.2K1400¢-1300¢
2033Q O/U 19.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
204O/U 67.51200.0%$101200¢-1100¢
205Spread -7.51100.0%$641100¢-1000¢
206Spread -8.51100.0%$3.3K1100¢-1000¢
207Spread -10.5900.0%$311900¢-800¢
208O/U 69.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
209O/U 75.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
210Spread -13.5650.0%$361650¢-550¢
211O/U 71.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
212O/U 73.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
213Spread -14.5475.0%$197475¢-375¢
214Spread -16.5400.0%$777400¢-300¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Boise State and Fresno State, scheduled for October 10 at 10:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 10:07 PM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 2.666664 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:07 PM
    MAMasterSparks69
    $3.27

    Bought 12.576924 Fresno State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.26

  • 10:07 PM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $1.68

    Bought 6.461539 Fresno State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.26

  • 10:07 PM
    SKskembinator
    $1,050.00

    Bought 1400 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:07 PM
    XCxcc123
    $2.75

    Bought 3.666664 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:06 PM
    0X0x6475d7f132BD68185903Ae538dFC7ED6074a8028-1778412597460
    $15.00

    Bought 20 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:06 PM
    0X0x276d3C3BB248b3F9eCda08503818FC3638E2Ea8f-1772584955589
    $51.36

    Bought 68.48 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:06 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.333332 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:06 PM
    0X0x05b35deBb8D22aC68D8DD4F1b99bCD8Fc0CB45C3-1790760001602
    $4.93

    Bought 6.57 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:06 PM
    DZDZ002
    $2.00

    Bought 7.692308 Fresno State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.26

  • 10:06 PM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 2.666664 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

  • 10:06 PM
    0X0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
    $1.00

    Bought 1.333332 Boise State for Boise State vs. Fresno State at 0.75

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

HO1
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$1,237.19
成交量
$29,367.89
持仓数
Boise StateBoise StateBoise State+5
2C2
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
-$1,563.83
成交量
$24,059.24
持仓数
Fresno StateFresno State
MO3
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
+$655.13
成交量
$14,174.73
持仓数
Boise StateBoise State
KI4
kingflop
事件盈亏
+$680.59
成交量
$10,470.54
持仓数
Boise State
WE5
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
事件盈亏
-$422.48
成交量
$9,619.87
持仓数
Fresno StateFresno StateBoise State+2
FR6
freedomfighter555
事件盈亏
-$280.00
成交量
$7,999.98
持仓数
Fresno State
MA7
MAGATheeStallion
事件盈亏
-$156.25
成交量
$6,250.00
持仓数
Fresno State
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$79.97
成交量
$5,089.12
持仓数
Boise StateFresno StateFresno State+2

常见问题

当前市场对「Boise State vs. Fresno State」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Spread -0.5 以 8,400% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 35.5（8,250%），以及 O/U 37.5（7,850%）。该市场总成交量已达 $161.1K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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