Baylor vs. Arizona State

$92.6K Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
概率趋势
Arizona State 60.5%
Baylor 39.5%

核心摘要

根据「Baylor vs. Arizona State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 8,100% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 37.5 以 7,750% 位居第二,O/U 39.5 以 7,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $92.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (8,100%):O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,100¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 37.5 (7,750%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 37.5 保持着 7,750% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,750¢。
  • O/U 39.5 (7,500%):以 7,500% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 39.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 1H O/U 21.5 (7,350%)、Arizona State O/U 23.5 (7,200%),以及 1Q Moneyline (7,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 41.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
2O/U 37.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
3O/U 39.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
41H O/U 21.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
5Arizona State O/U 23.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
61Q Moneyline7050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
7O/U 41.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
81Q O/U 7.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
9O/U 43.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
10Spread -0.56100.0%$86100¢-6000¢
11Spread -1.55800.0%$85800¢-5700¢
12O/U 45.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
13Spread -2.55650.0%$3615650¢-5550¢
14Baylor O/U 20.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
15O/U 47.55400.0%$2065400¢-5300¢
161H Spread -0.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
172H O/U 27.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
182Q O/U 16.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
193Q O/U 10.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
204Q O/U 19.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
212Q Spread -3.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
22O/U 69.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
232H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
242H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
252Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
263Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
274Q O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
28Arizona State O/U 26.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
29Baylor 1H O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
301H Spread -1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
311H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
353Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
363Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
374Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Baylor 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Baylor 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Arizona State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Arizona State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Arizona State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Baylor 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Baylor 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Baylor 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Arizona State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Arizona State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Arizona State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Baylor vs. Arizona State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1131H Spread -2.55000.0%$275000¢-4900¢
1141H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1152H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1162H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1172H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1182H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1191Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1201Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1211Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1232Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1242Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1252Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1263Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1273Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1283Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1293Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1303Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1313Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1324Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1334Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1344Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1354Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1364Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138Arizona State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139Baylor O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1413Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1424Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.54995.0%—4995¢-4895¢
1443Q O/U 7.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1454Q O/U 7.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1464Q O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1471Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1481H O/U 24.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1492Q O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
150Game Goes to Overtime4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1511Q Spread -3.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1522Q Spread -2.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1534Q Spread -1.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
154O/U 49.54850.0%$1.2K4850¢-4750¢
155Spread -3.54750.0%$87.3K4750¢-4650¢
156Baylor O/U 23.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1572H Spread -2.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
1582H O/U 33.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
159Spread -4.54450.0%$2164450¢-4350¢
1601Q Spread -0.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
161Spread -5.54350.0%$104350¢-4250¢
1621Q O/U 10.54300.0%$54300¢-4200¢
1631H Moneyline4300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1641H Spread -3.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
165O/U 51.54150.0%$9774150¢-4050¢
166Spread -6.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1672H Spread -3.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
168Baylor vs. Arizona State3950.0%$1.2K3950¢-3850¢
169Spread -0.53900.0%$83900¢-3800¢
1701H O/U 27.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
171Spread -1.53750.0%$83750¢-3650¢
1721H Spread -1.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
173O/U 53.53700.0%$53700¢-3600¢
1741H O/U 30.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
175Spread -2.53550.0%$3613550¢-3450¢
176Spread -7.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1771Q O/U 13.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
178Spread -8.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
179O/U 55.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
180Spread -3.52950.0%$87.3K2950¢-2850¢
181Spread -10.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
182O/U 57.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
183Spread -4.52750.0%$2162750¢-2650¢
184Arizona State O/U 29.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
185Arizona State O/U 32.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
186Arizona State O/U 35.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
187Spread -5.52550.0%$102550¢-2450¢
188Baylor O/U 26.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
189Baylor O/U 29.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
190Baylor O/U 32.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
191Spread -6.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
192Spread -13.52400.0%$392400¢-2300¢
193O/U 59.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
194Spread -14.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
1951Q O/U 16.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
196Spread -7.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
197O/U 61.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
198Spread -16.51850.0%$5311850¢-1750¢
199O/U 63.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
200Spread -8.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
201Spread -17.51700.0%$4751700¢-1600¢
202Spread -10.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
203O/U 65.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
2041Q O/U 19.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
205Spread -20.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
206O/U 67.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
207Spread -13.51150.0%$391150¢-1050¢
208Spread -14.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
209Spread -16.5750.0%$531750¢-650¢
210O/U 71.5700.0%$13700¢-600¢
211Spread -17.5600.0%$475600¢-500¢
212O/U 73.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
213O/U 75.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
214Spread -20.5500.0%—500¢-400¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Baylor and Arizona State, scheduled for October 3 at 10:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Baylor win the game.

This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 09:44 PM
    PUpurplegatto
    $3.20

    Bought 8 Baylor for Baylor vs. Arizona State at 0.4

  • 09:27 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $0.02

    Bought 0.06 Baylor for Spread: Arizona State (-0.5) at 0.38

  • 09:25 PM
    ——
    $9.00

    Bought 18.75 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-3.5) at 0.48

  • 09:08 PM
    HUHugin-og-Munin
    $3.04

    Bought 8 Baylor for Spread: Arizona State (-0.5) at 0.38

  • 09:08 PM
    HUHugin-og-Munin
    $4.88

    Bought 8 Arizona State for Baylor vs. Arizona State at 0.61

  • 09:08 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $11.24

    Bought 28.820513 Baylor for Baylor vs. Arizona State at 0.39

  • 09:02 PM
    0X0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789
    $82.72

    Bought 153.19 Over for Baylor vs. Arizona State: O/U 47.5 at 0.54

  • 08:59 PM
    ALalwayscha
    $2.73

    Bought 7 Baylor for Baylor vs. Arizona State at 0.39

  • 08:59 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $5.16

    Bought 12 Baylor for Spread: Arizona State (-2.5) at 0.43

  • 08:49 PM
    3838791873984189
    $2.80

    Bought 5 Under for Baylor vs. Arizona State: 1Q O/U 10.5 at 0.56

  • 08:33 PM
    BRbretonpicks
    $25.00

    Bought 64.102565 Baylor for Baylor vs. Arizona State at 0.39

  • 07:56 PM
    PIpirate06
    $9.79

    Bought 20.4 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-3.5) at 0.48

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

UP1
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
-$8.75
成交量
$1,150.00
持仓数
Arizona StateArizona StateBaylor+2
382
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$5.61
成交量
$996.28
持仓数
BaylorBaylorArizona State+3
MO3
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$6.61
成交量
$574.00
持仓数
OverBaylorArizona State+2
SN4
SnakeBall
事件盈亏
+$4.95
成交量
$336.59
持仓数
UnderArizona State
SD5
SDTrading
事件盈亏
-$3.04
成交量
$297.08
持仓数
Arizona State
DE6
DevilPenguin7
事件盈亏
+$4.06
成交量
$287.32
持仓数
Baylor
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$1.22
成交量
$224.36
持仓数
UnderArizona StateOver+1
FI8
fizzwont
事件盈亏
+$1.23
成交量
$160.11
持仓数
BaylorBaylor

常见问题

当前市场对「Baylor vs. Arizona State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 8,100% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 37.5(7,750%),以及 O/U 39.5(7,500%)。该市场总成交量已达 $92.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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