Ball State vs. Northwestern

$107.9K Vol
2026年10月10日
Resolved
概率趋势
Northwestern 99.0%
Ball State 1.1%

核心摘要

根据「Ball State vs. Northwestern」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Pick-Six Scored 以压倒性的 5,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $107.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Pick-Six Scored (5,050%):Pick-Six Scored 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 (5,000%)、Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 (5,000%),以及 Ball State vs. Northwestern: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Pick-Six Scored5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
2Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Ball State vs. Northwestern: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Ball State and Northwestern, scheduled for October 10 at 12:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 08:01 PM
    QWqwe258
    $45.00

    Bought 45 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 23.5 at 1

  • 07:52 PM
    ——
    $4.99

    Bought 4.994 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 23.5 at 1

  • 07:51 PM
    QWqwe258
    $135.99

    Bought 135.99 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:51 PM
    DAdachshundowner
    $24.53

    Bought 24.534535 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:51 PM
    BEBetNovaa
    $45.00

    Bought 45 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:50 PM
    JOJordyBOBO
    $2.00

    Bought 2.002003 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:50 PM
    SHshugafa
    $50.00

    Bought 50 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 20.5 at 1

  • 07:50 PM
    SHshugafa
    $100.10

    Bought 100.100101 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:50 PM
    ——
    $4.99

    Bought 4.994995 Under for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 07:16 PM
    LAlaoaba
    $1.02

    Bought 1.821429 Over for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 67.5 at 0.56

  • 07:11 PM
    NENeitrino
    $65.00

    Bought 309.52381 Over for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 75.5 at 0.21

  • 07:11 PM
    ASassasin5002
    $9.02

    Bought 41 Over for Ball State vs. Northwestern: O/U 75.5 at 0.22

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

2C1
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
-$11,539.96
成交量
$23,550.99
持仓数
Northwestern
LE2
LesterDiamond
事件盈亏
+$1,178.23
成交量
$9,817.64
持仓数
OverBall State
JU3
justaluckydude
事件盈亏
-$2,384.86
成交量
$5,717.92
持仓数
NorthwesternNorthwesternOver+5
4F4
0x4f2
事件盈亏
-$2,407.92
成交量
$5,584.75
持仓数
UnderUnderUnder+1
OL5
Olivier987
事件盈亏
-$2,082.47
成交量
$5,547.94
持仓数
Northwestern
RN6
RN1
事件盈亏
-$10.34
成交量
$5,171.00
持仓数
Ball State
GA7
GaoJin-GamblingGod
事件盈亏
-$2,339.14
成交量
$4,773.75
持仓数
Ball State
0A8
0x0A77exmm
事件盈亏
-$1,999.69
成交量
$4,081.00
持仓数
Northwestern

常见问题

当前市场对「Ball State vs. Northwestern」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Pick-Six Scored 以 5,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5(5,000%),以及 Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $107.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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