
Ball State vs. Kent State
核心摘要
根据「Ball State vs. Kent State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 29.5 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -1.5 以 9,855% 位居第二,Kent State O/U 20.5 以 9,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $414.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 29.5 (9,950%):O/U 29.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $24 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Spread -1.5 (9,855%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -1.5 保持着 9,855% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,855¢。
- Kent State O/U 20.5 (9,800%):以 9,800% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Kent State O/U 20.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Spread -6.5 (9,250%)、Spread -2.5 (9,150%),以及 Spread -5.5 (9,050%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 29.5 | 9950.0% | $24 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | Spread -1.5 | 9855.0% | $5.1K | 9855¢ | -9755¢ |
| 3 | Kent State O/U 20.5 | 9800.0% | $50 | 9800¢ | -9700¢ |
| 4 | Spread -6.5 | 9250.0% | $1.9K | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 5 | Spread -2.5 | 9150.0% | $42.4K | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 6 | Spread -5.5 | 9050.0% | $574 | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 7 | Spread -3.5 | 9000.0% | $36.2K | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 8 | O/U 31.5 | 9000.0% | $23 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 9 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 10 | Kent State O/U 23.5 | 9000.0% | $50 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 11 | Spread -10.5 | 8650.0% | $20 | 8650¢ | -8550¢ |
| 12 | Spread -9.5 | 8600.0% | $51 | 8600¢ | -8500¢ |
| 13 | Spread -4.5 | 8550.0% | $1.5K | 8550¢ | -8450¢ |
| 14 | Spread -7.5 | 7950.0% | $100 | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 15 | Spread -11.5 | 7350.0% | $292 | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 16 | O/U 33.5 | 6150.0% | $64 | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 17 | Spread -14.5 | 5650.0% | $6.9K | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 18 | O/U 39.5 | 5250.0% | $2.0K | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 19 | Spread -0.5 | 5050.0% | $2.3K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 20 | Spread -12.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 21 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Spread -18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | $53 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | O/U 37.5 | 5000.0% | $39 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | O/U 41.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | O/U 43.5 | 5000.0% | $25 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | O/U 47.5 | 5000.0% | $50 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | O/U 55.5 | 5000.0% | $53 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | O/U 59.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | O/U 61.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | O/U 65.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | O/U 67.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 2H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Ball State O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Ball State O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Ball State O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Kent State O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Kent State O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Ball State 2H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Ball State 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Ball State 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Kent State 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Kent State 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Kent State 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Ball State O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Kent State O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | Ball State vs. Kent State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 132 | Spread -21.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 133 | Spread -24.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 134 | Spread -12.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 135 | Spread -0.5 | 4850.0% | $2.3K | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 136 | Spread -17.5 | 4600.0% | $967 | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 137 | Spread -20.5 | 4150.0% | $20 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 138 | Kent State O/U 26.5 | 2900.0% | $266 | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 139 | Ball State O/U 20.5 | 2100.0% | — | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 140 | O/U 45.5 | 1950.0% | $1.8K | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 141 | O/U 53.5 | 1305.0% | $243 | 1305¢ | -1205¢ |
| 142 | O/U 51.5 | 1300.0% | $19.6K | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 143 | Ball State O/U 23.5 | 1300.0% | $205 | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 144 | O/U 49.5 | 1275.0% | $1.8K | 1275¢ | -1175¢ |
| 145 | 3Q O/U 9.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 146 | O/U 57.5 | 835.0% | — | 835¢ | -735¢ |
| 147 | O/U 63.5 | 795.0% | — | 795¢ | -695¢ |
| 148 | Spread -2.5 | 500.0% | $42.4K | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 149 | Spread -6.5 | 425.0% | $1.9K | 425¢ | -325¢ |
| 150 | Spread -10.5 | 420.0% | $20 | 420¢ | -320¢ |
| 151 | Spread -9.5 | 420.0% | $51 | 420¢ | -320¢ |
| 152 | Spread -16.5 | 415.0% | — | 415¢ | -315¢ |
| 153 | Spread -1.5 | 400.0% | $5.1K | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 154 | Spread -13.5 | 395.0% | — | 395¢ | -295¢ |
| 155 | O/U 69.5 | 260.0% | — | 260¢ | -160¢ |
| 156 | Spread -4.5 | 175.0% | $1.5K | 175¢ | -75¢ |
| 157 | Spread -3.5 | 135.0% | $36.2K | 135¢ | -35¢ |
| 158 | Ball State vs. Kent State | 45.0% | $287.0K | 45¢ | 55¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Ball State and Kent State, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game.
This market will resolve to "Kent State" if Kent State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 26, 2026
- 07:42 AMSUsuperlxj$1.26
Bought 3 Ball State for Ball State vs. Kent State at 0.42
- 07:42 AMSUsuperlxj$1.35
Bought 3 Kent State for Spread: Kent State (-3.5) at 0.45
- 07:42 AMAPAppleTiime$2,750.00
Bought 5000 Ball State for Spread: Kent State (-3.5) at 0.55
- 07:42 AMHOHomeRunHazard$91.91
Bought 224.18 Ball State for Ball State vs. Kent State at 0.41
- 06:30 AMHEHerdonia$45.06
Bought 109.90244 Ball State for Ball State vs. Kent State at 0.41
- 06:30 AMHEHerdonia$33.29
Bought 81.195122 Ball State for Ball State vs. Kent State at 0.41
- 05:10 AMHEHerdonia$37.50
Bought 91.463415 Ball State for Ball State vs. Kent State at 0.41
- 04:02 AMMOmooseborzoi$37.43
Bought 59.41 Under for Ball State vs. Kent State: 1H O/U 27.5 at 0.63
- 02:30 AMDRdrewxbt$15.00
Bought 25 Kent State for Ball State vs. Kent State at 0.6
- 02:28 AMSDsdfsdf44$5.68
Bought 5.86 Over for Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 29.5 at 0.97
- 02:28 AM6767576546$6.51
Bought 6.71 Over for Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 29.5 at 0.97
- 02:28 AMFRfrhe5y$6.22
Bought 6.41 Over for Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 29.5 at 0.97
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Ball State vs. Kent State」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 29.5 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,855%),以及 Kent State O/U 20.5(9,800%)。该市场总成交量已达 $414.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
