Ball State vs. Kent State

$414.5K Vol
2026年9月26日
Active
概率趋势
Kent State 99.5%
Ball State 0.5%

核心摘要

根据「Ball State vs. Kent State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 29.5 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -1.5 以 9,855% 位居第二,Kent State O/U 20.5 以 9,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $414.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 29.5 (9,950%):O/U 29.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $24 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,855%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -1.5 保持着 9,855% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,855¢。
  • Kent State O/U 20.5 (9,800%):以 9,800% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Kent State O/U 20.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -6.5 (9,250%)、Spread -2.5 (9,150%),以及 Spread -5.5 (9,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 29.59950.0%$249950¢-9850¢
2Spread -1.59855.0%$5.1K9855¢-9755¢
3Kent State O/U 20.59800.0%$509800¢-9700¢
4Spread -6.59250.0%$1.9K9250¢-9150¢
5Spread -2.59150.0%$42.4K9150¢-9050¢
6Spread -5.59050.0%$5749050¢-8950¢
7Spread -3.59000.0%$36.2K9000¢-8900¢
8O/U 31.59000.0%$239000¢-8900¢
94Q O/U 7.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
10Kent State O/U 23.59000.0%$509000¢-8900¢
11Spread -10.58650.0%$208650¢-8550¢
12Spread -9.58600.0%$518600¢-8500¢
13Spread -4.58550.0%$1.5K8550¢-8450¢
14Spread -7.57950.0%$1007950¢-7850¢
15Spread -11.57350.0%$2927350¢-7250¢
16O/U 33.56150.0%$646150¢-6050¢
17Spread -14.55650.0%$6.9K5650¢-5550¢
18O/U 39.55250.0%$2.0K5250¢-5150¢
19Spread -0.55050.0%$2.3K5050¢-4950¢
20Spread -12.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
21Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Spread -18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23O/U 35.55000.0%$535000¢-4900¢
24O/U 37.55000.0%$395000¢-4900¢
25O/U 41.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26O/U 43.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
27O/U 47.55000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
28O/U 55.55000.0%$535000¢-4900¢
29O/U 59.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30O/U 61.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31O/U 65.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32O/U 67.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
352H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
362H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
372H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
382H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392H O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
422H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
432H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
444Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
454Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
464Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
474Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
484Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
494Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
504Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
514Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
524Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
534Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Ball State O/U 17.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
55Ball State O/U 26.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
56Ball State O/U 29.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
57Kent State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Kent State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Ball State 2H O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Ball State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Ball State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Kent State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Kent State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Kent State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
652H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Ball State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Kent State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
684Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Ball State vs. Kent State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Spread -21.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
133Spread -24.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
134Spread -12.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
135Spread -0.54850.0%$2.3K4850¢-4750¢
136Spread -17.54600.0%$9674600¢-4500¢
137Spread -20.54150.0%$204150¢-4050¢
138Kent State O/U 26.52900.0%$2662900¢-2800¢
139Ball State O/U 20.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
140O/U 45.51950.0%$1.8K1950¢-1850¢
141O/U 53.51305.0%$2431305¢-1205¢
142O/U 51.51300.0%$19.6K1300¢-1200¢
143Ball State O/U 23.51300.0%$2051300¢-1200¢
144O/U 49.51275.0%$1.8K1275¢-1175¢
1453Q O/U 9.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
146O/U 57.5835.0%—835¢-735¢
147O/U 63.5795.0%—795¢-695¢
148Spread -2.5500.0%$42.4K500¢-400¢
149Spread -6.5425.0%$1.9K425¢-325¢
150Spread -10.5420.0%$20420¢-320¢
151Spread -9.5420.0%$51420¢-320¢
152Spread -16.5415.0%—415¢-315¢
153Spread -1.5400.0%$5.1K400¢-300¢
154Spread -13.5395.0%—395¢-295¢
155O/U 69.5260.0%—260¢-160¢
156Spread -4.5175.0%$1.5K175¢-75¢
157Spread -3.5135.0%$36.2K135¢-35¢
158Ball State vs. Kent State45.0%$287.0K45¢55¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Ball State and Kent State, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kent State" if Kent State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 07:42 AM
    SUsuperlxj
    $1.26

    Bought 3 Ball State for Ball State vs. Kent State at 0.42

  • 07:42 AM
    SUsuperlxj
    $1.35

    Bought 3 Kent State for Spread: Kent State (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 07:42 AM
    APAppleTiime
    $2,750.00

    Bought 5000 Ball State for Spread: Kent State (-3.5) at 0.55

  • 07:42 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $91.91

    Bought 224.18 Ball State for Ball State vs. Kent State at 0.41

  • 06:30 AM
    HEHerdonia
    $45.06

    Bought 109.90244 Ball State for Ball State vs. Kent State at 0.41

  • 06:30 AM
    HEHerdonia
    $33.29

    Bought 81.195122 Ball State for Ball State vs. Kent State at 0.41

  • 05:10 AM
    HEHerdonia
    $37.50

    Bought 91.463415 Ball State for Ball State vs. Kent State at 0.41

  • 04:02 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $37.43

    Bought 59.41 Under for Ball State vs. Kent State: 1H O/U 27.5 at 0.63

  • 02:30 AM
    DRdrewxbt
    $15.00

    Bought 25 Kent State for Ball State vs. Kent State at 0.6

  • 02:28 AM
    SDsdfsdf44
    $5.68

    Bought 5.86 Over for Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 29.5 at 0.97

  • 02:28 AM
    6767576546
    $6.51

    Bought 6.71 Over for Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 29.5 at 0.97

  • 02:28 AM
    FRfrhe5y
    $6.22

    Bought 6.41 Over for Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 29.5 at 0.97

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
事件盈亏
+$500.00
成交量
$99,999.99
持仓数
Ball State
SD2
SDTrading
事件盈亏
-$300.26
成交量
$73,530.55
持仓数
Kent StateBall StateKent State
DO3
Donkey14
事件盈亏
-$357.14
成交量
$23,809.52
持仓数
Kent State
BO4
Bozos14
事件盈亏
+$88.64
成交量
$21,413.13
持仓数
Kent StateKent State
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$228.07
成交量
$20,647.48
持仓数
Kent StateKent StateBall State+7
WR6
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$27.58
成交量
$17,731.95
持仓数
Ball StateBall State
HE7
Herdonia
事件盈亏
-$8.04
成交量
$11,751.85
持仓数
Ball State
IC8
ic4cream
事件盈亏
+$4.48
成交量
$11,478.99
持仓数
Ball State

常见问题

当前市场对「Ball State vs. Kent State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 29.5 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,855%),以及 Kent State O/U 20.5(9,800%)。该市场总成交量已达 $414.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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