
Arizona State vs. Texas A&M
核心摘要
根据「Arizona State vs. Texas A&M」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 53.5 以压倒性的 9,955% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 57.5 以 9,955% 位居第二,Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown 以 9,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $428K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 53.5 (9,955%):O/U 53.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,955¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1.4K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 57.5 (9,955%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 57.5 保持着 9,955% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,955¢。
- Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown (9,050%):以 9,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Mario Craver: Anytime Touchdown (9,050%)、Isaiah Horton: Anytime Touchdown (9,050%),以及 Reed Harris: Anytime Touchdown (9,050%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Arizona State O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 53.5 | 9955.0% | $1.4K | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 2 | O/U 57.5 | 9955.0% | $1.3K | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 3 | Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | Mario Craver: Anytime Touchdown | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | Isaiah Horton: Anytime Touchdown | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | Reed Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 7 | Arizona State O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Arizona State O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Arizona State O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Arizona State O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Texas A&M O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Texas A&M O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Texas A&M O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Texas A&M O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Marcel Reed: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Kyson Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Omarion Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Marquis Gillis: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Khamari Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Raiden Vines-Bright: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Terry Bussey: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Jason Brown Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Micah Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Richie Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Kelshaun Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Ashton Bethel-Roman: Anytime Touchdown | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 27 | Jamarion Morrow: Anytime Touchdown | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 28 | Cutter Boley: Anytime Touchdown | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 29 | Carsyn Baker: Anytime Touchdown | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 30 | Cardae Mack: Anytime Touchdown | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 31 | AJ Ia: Anytime Touchdown | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 32 | Houston Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 33 | Aaron Gregory: Anytime Touchdown | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 34 | Jalen Moss: Anytime Touchdown | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 35 | Jaren Hamilton: Anytime Touchdown | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Texas A&M, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game.
This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 12, 2026
- 09:33 AMNInigiri99$4.70
Bought 10 Under for Arizona State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 49.5 at 0.47
- 07:59 AMMAmatthematike$2.00
Bought 2.325578 Texas A&M for Arizona State vs. Texas A&M at 0.86
- 07:53 AMCACaribbeankid$40.81
Bought 71.6 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-13.5) at 0.57
- 07:22 AMNInigiri99$89.30
Bought 190 Under for Arizona State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 49.5 at 0.47
- 06:49 AMSTstringerr$5.00
Bought 5.81395 Texas A&M for Arizona State vs. Texas A&M at 0.86
- 06:15 AMKEkeysthetrader$15.00
Bought 28.846154 Over for Arizona State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 50.5 at 0.52
- 05:22 AMMOmooseborzoi$60.96
Bought 121.91 Arizona State for Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5) at 0.5
- 05:12 AMMOmooseborzoi$169.27
Bought 338.53 Texas A&M for 1Q Spread: Texas A&M (-5.5) at 0.5
- 05:08 AM0X0xe5065c99791f3f1EA0cf5791cF3b7D9463c47C70-1743743147670$6,858.88
Bought 13190.15077 Over for Arizona State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 50.5 at 0.52
- 04:56 AMMOmooseborzoi$24.18
Bought 48.36 Arizona State for Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5) at 0.5
- 04:45 AMSIsilver22$25.00
Bought 49.019608 Over for Arizona State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 50.5 at 0.51
- 04:44 AMMOmooseborzoi$9.57
Bought 19.14 Arizona State for Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5) at 0.5
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Arizona State vs. Texas A&M」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 53.5 以 9,955% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 57.5(9,955%),以及 Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown(9,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $428K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
