Arizona State vs. Kansas

$346.6K Vol
2026年9月19日
Active
概率趋势
Arizona State 65.0%
Kansas 35.0%

核心摘要

根据「Arizona State vs. Kansas」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,4Q O/U 7.5 以压倒性的 6,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Arizona State vs. Kansas 以 6,500% 位居第二,3Q O/U 10.5 以 6,350% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $346.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 4Q O/U 7.5 (6,950%):4Q O/U 7.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Arizona State vs. Kansas (6,500%):作为最可行的替代选项,Arizona State vs. Kansas 保持着 6,500% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,500¢。
  • 3Q O/U 10.5 (6,350%):以 6,350% 的概率位列第三,市场对 3Q O/U 10.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -3.5 (5,650%)、Spread -4.5 (5,100%),以及 2H Moneyline (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Arizona State O/U 3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
14Q O/U 7.56950.0%6950¢-6850¢
2Arizona State vs. Kansas6500.0%$264.0K6500¢-6400¢
33Q O/U 10.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
4Spread -3.55650.0%$1.1K5650¢-5550¢
5Spread -4.55100.0%$3.1K5100¢-5000¢
62H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Arizona State O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Kansas O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
93Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
104Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Spread -26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Spread -23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Spread -22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Spread -20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Spread -19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Spread -16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Spread -14.55000.0%$165000¢-4900¢
18Spread -13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Spread -12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Spread -11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Spread -10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Spread -9.55000.0%$2.6K5000¢-4900¢
23Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Spread -6.55000.0%$7.9K5000¢-4900¢
25Spread -5.55000.0%$21.5K5000¢-4900¢
26Spread -2.55000.0%$4.9K5000¢-4900¢
27Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Spread -2.55000.0%$4.9K5000¢-4900¢
32Spread -4.55000.0%$3.1K5000¢-4900¢
33Spread -7.55000.0%$165000¢-4900¢
34Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Spread -10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36Spread -11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Spread -14.55000.0%$165000¢-4900¢
38O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39O/U 32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40O/U 34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41O/U 36.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
42O/U 38.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
43O/U 40.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
44O/U 42.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
45O/U 46.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
46O/U 50.55000.0%$19.8K5000¢-4900¢
47O/U 52.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
48O/U 54.55000.0%$5.1K5000¢-4900¢
49O/U 56.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
50O/U 58.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
51O/U 60.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
52O/U 62.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
53O/U 64.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
54O/U 66.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
55O/U 68.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
56O/U 70.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
572H Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
582H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
592H Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
602H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
612H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
622H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
632H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
642H O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
652H O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
662H O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
672H O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
683Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
693Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
703Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
713Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
723Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
733Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
743Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
753Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
764Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
774Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
784Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
794Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
804Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
814Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
824Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
83Arizona State O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
84Arizona State O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
85Arizona State O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
86Arizona State O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
87Arizona State O/U 33.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
88Kansas O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
89Kansas O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
90Kansas O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91Kansas O/U 25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
92Kansas O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
93Arizona State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
94Arizona State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
95Arizona State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
96Kansas 2H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
97Kansas 2H O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
98Kansas 2H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
994Q O/U 13.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
100Spread -7.54150.0%$164150¢-4050¢
1014Q Spread -3.53900.0%3900¢-3800¢
1024Q O/U 19.53100.0%3100¢-3000¢
1033Q O/U 16.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
104O/U 44.52600.0%$3.7K2600¢-2500¢
105O/U 48.52550.0%$10.7K2550¢-2450¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Kansas, scheduled for September 19 at 12:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kansas" if Kansas win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 12:00 PM
    TItigartie
    $50.00

    Bought 100 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 10:59 AM
    CICip106
    $23.64

    Bought 47.28 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 07:51 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $8.96

    Bought 16 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-3.5) at 0.56

  • 07:51 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $32.16

    Bought 57.42 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-3.5) at 0.56

  • 07:08 AM
    WRwrldcup
    $80.00

    Bought 160 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 07:00 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $49.64

    Bought 88.65 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-3.5) at 0.56

  • 06:55 AM
    GOGolftango
    $50.00

    Bought 92.592593 Kansas for Spread: Arizona State (-6.5) at 0.54

  • 06:51 AM
    $8.51

    Bought 12.893938 Arizona State for Arizona State vs. Kansas at 0.66

  • 06:43 AM
    PHPhilHawesLover
    $50.00

    Bought 100 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 06:03 AM
    $19.44

    Bought 55.542858 Kansas for Arizona State vs. Kansas at 0.35

  • 04:11 AM
    DBdbgisit
    $30.00

    Bought 85.714286 Kansas for Arizona State vs. Kansas at 0.35

  • 04:11 AM
    DBdbgisit
    $70.00

    Bought 137.254902 Kansas for Spread: Arizona State (-5.5) at 0.51

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

RO1
royalestake
事件盈亏
+$17.50
成交量
$4,499.99
持仓数
Arizona StateOver
PL2
pleasent242
事件盈亏
-$20.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持仓数
Arizona State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$28.77
成交量
$2,689.97
持仓数
Under
NI4
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$7.58
成交量
$2,314.00
持仓数
Over
MO5
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$0.81
成交量
$2,070.46
持仓数
OverArizona State
LU6
lucio88
事件盈亏
+$10.24
成交量
$2,047.37
持仓数
Kansas
SD7
SDTrading
事件盈亏
-$30.08
成交量
$2,005.00
持仓数
Under
818
0x81f3…1f2a
事件盈亏
+$31.72
成交量
$1,975.70
持仓数
KansasArizona State

常见问题

当前市场对「Arizona State vs. Kansas」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,4Q O/U 7.5 以 6,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Arizona State vs. Kansas(6,500%),以及 3Q O/U 10.5(6,350%)。该市场总成交量已达 $346.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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