Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Southern University

$107.7K Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
概率趋势
Southern University 59.5%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 40.5%

核心摘要

根据「Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Southern University」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 49.5 以压倒性的 7,400% 获胜概率主导市场；Spread -5.5 以 6,250% 位居第二，O/U 51.5 以 5,900% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $107.7K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 49.5 (7,400%)：O/U 49.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,400¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Spread -5.5 (6,250%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Spread -5.5 保持着 6,250% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,250¢。
  • O/U 51.5 (5,900%)：以 5,900% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 51.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 53.5 (5,650%)、Spread -1.5 (5,450%)，以及 O/U 55.5 (5,100%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 2H Moneyline 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 49.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
2Spread -5.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
3O/U 51.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
4O/U 53.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
5Spread -1.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
6O/U 55.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
72H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Spread -10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10Spread -14.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11O/U 57.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
12Spread -3.54550.0%$73.6K4550¢-4450¢
13Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Southern University4350.0%$34.1K4350¢-4250¢
14Spread -1.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
15O/U 59.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
16O/U 61.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
17Spread -7.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
18Spread -14.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
19Spread -10.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
20Spread -7.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
21Spread -5.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
22Spread -3.52400.0%$73.6K2400¢-2300¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Southern University, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Arkansas-Pine Bluff" if Arkansas-Pine Bluff win the game.

This market will resolve to "Southern University" if Southern University win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 09:09 AM
    LYlysergic
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 Arkansas-Pine Bluff for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.55

  • 07:42 AM
    IAIamthelaw
    $8.00

    Bought 17.391305 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46

  • 06:05 AM
    ODOddstorm
    $205.28

    Bought 446.25 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46

  • 05:36 AM
    ODOddstorm
    $9.19

    Bought 19.98 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46

  • 04:58 AM
    USUser1244322
    $598.98

    Bought 1302.14 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46

  • 04:57 AM
    USUser1244322
    $2,790.03

    Bought 6065.29 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46

  • 04:35 AM
    SIsirPeeWee
    $3.22

    Bought 7 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46

  • 04:30 AM
    SIsirPeeWee
    $3.22

    Bought 7 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46

  • 04:26 AM
    181845
    $1,324.80

    Bought 2880 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46

  • 02:03 AM
    FNfnaot
    $4.00

    Bought 8.695653 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46

  • 01:50 AM
    NInigiri99
    $57.33

    Bought 147 Arkansas-Pine Bluff for Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Southern University at 0.39

  • 01:36 AM
    TAtatkamatv78
    $50.00

    Bought 108.695653 Southern University for Spread: Southern University (-3.5) at 0.46

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MD1
mde4life1986
事件盈亏
+$320.03
成交量
$58,218.13
持仓数
Arkansas-Pine BluffArkansas-Pine Bluff
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$355.69
成交量
$42,476.84
持仓数
Southern UniversitySouthern University
MO3
monkeyfish69
事件盈亏
+$67.93
成交量
$13,123.63
持仓数
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
GA4
Gaditima
事件盈亏
-$92.49
成交量
$8,074.99
持仓数
Southern UniversitySouthern University
US5
User1244322
事件盈亏
-$36.84
成交量
$7,367.43
持仓数
Southern University
186
1845
事件盈亏
-$14.40
成交量
$2,880.00
持仓数
Southern University
387
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$0.19
成交量
$1,941.18
持仓数
Southern UniversityArkansas-Pine Bluff
SN8
SnakeBall
事件盈亏
-$24.63
成交量
$1,559.00
持仓数
Southern University

常见问题

当前市场对「Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Southern University」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 49.5 以 7,400% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Spread -5.5（6,250%），以及 O/U 51.5（5,900%）。该市场总成交量已达 $107.7K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始