Arkansas State vs. Louisiana

$123.4K Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
概率趋势
Louisiana 66.5%
Arkansas State 33.5%

核心摘要

根据「Arkansas State vs. Louisiana」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 8,400% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 37.5 以 8,100% 位居第二,O/U 39.5 以 7,400% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $123.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (8,400%):O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,400¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 37.5 (8,100%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 37.5 保持着 8,100% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,100¢。
  • O/U 39.5 (7,400%):以 7,400% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 39.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 41.5 (6,900%)、Spread -0.5 (6,700%),以及 1H O/U 24.5 (6,650%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Louisiana O/U 23.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
2O/U 37.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
3O/U 39.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
4O/U 41.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
5Spread -0.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
61H O/U 24.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
7Louisiana O/U 23.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
8Spread -1.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
9O/U 43.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
10Spread -2.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
111H Spread -0.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
12O/U 45.55900.0%$1.1K5900¢-5800¢
131H Spread -2.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
14O/U 47.55550.0%$14.1K5550¢-5450¢
15Louisiana O/U 26.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
16Spread -3.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
17Spread -4.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
18Arkansas State O/U 20.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
192H Spread -2.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
20Spread -5.55150.0%$1.5K5150¢-5050¢
212H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
222H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
232H O/U 27.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
242H O/U 30.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
252H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
261H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
271H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
281Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
291Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
301Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
311Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
321Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
352Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
362Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
372Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
383Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
393Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
403Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
413Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
423Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
434Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
444Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
454Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
464Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
474Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Arkansas State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Arkansas State 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Arkansas State 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Louisiana 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Louisiana 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Louisiana 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Arkansas State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Arkansas State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Arkansas State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Louisiana 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Louisiana 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Louisiana 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Arkansas State vs. Louisiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Arkansas State vs. Louisiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Arkansas State vs. Louisiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Louisiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Louisiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Arkansas State vs. Louisiana: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Arkansas State vs. Louisiana: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Arkansas State vs. Louisiana: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1262H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1272H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1282H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1292H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1301Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1311Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1321Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1331Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1341Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1352Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1413Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1423Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1433Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1443Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1453Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1463Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1474Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1484Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1494Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1504Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1514Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1524Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1532H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
154Arkansas State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
155Louisiana O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1561Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1572Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1583Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1594Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
160O/U 49.54950.0%$13.7K4950¢-4850¢
1611H Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1622H Spread -3.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
163Spread -6.54700.0%$73.3K4700¢-4600¢
1641Q Spread -0.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
1651H Spread -4.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
166Spread -20.54385.0%$1634385¢-4285¢
1671H Spread -5.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
168O/U 51.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
169Arkansas State O/U 23.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
170Spread -7.54050.0%$154050¢-3950¢
171O/U 53.54000.0%$7324000¢-3900¢
1721H O/U 30.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
173Spread -8.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1741H Moneyline3650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
175Spread -10.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
1761H Spread -7.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
177Arkansas State vs. Louisiana3350.0%$18.3K3350¢-3250¢
178Spread -0.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
179O/U 55.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
180Spread -1.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
181Spread -13.53000.0%$2613000¢-2900¢
182Spread -2.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
183O/U 57.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
1841H O/U 27.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
185Spread -14.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
186Louisiana O/U 32.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
187Louisiana O/U 35.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
188Louisiana O/U 29.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
189Spread -3.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
190Spread -16.52400.0%$1602400¢-2300¢
191O/U 59.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
192Arkansas State O/U 32.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
193Spread -4.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
194Spread -5.52050.0%$1.5K2050¢-1950¢
195Spread -17.52000.0%$102000¢-1900¢
196O/U 61.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
197Spread -6.51850.0%$73.3K1850¢-1750¢
198Arkansas State O/U 26.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
199O/U 63.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
200Arkansas State O/U 29.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
201Spread -20.51650.0%$1631650¢-1550¢
202Spread -7.51450.0%$151450¢-1350¢
203Spread -8.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
204O/U 65.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
205Spread -10.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
206O/U 67.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
207Spread -13.5900.0%$261900¢-800¢
208O/U 69.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
209O/U 73.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
210O/U 75.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
211O/U 71.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
212Spread -17.5550.0%$10550¢-450¢
213Spread -14.5515.0%—515¢-415¢
214Spread -16.5465.0%$160465¢-365¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas State and Louisiana, scheduled for October 3 at 8:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Louisiana" if Louisiana win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 05:37 AM
    JOjole24
    $264.66

    Bought 395.01 Louisiana for Arkansas State vs. Louisiana at 0.67

  • 05:17 AM
    LOlocksnation
    $200.90

    Bought 410 Louisiana for Spread: Louisiana (-6.5) at 0.49

  • 04:14 AM
    PHPhilHawesLover
    $73.50

    Bought 150 Louisiana for Spread: Louisiana (-6.5) at 0.49

  • 04:12 AM
    SRsreca
    $3.35

    Bought 5 Louisiana for Arkansas State vs. Louisiana at 0.67

  • 03:57 AM
    NInigiri99
    $6.70

    Bought 10 Louisiana for Arkansas State vs. Louisiana at 0.67

  • 01:37 AM
    NInigiri99
    $1,130.96

    Bought 1688 Louisiana for Arkansas State vs. Louisiana at 0.67

Oct 2, 2026

  • 10:12 PM
    PHPhilHawesLover
    $135.33

    Bought 201.99 Louisiana for Arkansas State vs. Louisiana at 0.67

  • 10:11 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $29.40

    Bought 60 Louisiana for Spread: Louisiana (-6.5) at 0.49

  • 09:41 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $225.40

    Bought 490 Over for Arkansas State vs. Louisiana: O/U 49.5 at 0.46

  • 09:41 PM
    OKoknah
    $4.70

    Bought 10 Under for Arkansas State vs. Louisiana: O/U 47.5 at 0.47

  • 09:36 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $328.51

    Bought 586.63 Over for Arkansas State vs. Louisiana: O/U 45.5 at 0.56

  • 09:36 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $441.89

    Bought 981.97 Over for Arkansas State vs. Louisiana: O/U 49.5 at 0.45

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AR1
ArielFilipino
事件盈亏
-$151.48
成交量
$20,512.82
持仓数
Arkansas State
MO2
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
+$149.28
成交量
$15,042.80
持仓数
LouisianaOverOver
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$42.25
成交量
$14,919.57
持仓数
LouisianaUnderUnder+1
9A4
0x9a09…5286
事件盈亏
+$193.38
成交量
$9,334.50
持仓数
Arkansas State
VE5
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$4.59
成交量
$9,165.30
持仓数
LouisianaLouisianaUnder+1
MA6
MAGATheeStallion
事件盈亏
-$45.68
成交量
$6,011.88
持仓数
Arkansas State
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$62.09
成交量
$4,802.00
持仓数
LouisianaLouisianaOver+3
WE8
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
事件盈亏
+$22.50
成交量
$3,500.00
持仓数
LouisianaLouisiana

常见问题

当前市场对「Arkansas State vs. Louisiana」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 8,400% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 37.5(8,100%),以及 O/U 39.5(7,400%)。该市场总成交量已达 $123.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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