Arkansas vs. Utah

$223.1K Vol
2026年9月13日
Resolved
概率趋势
Utah 100.0%
Arkansas 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Arkansas vs. Utah」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Wayshawn Parker: Anytime Touchdown 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Devon Dampier: Anytime Touchdown 以 5,000% 位居第二,Braden Pegan: Anytime Touchdown 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $223.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Wayshawn Parker: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%):Wayshawn Parker: Anytime Touchdown 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Devon Dampier: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Devon Dampier: Anytime Touchdown 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Braden Pegan: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Braden Pegan: Anytime Touchdown 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Braylen Russell: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)、Sutton Smith: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%),以及 Chris Marshall: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 KJ Jackson: Anytime Touchdown 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Wayshawn Parker: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Devon Dampier: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Braden Pegan: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Braylen Russell: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Sutton Smith: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Chris Marshall: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7KJ Jackson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Ricky Johnson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Jaden Platt: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Daniel Bray: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Larry Simmons: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12CJ Brown: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Donovan Faupel: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Jamari Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Byrd Ficklin: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Steve Chavez-Soto: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Hunter Andrews: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Noah Bennee: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Creed Whittemore: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Cam Settles: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Ismael Cisse: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Kyri Shoels: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Jelani Watkins: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Utah, scheduled for September 12 at 10:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game.

This market will resolve to "Utah" if Utah win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 12, 2026

  • 11:43 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $2.60

    Bought 20 Arkansas for Spread: Arkansas (-5.5) at 0.13

  • 10:27 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.42

    Bought 17.12 Utah for Spread: Utah (-10.5) at 0.55

  • 10:23 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.40

    Bought 26.19 Utah for Spread: Utah (-10.5) at 0.55

  • 10:21 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.48

    Bought 3.02 Arkansas for Spread: Utah (-12.5) at 0.49

  • 10:18 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $132.27

    Bought 269.94 Arkansas for Spread: Utah (-12.5) at 0.49

  • 10:10 PM
    BIBinbesttoplane
    $104.00

    Bought 200 Utah for Spread: Utah (-12.5) at 0.52

  • 10:08 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $3.42

    Bought 6 Arkansas for Spread: Utah (-14.5) at 0.57

  • 09:59 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $6.41

    Bought 13.09 Arkansas for Spread: Utah (-12.5) at 0.49

  • 09:59 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $17.77

    Bought 36.27 Arkansas for Spread: Utah (-12.5) at 0.49

  • 09:52 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $24.19

    Bought 49.37 Arkansas for Spread: Utah (-12.5) at 0.49

  • 09:42 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.71

    Bought 9.06 Utah for Spread: Utah (-12.5) at 0.52

  • 09:40 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $41.96

    Bought 85.64 Arkansas for Spread: Utah (-12.5) at 0.49

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

NI1
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$146.33
成交量
$44,485.00
持仓数
OverArkansasArkansas+1
RA2
ratatatatatatatataaaa
事件盈亏
-$924.66
成交量
$36,986.55
持仓数
Under
MO3
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$215.71
成交量
$24,901.30
持仓数
UtahUtahUtah+3
IC4
ic4cream
事件盈亏
+$87.44
成交量
$17,482.00
持仓数
Utah
GA5
gagarin59
事件盈亏
-$943.80
成交量
$15,553.99
持仓数
ArkansasArkansasArkansas+1
IM6
imjustkenisghey
事件盈亏
+$0.16
成交量
$13,940.99
持仓数
Arkansas
FL7
Flipadelphia
事件盈亏
-$123.50
成交量
$8,349.33
持仓数
UtahUnderUtah
HE8
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
-$122.25
成交量
$8,157.83
持仓数
UtahOver

常见问题

当前市场对「Arkansas vs. Utah」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Wayshawn Parker: Anytime Touchdown 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Devon Dampier: Anytime Touchdown(5,000%),以及 Braden Pegan: Anytime Touchdown(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $223.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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