Appalachian State vs. NC State

$161.1K Vol
2026年9月27日
Active
概率趋势
NC State 90.7%
Appalachian State 9.0%

核心摘要

根据「Appalachian State vs. NC State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 46.5 以压倒性的 9,755% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -3.5 以 9,250% 位居第二,O/U 52.5 以 9,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $161.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 46.5 (9,755%):O/U 46.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,755¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -3.5 (9,250%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -3.5 保持着 9,250% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,250¢。
  • O/U 52.5 (9,250%):以 9,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 52.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -5.5 (9,100%)、3Q Spread -1.5 (9,050%),以及 3Q O/U 9.5 (9,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 NC State O/U 28.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 46.59755.0%—9755¢-9655¢
2Spread -3.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
3O/U 52.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
4Spread -5.59100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
53Q Spread -1.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
63Q O/U 9.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
7NC State O/U 28.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
83Q Moneyline9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
9Both Teams to Score Points - Q39050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
10Spread -9.58900.0%—8900¢-8800¢
11O/U 54.58750.0%$8.0K8750¢-8650¢
12Spread -6.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
13Spread -11.58100.0%$258100¢-8000¢
14Spread -12.57750.0%$3837750¢-7650¢
15Spread -13.57650.0%$67.1K7650¢-7550¢
16NC State O/U 34.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
17O/U 56.57200.0%$4.6K7200¢-7100¢
18Spread -10.57100.0%$1.7K7100¢-7000¢
19O/U 48.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
20O/U 50.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
214Q O/U 7.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
22Spread -8.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
23Spread -7.56250.0%$1736250¢-6150¢
24Spread -14.56200.0%$15.1K6200¢-6100¢
25O/U 60.56050.0%$7886050¢-5950¢
26O/U 58.55950.0%$6065950¢-5850¢
274Q Spread -3.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
28Spread -19.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
29NC State O/U 37.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
30Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Spread -31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Spread -34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33O/U 66.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
352H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
362H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
372H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
382H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
424Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
434Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
444Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
454Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
464Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
474Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
484Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
494Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Appalachian State O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Appalachian State O/U 20.55000.0%$285000¢-4900¢
52Appalachian State O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Appalachian State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54NC State O/U 31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55NC State O/U 40.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Appalachian State 2H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Appalachian State 2H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Appalachian State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59NC State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60NC State 2H O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61NC State 2H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
622H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63NC State O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Appalachian State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
654Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Appalachian State vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Appalachian State vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Appalachian State vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Appalachian State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Appalachian State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117NC State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118NC State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119NC State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123NC State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124NC State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Appalachian State vs. NC State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Appalachian State vs. NC State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127NC State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Appalachian State vs. NC State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
130Spread -17.54950.0%$3564950¢-4850¢
1312H Spread -6.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1322H Spread -9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1332H O/U 27.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
134Spread -15.54800.0%$954800¢-4700¢
135Spread -20.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
136Spread -18.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1374Q O/U 10.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
138Spread -16.54000.0%$1734000¢-3900¢
139O/U 68.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
140O/U 62.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
141Spread -22.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
142O/U 64.53650.0%$4503650¢-3550¢
143O/U 72.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
144O/U 74.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
145Spread -28.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
146Spread -24.52750.0%$7272750¢-2650¢
147Spread -21.52650.0%$422650¢-2550¢
148Spread -27.52200.0%$302200¢-2100¢
149O/U 70.51150.0%$3151150¢-1050¢
1503Q Spread -0.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1513Q Spread -1.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1523Q Spread -2.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1533Q Spread -3.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1543Q Spread -5.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1553Q O/U 12.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1563Q O/U 15.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1573Q O/U 18.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
158Spread -30.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
159Spread -6.5295.0%—295¢-195¢
160Spread -2.5270.0%—270¢-170¢
161Spread -3.5245.0%—245¢-145¢
162Appalachian State vs. NC State200.0%$60.2K200¢-100¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Appalachian State and NC State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Appalachian State" if Appalachian State win the game.

This market will resolve to "NC State" if NC State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $6.72

    Bought 14 Under for Appalachian State Team Total: O/U 20.5 at 0.48

  • 10:36 PM
    TATalvez10
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Over for Appalachian State vs. NC State: O/U 56.5 at 0.48

  • 10:36 PM
    ——
    $2.45

    Bought 5 Over for Appalachian State vs. NC State: O/U 56.5 at 0.49

  • 10:32 PM
    NInigiri99
    $24.30

    Bought 135 Appalachian State for Appalachian State vs. NC State at 0.18

  • 10:24 PM
    MAmaz26
    $317.20

    Bought 610 Appalachian State for Spread: NC State (-13.5) at 0.52

  • 10:16 PM
    POPollytical
    $18.00

    Bought 100 Appalachian State for Appalachian State vs. NC State at 0.18

  • 09:26 PM
    N4n4k
    $5.00

    Bought 6.02 NC State for Appalachian State vs. NC State at 0.83

  • 09:17 PM
    CICip106
    $27.36

    Bought 48 Appalachian State for Spread: NC State (-14.5) at 0.57

  • 09:17 PM
    ——
    $10.00

    Bought 20.4 NC State for Spread: NC State (-13.5) at 0.49

  • 09:15 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $2,426.08

    Bought 2958.63 NC State for Appalachian State vs. NC State at 0.82

  • 09:02 PM
    DADanshan11
    $4.64

    Bought 10.8 NC State for Spread: NC State (-15.5) at 0.43

  • 09:00 PM
    ODOddstorm
    $1.98

    Bought 2.41 NC State for Appalachian State vs. NC State at 0.82

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

IC1
ic4cream
事件盈亏
-$196.45
成交量
$39,289.00
持仓数
Appalachian StateAppalachian State
MA2
maz26
事件盈亏
+$35.56
成交量
$26,235.30
持仓数
Appalachian State
HE3
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
+$100.00
成交量
$20,000.00
持仓数
NC State
WR4
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$95.65
成交量
$19,319.99
持仓数
Appalachian StateOverAppalachian State
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$16.08
成交量
$18,461.42
持仓数
NC StateNC StateNC State+5
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$31.51
成交量
$17,415.58
持仓数
NC StateUnderNC State+4
DV7
dv-pm
事件盈亏
-$70.45
成交量
$14,090.00
持仓数
NC State
FA8
FaroeseNationalist
事件盈亏
-$19.03
成交量
$7,500.00
持仓数
NC State

常见问题

当前市场对「Appalachian State vs. NC State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 46.5 以 9,755% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -3.5(9,250%),以及 O/U 52.5(9,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $161.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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