Alabama vs. Mississippi State

$138K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
概率趋势
Alabama 66.5%
Mississippi State 33.5%

核心摘要

根据「Alabama vs. Mississippi State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 9,300% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 39.5 以 9,100% 位居第二,O/U 41.5 以 8,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $138K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (9,300%):O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,300¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 39.5 (9,100%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 39.5 保持着 9,100% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,100¢。
  • O/U 41.5 (8,950%):以 8,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 41.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 37.5 (8,700%)、O/U 43.5 (8,650%),以及 O/U 45.5 (8,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Alabama O/U 23.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.59300.0%—9300¢-9200¢
2O/U 39.59100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
3O/U 41.58950.0%—8950¢-8850¢
4O/U 37.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
5O/U 43.58650.0%—8650¢-8550¢
6O/U 45.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
7Alabama O/U 23.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
8O/U 47.58050.0%—8050¢-7950¢
9O/U 49.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
10Alabama O/U 20.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
11Alabama O/U 26.57300.0%—7300¢-7200¢
12O/U 51.57200.0%$237200¢-7100¢
131Q O/U 7.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
14O/U 53.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
15Alabama vs. Mississippi State6650.0%$11.3K6650¢-6550¢
16Spread -0.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
172Q O/U 7.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
18Spread -1.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
19Spread -2.56250.0%$1496250¢-6150¢
20O/U 55.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
212Q O/U 10.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
22Alabama O/U 29.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
23Mississippi State O/U 23.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
241H Moneyline5950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
254Q O/U 7.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
26O/U 57.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
272Q O/U 13.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
283Q O/U 7.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
294Q O/U 10.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
301H O/U 27.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
311Q O/U 10.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
321H Spread -0.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
33Spread -3.55550.0%$1755550¢-5450¢
34Alabama O/U 32.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
35O/U 59.55450.0%$585450¢-5350¢
36Alabama 1H O/U 13.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
372Q O/U 16.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
381H Spread -2.55350.0%$4.0K5350¢-5250¢
391H O/U 30.55300.0%$5945300¢-5200¢
402H O/U 27.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
414Q O/U 13.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
42Spread -4.55250.0%$1.0K5250¢-5150¢
433Q O/U 10.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
441Q O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
45Spread -5.55050.0%$63.1K5050¢-4950¢
462H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
472H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
482H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
493Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
502H Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
511H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
521H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
531H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Mississippi State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Alabama 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Alabama 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Mississippi State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Mississippi State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Alabama 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Alabama 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Alabama 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Mississippi State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Mississippi State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Mississippi State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1302H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1312H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1322H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1331Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1341Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1351Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1413Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1423Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1433Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1443Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1453Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1463Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1474Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1484Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1494Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1504Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1514Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1522H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
153Alabama O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
154Mississippi State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1552Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1563Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1574Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1582H O/U 30.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1594Q O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
160Mississippi State O/U 35.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
161O/U 61.54850.0%$2954850¢-4750¢
162Mississippi State O/U 32.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
163Game Goes to Overtime4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1642H Spread -3.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
165Spread -6.54750.0%$1704750¢-4650¢
1664Q Spread -1.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1671H Spread -3.54600.0%$1374600¢-4500¢
1684Q O/U 19.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1692Q O/U 19.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
1701Q Spread -0.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
171O/U 63.54350.0%$2274350¢-4250¢
1723Q O/U 16.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1732Q Spread -2.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
1741H Spread -5.54100.0%$5644100¢-4000¢
175Spread -7.54050.0%$23.1K4050¢-3950¢
1762H Spread -4.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
1773Q O/U 19.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1781H Spread -4.53950.0%$4.2K3950¢-3850¢
179Spread -8.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
180O/U 65.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
181Mississippi State O/U 26.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
182O/U 67.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
183Mississippi State 1H O/U 16.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
184Spread -10.53500.0%$3013500¢-3400¢
185Spread -0.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
1861Q Spread -3.53350.0%$183350¢-3250¢
187Spread -1.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
1881Q Moneyline3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
189Spread -13.53050.0%$563050¢-2950¢
190Spread -2.53050.0%$1493050¢-2950¢
1911H Spread -7.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
192O/U 69.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1931Q Spread -3.52900.0%$182900¢-2800¢
194Spread -14.52750.0%$2982750¢-2650¢
195Spread -20.52650.0%$62650¢-2550¢
196O/U 71.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
197Spread -3.52550.0%$1752550¢-2450¢
1981Q O/U 16.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
199Spread -16.52450.0%$4582450¢-2350¢
200Spread -4.52350.0%$1.0K2350¢-2250¢
201Spread -17.52250.0%$1702250¢-2150¢
202Spread -5.52250.0%$63.1K2250¢-2150¢
203O/U 73.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
204Spread -6.52150.0%$1702150¢-2050¢
205O/U 75.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
2061Q O/U 19.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
207Spread -20.51800.0%$61800¢-1700¢
208Spread -7.51650.0%$23.1K1650¢-1550¢
209Spread -8.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
210Spread -10.51250.0%$3011250¢-1150¢
211Spread -13.51050.0%$561050¢-950¢
212Spread -14.5800.0%$298800¢-700¢
213Spread -16.5700.0%$458700¢-600¢
214Spread -17.5655.0%$170655¢-555¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Mississippi State, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game.

This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 2, 2026

  • 10:03 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $6.80

    Bought 18.378379 Alabama for 1Q Spread: Alabama (-3.5) at 0.37

  • 09:41 PM
    YUyuyakowako
    $180.00

    Bought 295.081966 Mississippi State for Spread: Alabama (-7.5) at 0.61

  • 09:23 PM
    CHCharlieEcho1510
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462687 Alabama for Alabama vs. Mississippi State at 0.67

  • 09:12 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $23.97

    Bought 47 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 09:09 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 40 Mississippi State for Spread: Alabama (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:09 PM
    PApablera
    $8.00

    Bought 15.09434 Over for Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 59.5 at 0.53

  • 09:09 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 58.82353 Mississippi State for Alabama vs. Mississippi State at 0.34

  • 09:09 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 37.037036 Mississippi State for Spread: Alabama (-6.5) at 0.54

  • 09:08 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $9.40

    Bought 20 Over for Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 61.5 at 0.47

  • 09:08 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 40 Mississippi State for Spread: Alabama (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:06 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $5.17

    Bought 11 Over for Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 61.5 at 0.47

  • 09:00 PM
    CSCSBBB
    $5.00

    Bought 10.638298 Alabama for Spread: Alabama (-6.5) at 0.47

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
-$221.95
成交量
$53,302.07
持仓数
Alabama
492
0x4924…1188
事件盈亏
+$257.33
成交量
$51,465.03
持仓数
Mississippi State
AR3
ArielFilipino
事件盈亏
-$383.27
成交量
$23,487.88
持仓数
Mississippi StateMississippi State
NI4
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$333.68
成交量
$18,794.00
持仓数
Mississippi StateMississippi StateMississippi State+1
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$329.95
成交量
$15,467.59
持仓数
AlabamaAlabamaMississippi State+1
FO6
forecastication4
事件盈亏
+$167.16
成交量
$8,629.30
持仓数
AlabamaAlabamaAlabama+2
FL7
FlamePyro
事件盈亏
-$87.59
成交量
$7,199.99
持仓数
Alabama
MO8
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$30.70
成交量
$5,889.03
持仓数
AlabamaAlabamaAlabama+8

常见问题

当前市场对「Alabama vs. Mississippi State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 9,300% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 39.5(9,100%),以及 O/U 41.5(8,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $138K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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