Air Force vs. Nevada

$381.5K Vol
2026年9月27日
Active
概率趋势
Air Force 54.4%
Nevada 45.7%

核心摘要

根据「Air Force vs. Nevada」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 54.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 56.5 以 9,965% 位居第二,O/U 50.5 以 9,960% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $381.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 54.5 (9,995%):O/U 54.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 56.5 (9,965%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 56.5 保持着 9,965% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,965¢。
  • O/U 50.5 (9,960%):以 9,960% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 50.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 62.5 (9,420%)、Air Force O/U 27.5 (9,000%),以及 Air Force vs. Nevada (5,700%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 54.59995.0%$19995¢-9895¢
2O/U 56.59965.0%$29965¢-9865¢
3O/U 50.59960.0%$12.1K9960¢-9860¢
4O/U 62.59420.0%—9420¢-9320¢
5Air Force O/U 27.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
6Air Force vs. Nevada5700.0%$266.3K5700¢-5600¢
7Spread -1.55550.0%$695550¢-5450¢
8Spread -26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Spread -23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Spread -22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Spread -19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Spread -12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Spread -0.55000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
15Spread -0.55000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
16Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17O/U 58.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18O/U 60.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19O/U 64.55000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
20O/U 66.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
212H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
222H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
232H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
242H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
252H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
262H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
274Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
284Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
294Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
304Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
314Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
324Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Air Force O/U 30.55000.0%$155000¢-4900¢
34Air Force O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Nevada O/U 27.55000.0%$305000¢-4900¢
362H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Air Force O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Nevada O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
394Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Air Force vs. Nevada: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Air Force vs. Nevada: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Spread -20.54980.0%$1704980¢-4880¢
104Spread -14.54980.0%$2344980¢-4880¢
105Spread -11.54950.0%$94950¢-4850¢
106Spread -4.54950.0%$54950¢-4850¢
107Spread -1.54850.0%$694850¢-4750¢
108Spread -2.54800.0%$3.5K4800¢-4700¢
109Spread -4.54650.0%$54650¢-4550¢
110Spread -6.53900.0%$16.5K3900¢-3800¢
111Spread -3.53600.0%$7.5K3600¢-3500¢
112Spread -2.51700.0%$3.5K1700¢-1600¢
113Spread -7.51300.0%$2311300¢-1200¢
114Spread -5.51150.0%$50.2K1150¢-1050¢
115O/U 68.51110.0%$11110¢-1010¢
116Spread -11.5850.0%$9850¢-750¢
117Spread -10.5400.0%$165400¢-300¢
118Spread -16.5345.0%$158345¢-245¢
119Spread -13.5345.0%—345¢-245¢
120Spread -7.5280.0%$231280¢-180¢
121Spread -14.5145.0%$234145¢-45¢
122Spread -10.5145.0%$165145¢-45¢
123Spread -9.5145.0%$50145¢-45¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Air Force and Nevada, scheduled for September 26 at 10:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Air Force" if Air Force win the game.

This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:01 PM
    0X0x726BB0A9632a4719609576684A6733Ded6b82914-1773767632930
    $10.00

    Bought 14.705881 Air Force for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.68

  • 09:27 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $38.79

    Bought 77.58 Over for Air Force vs. Nevada: O/U 50.5 at 0.5

  • 08:11 PM
    BAbarbar733
    $2.72

    Bought 4 Air Force for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.68

  • 07:52 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $958.09

    Bought 1408.955881 Air Force for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.68

  • 07:23 PM
    NInigiri99
    $13.86

    Bought 42 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

  • 07:20 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.24

    Bought 28 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

  • 07:13 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.66

    Bought 8.05 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

  • 07:09 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $33.64

    Bought 63.47 Nevada for Spread: Air Force (-6.5) at 0.53

  • 06:53 PM
    NInigiri99
    $8.91

    Bought 27 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

  • 06:47 PM
    NInigiri99
    $5.28

    Bought 16 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

  • 06:30 PM
    NInigiri99
    $4.62

    Bought 14 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

  • 06:20 PM
    NInigiri99
    $1.65

    Bought 5 Nevada for Air Force vs. Nevada at 0.33

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AG1
AgriasOaks
事件盈亏
+$806.13
成交量
$40,199.96
持仓数
Nevada
PH2
phonesculptor
事件盈亏
-$1,501.00
成交量
$38,000.00
持仓数
Air Force
PR3
primm
事件盈亏
+$5,425.13
成交量
$34,324.55
持仓数
Air ForceOverAir Force+9
3D4
0x3DFb…8185
事件盈亏
-$1,033.63
成交量
$34,319.82
持仓数
NevadaNevada
WR5
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$7,222.11
成交量
$27,374.17
持仓数
NevadaOverOver
PE6
PendulumExchange
事件盈亏
-$5,115.36
成交量
$26,923.08
持仓数
Air Force
CA7
0xCa4e…4511
事件盈亏
+$3,546.70
成交量
$25,861.70
持仓数
NevadaNevadaNevada+2
MO8
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$15.34
成交量
$22,496.67
持仓数
NevadaUnderNevada

常见问题

当前市场对「Air Force vs. Nevada」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 54.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 56.5(9,965%),以及 O/U 50.5(9,960%)。该市场总成交量已达 $381.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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