
Pro Football: Bo Nix 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards
核心摘要
根据「Pro Football: Bo Nix 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,2,999.5+ passing yards 以压倒性的 7,800% 获胜概率主导市场;3,249.5+ passing yards 以 6,400% 位居第二,3,749.5+ passing yards 以 2,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- 2,999.5+ passing yards (7,800%):2,999.5+ passing yards 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,800¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $335 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- 3,249.5+ passing yards (6,400%):作为最可行的替代选项,3,249.5+ passing yards 保持着 6,400% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,400¢。
- 3,749.5+ passing yards (2,850%):以 2,850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 3,749.5+ passing yards 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 3,999.5+ passing yards (2,750%),以及 3,499.5+ passing yards (2,400%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 3,999.5+ passing yards 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2,999.5+ passing yards | 7800.0% | $335 | 7800¢ | -7700¢ |
| 2 | 3,249.5+ passing yards | 6400.0% | $100 | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 3 | 3,749.5+ passing yards | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 4 | 3,999.5+ passing yards | 2750.0% | $425 | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 5 | 3,499.5+ passing yards | 2400.0% | $390 | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
裁决规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Bo Nix records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Bo Nix does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Bo Nix recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常见问题
当前市场对「Pro Football: Bo Nix 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,2,999.5+ passing yards 以 7,800% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 3,249.5+ passing yards(6,400%),以及 3,749.5+ passing yards(2,850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $1.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
