
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego
核心摘要
根据「US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego 以压倒性的 9,250% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 8,150% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 8,100% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $54.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego (9,250%):US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,250¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $52.6K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 8.5 保持着 8,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,150¢。
- US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5 (8,100%):以 8,100% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 Winner (7,900%)、US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 3 Winner (7,500%),以及 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 Winner (6,750%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego | 9250.0% | $52.6K | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 8150.0% | — | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 8100.0% | $109 | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 Winner | 7900.0% | $163 | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 3 Winner | 7500.0% | — | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 Winner | 6750.0% | — | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 5600.0% | $23 | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 38.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Game Spread +/-6.5 | 5050.0% | $19 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 12 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 4 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 4300.0% | $1.6K | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 23 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 36.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 24 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 40.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 25 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 26 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Sonego in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Lorenzo Sonego.
This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Alexander Zverev.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 1, 2026
- 08:31 AM——$20.54
Bought 25.358021 Zverev for Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5) at 0.81
- 08:26 AM——$9.02
Bought 16.10714 Zverev for Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Sonego (+2.5) at 0.56
- 08:23 AMMAManuglnb$2.00
Bought 2.12765 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.94
- 08:05 AMTATamBosil$236.88
Bought 252 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.94
- 07:39 AMYOyohan75$293.41
Bought 564.240739 Over 3.5 for Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Sonego: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.52
- 07:38 AMYOyohan75$462.00
Bought 1050 Over 3.5 for Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Sonego: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.44
- 06:33 AMEMEmlBrg$4.99
Bought 71.285713 Lorenzo Sonego for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.07
- 06:16 AMRTrtmluck$10.00
Bought 12.195116 Zverev for Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5) at 0.82
- 06:02 AM0X0x747Cd6E935a57E25C4590bbFbea308751063443B-1758741425147$1,000.00
Bought 1063.829783 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.94
- 05:45 AM0X0xC0328F63730Fa640a3421a183765D0454F796C99-1771925964185$10.00
Bought 10.638283 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.94
- 04:57 AMHUhulinali$2,194.96
Sold 2360.17 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.93
- 04:52 AMALAlexisIZL2$20.00
Bought 21.276583 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.94
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego 以 9,250% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 8.5(8,150%),以及 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5(8,100%)。该市场总成交量已达 $54.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
