US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi

$47.7K Vol
2026年9月14日
Active
概率趋势
Alexander Zverev 89.5%
Luciano Darderi 10.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi 以压倒性的 8,950% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 7,800% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 Winner 以 7,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $47.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi (8,950%):US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $43.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set Handicap +/-1.5 (7,800%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set Handicap +/-1.5 保持着 7,800% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,800¢。
  • US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 Winner (7,750%):以 7,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 Winner (7,550%)、US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 Winner (7,450%),以及 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,400%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi8950.0%$43.4K8950¢-8850¢
2US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set Handicap +/-1.57800.0%$1.2K7800¢-7700¢
3US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 Winner7750.0%7750¢-7650¢
4US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 Winner7550.0%7550¢-7450¢
5US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 Winner7450.0%7450¢-7350¢
6US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 8.57400.0%7400¢-7300¢
7US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 9.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
8US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set Handicap +/-2.55250.0%$1.1K5250¢-5150¢
9Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 36.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 38.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 40.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Total Sets: O/U 3.54700.0%$2.0K4700¢-4600¢
24US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Game Spread +/-6.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
25US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 10.52650.0%2650¢-2550¢
26US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Total Sets: O/U 4.51700.0%$21700¢-1600¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Luciano Darderi in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Luciano Darderi.

This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Alexander Zverev.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 6, 2026

  • 09:01 PM
    CRcryptomoto
    $4.80

    Bought 40 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi at 0.12

  • 09:00 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.12359 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi at 0.89

  • 08:37 PM
    LILilybaeum
    $50.38

    Bought 458 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi at 0.11

  • 08:37 PM
    MAmatthematike
    $20.00

    Bought 22.22222 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi at 0.9

  • 08:02 PM
    PUPups1969
    $20.00

    Bought 22.22222 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi at 0.9

  • 07:54 PM
    0X0x8e9c786CCA6677CCe009ad865f8579833CA2efaB-1772993613414
    $2.00

    Bought 2.22222 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi at 0.9

  • 06:54 PM
    LUluckyguy168
    $1.00

    Bought 9.090908 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi at 0.11

  • 06:40 PM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $1.00

    Bought 1.11111 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi at 0.9

  • 06:17 PM
    0X0x277aAB45a33ACc60dA02c0a8470DcFf1D47FA728-1766331628912
    $125.00

    Bought 138.88888 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi at 0.9

  • 04:41 PM
    STstavr
    $9.70

    Bought 88.183332 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi at 0.11

  • 03:42 PM
    BAbalidao1
    $1.10

    Bought 1.22222 Alexander Zverev for US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi at 0.9

  • 03:34 PM
    NIninecatsguy
    $16.00

    Bought 20 Zverev for Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5) at 0.8

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

ZA1
zalupka999
事件盈亏
+$64.79
成交量
$12,957.18
持仓数
Alexander Zverev
CU2
Cuco84
事件盈亏
+$3.94
成交量
$11,177.59
持仓数
Alexander Zverev
NO3
Notradecopy
事件盈亏
-$27.27
成交量
$5,454.45
持仓数
Luciano Darderi
GA4
GamblingAddict12345
事件盈亏
-$27.27
成交量
$5,454.45
持仓数
Luciano Darderi
NM5
NM-P
事件盈亏
-$0.38
成交量
$2,923.31
持仓数
Luciano Darderi
UP6
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
-$11.46
成交量
$2,292.27
持仓数
Luciano Darderi
GC7
GC-P
事件盈亏
+$0.00
成交量
$2,254.89
持仓数
Luciano Darderi
PA8
Paul973973
事件盈亏
-$8.33
成交量
$1,666.67
持仓数
Alexander Zverev

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi 以 8,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set Handicap +/-1.5(7,800%),以及 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 Winner(7,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $47.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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