Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar

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2026年10月21日
Active
概率趋势
Rafael Jodar 62.5%
Botic van de Zandschulp 37.5%

核心摘要

根据「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.5 以压倒性的 5,550% 获胜概率主导市场;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.5 (5,550%):Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,550¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Completed Match 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 22.5 (4,950%)、Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 O/U 9.5 (4,900%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 8.5 (4,900%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
2Completed Match5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 22.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
5Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
6Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
7Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 23.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
10Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-3.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
11Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set Handicap +/-1.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
12Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 O/U 8.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
13Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 Winner4050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
14Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Total Sets: O/U 2.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
15Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar3800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
16Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 O/U 10.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Rafael Jodar in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Rafael Jodar.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Botic van de Zandschulp.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.5 以 5,550% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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