Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin

$365.1K Vol
2026年9月21日
Active
概率趋势
Elias Ymer 70.5%
Semen Pankin 29.5%

核心摘要

根据「Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 8.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 9.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $365.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 Winner (9,995%):Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 8.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 9.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 10.5 (9,995%)、Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,950%),以及 Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 21.5 (9,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 22.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 Winner9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 8.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
3Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 9.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
4Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 10.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
5Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Total Sets: O/U 2.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
6Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 21.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
7Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 22.59050.0%$89050¢-8950¢
8Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 23.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
9Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin7050.0%$363.0K7050¢-6950¢
10Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set Handicap +/-1.550.0%50¢50¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Semen Pankin in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Semen Pankin.

This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Elias Ymer.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 14, 2026

  • 10:44 AM
    0X0xaFE307d5e175ef92A0a5b1837ce55AD4a8C31F2a-1771719233708
    $5.00

    Bought 7.142856 Elias Ymer for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.7

  • 10:33 AM
    XSxsingularity
    $97.61

    Bought 139.442856 Elias Ymer for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.7

  • 10:33 AM
    TItiger111222444
    $9.75

    Bought 13.92857 Elias Ymer for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.7

  • 10:21 AM
    BRbronca007
    $15.00

    Bought 46.875 Semen Pankin for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.32

  • 10:04 AM
    8181385138
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Under for Ymer vs. Pankin: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.53

  • 09:42 AM
    HOhobo69
    $350.00

    Bought 500 Elias Ymer for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.7

  • 09:41 AM
    ABAbso74
    $5.00

    Bought 7.246377 Elias Ymer for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.69

  • 09:41 AM
    HOhobo69
    $440.00

    Sold 1000 Elias Ymer for Set Handicap: Elias Ymer (-1.5) vs Semen Pankin (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 09:40 AM
    HOhobo69
    $470.00

    Bought 1000 Elias Ymer for Set Handicap: Elias Ymer (-1.5) vs Semen Pankin (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 09:40 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanes
    $20.00

    Bought 28.985506 Elias Ymer for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.69

  • 09:34 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $5.12

    Bought 16 Semen Pankin for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.32

  • 09:26 AM
    FRfreund1kk
    $1.65

    Bought 5.15625 Semen Pankin for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin at 0.32

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SS1
SS787878
事件盈亏
-$2,029.45
成交量
$26,132.96
持仓数
Elias Ymer
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$355.75
成交量
$19,398.30
持仓数
Semen Pankin
FI3
fivethirty
事件盈亏
+$1,779.68
成交量
$16,949.15
持仓数
Semen Pankin
414
0x41BB…9766
事件盈亏
-$1,628.83
成交量
$14,452.97
持仓数
Elias Ymer
FD5
0xFD74…bA2a
事件盈亏
-$944.44
成交量
$11,111.00
持仓数
Elias Ymer
RN6
RN1
事件盈亏
+$130.62
成交量
$8,698.78
持仓数
Semen Pankin
RU7
Runemup
事件盈亏
-$525.22
成交量
$8,114.01
持仓数
Elias Ymer
TR8
tradecraft
事件盈亏
+$1,453.40
成交量
$7,127.59
持仓数
Semen Pankin

常见问题

当前市场对「Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 8.5(9,995%),以及 Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 9.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $365.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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