Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
核心摘要
根据「Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari Set 1 Winner 以压倒性的 6,700% 获胜概率主导市场；Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari 以 5,445% 位居第二，Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 5,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1.6M，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari Set 1 Winner (6,700%)：Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari Set 1 Winner 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,700¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $9.3K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari (5,445%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari 保持着 5,445% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,445¢。
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,250%)：以 5,250% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari Set Handicap +/-1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari Set 1 Winner | 6700.0% | $9.3K | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 2 | Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari | 5445.0% | $1.6M | 5445¢ | -5345¢ |
| 3 | Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5250.0% | $1.4K | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Seyboth Wild and Francesco Ferrari in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Francesco Ferrari.
This market will resolve to 'Francesco Ferrari' if Francesco Ferrari advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常见问题
当前市场对「Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari Set 1 Winner 以 6,700% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari（5,445%），以及 Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari Set Handicap +/-1.5（5,250%）。该市场总成交量已达 $1.6M，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。