
US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo
核心摘要
根据「US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 7,800% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 以 5,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $273.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner (9,995%):US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $14.7K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (7,800%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.5 保持着 7,800% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,800¢。
- US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,750%):以 5,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,100%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 36.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner | 9995.0% | $14.7K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 7800.0% | $4.4K | 7800¢ | -7700¢ |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5750.0% | — | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5100.0% | $1.4K | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 5 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | $440 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 36.5 | 5000.0% | $4.6K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 38.5 | 5000.0% | $1.4K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 40.5 | 5000.0% | $46 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo | 4650.0% | $393.7K | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 Winner | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner | 3400.0% | $1.8K | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 21 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-3.5 | 3300.0% | $637 | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 22 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 2800.0% | $139 | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 23 | US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 400.0% | $101 | 400¢ | -300¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Francisco Cerundolo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Francisco Cerundolo.
This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Jan-Lennard Struff.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 3, 2026
- 09:16 AMDUDukeKV$2.00
Bought 3.225805 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.62
- 09:12 AMTItinashi1199zz$4.80
Bought 7.741934 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.62
- 08:59 AMJEJeyromee$2.00
Bought 3.225805 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.62
- 08:51 AMBAbattlebeast$1.00
Bought 1.612902 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.62
- 08:48 AMMOmooseborzoi$14.69
Bought 27.2 Over for Struff vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 36.5 at 0.54
- 08:47 AMDYDynamo043$47.00
Bought 120.512819 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.39
- 08:47 AMGOGourmet1$1,160.92
Bought 3055.05 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.38
- 08:47 AMFAFaucetWiki$4.94
Sold 13 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.38
- 08:45 AMGOGourmet1$30,144.09
Bought 79326.56 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.38
- 08:45 AMSIsimonx11$1.00
Bought 1.5873 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.63
- 08:33 AMYIyixinh$5.00
Bought 13.157893 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.38
- 08:33 AMYIyixinh$5.00
Bought 13.157893 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.38
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.5(7,800%),以及 US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5(5,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $273.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
