
Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck
核心摘要
根据「Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Hunter Heck 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Ilia Simakin 以 50% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $279.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Hunter Heck (9,950%):Hunter Heck 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Ilia Simakin (50%):作为最可行的替代选项,Ilia Simakin 保持着 50% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 50¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hunter Heck | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | Ilia Simakin | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilia Simakin and Hunter Heck in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Hunter Heck.
This market will resolve to 'Hunter Heck' if Hunter Heck advances against Ilia Simakin.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 18, 2026
- 11:59 PMTLtlvtech$6.30
Bought 14 Ilia Simakin for Game Spread: Ilia Simakin (-5.5) vs Hunter Heck (+5.5) at 0.45
- 11:54 PMTLtlvtech$214.65
Bought 477 Ilia Simakin for Game Spread: Ilia Simakin (-5.5) vs Hunter Heck (+5.5) at 0.45
- 10:54 PMOSoska90$5.00
Bought 6.25 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 10:52 PMBAbattlecruiser$4.27
Bought 5.3375 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 10:52 PMBAbattlecruiser$5.46
Bought 6.825 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 09:37 PMPApaynetoni$4.11
Bought 19.571429 Hunter Heck for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.21
- 09:32 PMSJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq$21.78
Sold 726 Yes for Phan Thiet 4: Completed Match: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.03
- 09:28 PMSJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq$711.48
Bought 726 Yes for Phan Thiet 4: Completed Match: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.98
- 09:22 PMYOyoooogo$49.60
Bought 62 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 09:21 PM-K-kest-$9.84
Bought 12.3 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 09:21 PMPAPapanya$4.00
Bought 5 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 09:21 PM——$45.21
Bought 56.5125 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Hunter Heck 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Ilia Simakin(50%)。该市场总成交量已达 $279.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
