Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti

$524.4K Vol
2026年9月24日
Active
概率趋势
Marco Trungelliti 92.5%
Filip Pieczonka 7.5%

核心摘要

根据「Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti Game Spread +/-4.5 以 950% 位居第二,Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti 以 500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $524.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti Game Spread +/-4.5 (950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti Game Spread +/-4.5 保持着 950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 950¢。
  • Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti (500%):以 500% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti Game Spread +/-4.5950.0%950¢-850¢
3Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti500.0%$523.1K500¢-400¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Pieczonka and Marco Trungelliti in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Filip Pieczonka' if Filip Pieczonka advances against Marco Trungelliti.

This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Filip Pieczonka.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 17, 2026

  • 11:10 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 Under for Pieczonka vs. Trungelliti: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.54

  • 11:06 AM
    GRGreenei
    $41.84

    Bought 51.024388 Marco Trungelliti for Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.82

  • 09:45 AM
    MEmetro12
    $55.00

    Bought 100 Under for Pieczonka vs. Trungelliti: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.55

  • 09:10 AM
    XSxsingularity
    $9.80

    Bought 12.098763 Marco Trungelliti for Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.81

  • 09:10 AM
    TItiger111222444
    $1.00

    Bought 1.234568 Marco Trungelliti for Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.81

  • 09:01 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.234568 Marco Trungelliti for Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.81

  • 09:00 AM
    PAPaperCut1k
    $30.00

    Bought 37.037036 Marco Trungelliti for Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.81

  • 09:00 AM
    UNUNEB3154s4f251
    $5.96

    Bought 7.36 Marco Trungelliti for Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.81

  • 09:00 AM
    UNUNEB3154s4f251
    $5.96

    Bought 7.36 Marco Trungelliti for Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.81

  • 09:00 AM
    $49.03

    Bought 60.530863 Marco Trungelliti for Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.81

  • 08:48 AM
    SMSmartsNN
    $1.00

    Bought 1.234568 Marco Trungelliti for Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.81

  • 08:19 AM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $2.00

    Bought 2.469136 Marco Trungelliti for Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.81

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$10,688.04
成交量
$56,886.67
持仓数
Marco Trungelliti
HM2
HMLSF
事件盈亏
-$6,264.60
成交量
$36,565.89
持仓数
Filip Pieczonka
KK3
kkookkoo
事件盈亏
-$3,922.73
成交量
$26,926.30
持仓数
Filip Pieczonka
324
0x32b4…3653
事件盈亏
+$5,000.55
成交量
$12,227.76
持仓数
Marco Trungelliti
UP5
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
-$6,775.85
成交量
$11,275.69
持仓数
Filip Pieczonka
656
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
+$1,188.46
成交量
$10,726.39
持仓数
Marco Trungelliti
FL7
Flaznorp
事件盈亏
-$8,674.23
成交量
$9,450.63
持仓数
Filip Pieczonka
CA8
CandleHammerDrums
事件盈亏
-$6,312.38
成交量
$8,453.86
持仓数
Filip Pieczonka

常见问题

当前市场对「Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti Game Spread +/-4.5(950%),以及 Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti(500%)。该市场总成交量已达 $524.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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