US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi

$197.7K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
概率趋势
Benjamin Bonzi 66.5%
Alex Molcan 33.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 38.5 以压倒性的 5,400% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 Winner 以 5,050% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $197.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 38.5 (5,400%):US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 38.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,400¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $37 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 Winner (5,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 Winner 保持着 5,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,050¢。
  • Completed Match (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Completed Match 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 Winner (5,000%)、US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (5,000%),以及 US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 38.55400.0%$375400¢-5300¢
2US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 Winner5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
3Completed Match5000.0%$2.4K5000¢-4900¢
4US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.55000.0%$975000¢-4900¢
6US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 36.55000.0%$2695000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$4.9K5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Game Spread +/-5.55000.0%$215000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 40.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 Winner4150.0%$1314150¢-4050¢
26US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi3350.0%$189.8K3350¢-3250¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Benjamin Bonzi in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Benjamin Bonzi.

This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Alex Molcan.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 2, 2026

  • 08:30 AM
    $1.94

    Bought 2.895521 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.67

  • 08:27 AM
    COcomebackisriil
    $145.79

    Sold 220.89 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.66

  • 08:15 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 2.985072 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.67

  • 08:13 AM
    0X0x0599DC10a7934fEA2F60B497eA2B6335C7533C6a-1764172386024
    $54.25

    Sold 82.19 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.66

  • 07:58 AM
    FAFaust12
    $10.00

    Bought 14.925372 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.67

  • 07:46 AM
    $14.14

    Bought 21.104475 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.67

  • 07:39 AM
    LOLopestheve
    $16.50

    Sold 50 Alex Molcan for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.33

  • 07:35 AM
    0X0xC148A7290b4e1347d7eE3143E886dA708F9613d0-1778692292791
    $2.00

    Bought 2.985072 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.67

  • 07:26 AM
    RPrplc-ftbl
    $3.88

    Bought 5.791042 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.67

  • 07:04 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.857141 Alex Molcan for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.35

  • 06:54 AM
    NINiNo999
    $5,804.11

    Sold 9212.87 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.63

  • 06:54 AM
    NINiNo999
    $5,988.36

    Sold 9212.86 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.65

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AV1
AV23IUa
事件盈亏
+$1,339.30
成交量
$44,586.91
持仓数
Benjamin Bonzi
BA2
Bagwell306
事件盈亏
-$600.00
成交量
$20,000.00
持仓数
Alex Molcan
IL3
Ilgato
事件盈亏
-$79.01
成交量
$18,702.25
持仓数
Benjamin Bonzi
IT4
itsonlyamatteroftime
事件盈亏
+$684.86
成交量
$9,131.46
持仓数
Benjamin Bonzi
NI5
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$12.88
成交量
$8,866.00
持仓数
Alex Molcan
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$69.65
成交量
$8,527.29
持仓数
Benjamin Bonzi
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$142.29
成交量
$8,086.48
持仓数
MolcanAlex MolcanBonzi
RN8
RN1
事件盈亏
+$50.00
成交量
$7,798.06
持仓数
Alex Molcan

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 38.5 以 5,400% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 Winner(5,050%),以及 Completed Match(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $197.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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