
Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira
核心摘要
根据「Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 Winner 以 9,995% 位居第二,Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $227.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira (9,995%):Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $217.0K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 Winner (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 Winner 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
- Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 8.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Completed Match (9,960%)、Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,950%),以及 Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 10.5 (9,950%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Match O/U 21.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira | 9995.0% | $217.0K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 Winner | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Completed Match | 9960.0% | $7.7K | 9960¢ | -9860¢ |
| 5 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 6 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 7 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Match O/U 21.5 | 9950.0% | $17 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 8 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Match O/U 22.5 | 9950.0% | $15 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 9 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Match O/U 23.5 | 9950.0% | $4 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 10 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Game Spread +/-4.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 11 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 Winner | 50.0% | $1.6K | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 12 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 13 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 14 | Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 45.0% | $156 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Tiago Pereira in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Tiago Pereira.
This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Elmer Moeller.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 9, 2026
- 01:34 PMRYRyancharran47$25.00
Bought 36.764706 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.68
- 01:25 PMFEfelicestigres$5.00
Bought 7.35294 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.68
- 01:22 PMTETennism$3.40
Bought 5 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.68
- 12:47 PM——$10.00
Bought 14.705881 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.68
- 12:38 PMYWywordk$2.00
Bought 2.941175 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.68
- 11:46 AMHOhobo69$354.00
Bought 600 Tiago Pereira for Set Handicap: Elmer Moeller (-1.5) vs Tiago Pereira (+1.5) at 0.59
- 11:40 AMREreaaln$2.95
Bought 5 Tiago Pereira for Set Handicap: Elmer Moeller (-1.5) vs Tiago Pereira (+1.5) at 0.59
- 11:33 AMSDsdsvshub-2$1.00
Sold 20 No for Braga: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.05
- 11:30 AMSDsdsvshub-2$1.40
Bought 20 No for Braga: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.07
- 11:26 AMALAlvurdi$11.00
Bought 16.176471 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.68
- 11:04 AMSDsdsvshub-2$6.00
Sold 120 No for Braga: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.05
- 11:01 AMSDsdsvshub-2$8.40
Bought 120 No for Braga: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.07
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 Winner(9,995%),以及 Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 8.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $227.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
