China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys

$528.2K Vol
2026年10月9日
Active
概率趋势
Alex de Minaur 100.0%
Quentin Halys 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys 以压倒性的 9,260% 获胜概率主导市场;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $528.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys (9,260%):China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,260¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $590.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Completed Match 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys9260.0%$590.3K9260¢-9160¢
2Completed Match5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Quentin Halys in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Quentin Halys.

This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Alex de Minaur.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 12:31 AM
    Y3Y33
    $144.26

    Bought 515.214286 Quentin Halys for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys at 0.28

  • 12:27 AM
    SHShoveIsAllYouNeed
    $201.00

    Bought 410.204082 Quentin Halys for Game Spread: Alex de Minaur (-3.5) vs Quentin Halys (+3.5) at 0.49

  • 12:21 AM
    BAbarocco
    $160.00

    Bought 307.692308 Quentin Halys for Set Handicap: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Quentin Halys (+1.5) at 0.52

  • 12:17 AM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571429 Quentin Halys for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys at 0.28

  • 12:16 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $14.28

    Bought 19.561644 Alex de Minaur for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys at 0.73

  • 12:04 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $47.22

    Bought 64.684929 Alex de Minaur for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys at 0.73

  • 12:01 AM
    0X0x7e391a15247B055F04844C53b847fF9Ee349Fe16-1777047787890
    $48.00

    Bought 171.428572 Quentin Halys for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys at 0.28

Oct 2, 2026

  • 11:57 PM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571429 Quentin Halys for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys at 0.28

  • 11:57 PM
    CAcaspar1248
    $4.56

    Bought 6.246574 Alex de Minaur for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys at 0.73

  • 11:54 PM
    ORoracle91
    $5.00

    Bought 17.857143 Quentin Halys for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys at 0.28

  • 11:54 PM
    ORoracle91
    $5.00

    Bought 17.857143 Quentin Halys for China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys at 0.28

  • 11:49 PM
    LOlopesss
    $40.00

    Bought 76.923077 Alex de Minaur for Game Spread: Alex de Minaur (-3.5) vs Quentin Halys (+3.5) at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

VP1
Vps1
事件盈亏
-$82.71
成交量
$16,544.59
持仓数
Alex de Minaur
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$17.71
成交量
$3,529.03
持仓数
Quentin HalysQuentin Halys
5B3
0x5b62…1989
事件盈亏
+$15.00
成交量
$3,000.00
持仓数
Quentin Halys
994
0x99F0…6382
事件盈亏
+$14.53
成交量
$2,497.14
持仓数
Quentin HalysAlex de MinaurOver 2.5
FL5
Flaznorp
事件盈亏
+$9.78
成交量
$1,955.00
持仓数
Quentin Halys
KN6
KnightDasCapital
事件盈亏
+$7.48
成交量
$1,495.00
持仓数
Quentin Halys
GC7
GC-P
事件盈亏
+$5.07
成交量
$1,447.94
持仓数
Quentin Halys
FI8
fishermm
事件盈亏
-$6.60
成交量
$1,320.00
持仓数
Quentin Halys

常见问题

当前市场对「China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys 以 9,260% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $528.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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