St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone

$466.6K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
概率趋势
Harold Mayot 100.0%
Murphy Cassone 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Murphy Cassone 以压倒性的 7,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Harold Mayot 以 3,000% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $466.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Murphy Cassone (7,000%):Murphy Cassone 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Harold Mayot (3,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Harold Mayot 保持着 3,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 3,000¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Murphy Cassone7000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
2Harold Mayot3000.0%—3000¢-2900¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Murphy Cassone in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Murphy Cassone.

This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Harold Mayot.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 12:18 PM
    ——
    $6.79

    Bought 11.13 Harold Mayot for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.61

  • 12:16 PM
    PApauleta23
    $2.04

    Bought 4.744187 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.43

  • 12:16 PM
    DWdwedwd
    $0.11

    Bought 0.25 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.43

  • 12:16 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $168.00

    Bought 400 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.42

  • 12:16 PM
    THthestingsnake
    $126.00

    Bought 300 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.42

  • 12:16 PM
    REreezint
    $2.05

    Bought 5 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.41

  • 12:14 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $3.00

    Bought 5 Harold Mayot for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.6

  • 12:14 PM
    0X0x43839B041C8dA4De0f3ed8D1238714c4F8b2DBDD-1777627840708
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333332 Harold Mayot for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.6

  • 12:13 PM
    RIrixos
    $1.10

    Bought 110 No for St. Tropez: Completed Match: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.01

  • 12:12 PM
    0X0x3dECa5F84ab09E33a4025a0dF40f491e427179bc-1788335530811
    $2.20

    Bought 5.238096 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.42

  • 12:12 PM
    MAmathacewa
    $4.10

    Sold 10 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.41

  • 12:12 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $21.76

    Bought 51.809524 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.42

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SL1
slowbettor
事件盈亏
+$5,472.13
成交量
$16,420.82
持仓数
Murphy Cassone
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
-$451.03
成交量
$9,560.84
持仓数
Harold Mayot
F13
0xf12f…3239
事件盈亏
+$1,724.51
成交量
$5,334.90
持仓数
Murphy Cassone
CA4
Carlos10
事件盈亏
-$1,785.71
成交量
$4,761.90
持仓数
Harold Mayot
RN5
RN1
事件盈亏
-$1,648.20
成交量
$3,932.76
持仓数
Harold Mayot
KI6
kingflop
事件盈亏
+$1,190.08
成交量
$3,173.55
持仓数
Murphy Cassone
UP7
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
+$13.15
成交量
$2,092.88
持仓数
Murphy Cassone
LK8
lkjasdf
事件盈亏
-$550.00
成交量
$2,000.00
持仓数
Harold Mayot

常见问题

当前市场对「St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Murphy Cassone 以 7,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Harold Mayot(3,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $466.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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