US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng

$163.7K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
概率趋势
Michael Zheng 61.5%
Fabian Marozsan 38.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 7,350% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 6,700% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 36.5 以 5,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $163.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,350%):US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,350¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,700%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5 保持着 6,700% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,700¢。
  • US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 36.5 (5,550%):以 5,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 36.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,500%)、US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,350%),以及 US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 38.5 (5,150%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Completed Match 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
2US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.56700.0%$3.6K6700¢-6600¢
3US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 36.55550.0%$3135550¢-5450¢
4US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Game Spread +/-1.55500.0%$25500¢-5400¢
5US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.55350.0%5350¢-5250¢
6US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 38.55150.0%$6465150¢-5050¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 3 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 40.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
20US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 2 Winner4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
21US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.54450.0%$214450¢-4350¢
22US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 Winner4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
23US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng3850.0%$159.0K3850¢-3750¢
24US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 4.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
25US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
26US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set Handicap +/-2.52150.0%$622150¢-2050¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Michael Zheng in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Michael Zheng.

This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Fabian Marozsan.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 2, 2026

  • 08:33 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.60

    Bought 11.5 Fabian Marozsan for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.4

  • 08:21 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.127658 Under for Marozsan vs. Zheng: Match O/U 38.5 at 0.47

  • 08:16 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.278687 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.61

  • 06:58 AM
    GRgrunix
    $2.00

    Bought 5 Fabian Marozsan for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.4

  • 06:57 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $47.22

    Sold 118.05 Fabian Marozsan for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.4

  • 06:55 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $480.00

    Sold 1200 Fabian Marozsan for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.4

  • 06:55 AM
    0X0x30B22bD7DcC1a18A3e67155Ec16486CB6Ad48DB0-1786543190321
    $19.66

    Sold 33.33 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.59

  • 06:55 AM
    0X0x30B22bD7DcC1a18A3e67155Ec16486CB6Ad48DB0-1786543190321
    $20.00

    Bought 33.333332 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.6

  • 06:54 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $480.00

    Sold 1200 Fabian Marozsan for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.4

  • 06:54 AM
    GAGamblingAddict12345
    $21.00

    Sold 50 Fabian Marozsan for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.42

  • 06:54 AM
    NINiNo999
    $353.10

    Sold 619.48 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.57

  • 06:53 AM
    NINiNo999
    $4,347.91

    Sold 7627.91 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng at 0.57

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
事件盈亏
+$95.42
成交量
$19,051.17
持仓数
Michael Zheng
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
-$418.37
成交量
$10,963.47
持仓数
Fabian Marozsan
FA3
fastball67
事件盈亏
+$341.23
成交量
$9,748.34
持仓数
Michael Zheng
HI4
hi774c
事件盈亏
+$93.71
成交量
$9,210.67
持仓数
Fabian MarozsanMarozsan
RA5
RanaAmariPredicts
事件盈亏
-$459.86
成交量
$8,550.77
持仓数
Fabian Marozsan
RN6
RN1
事件盈亏
+$37.63
成交量
$7,776.90
持仓数
Fabian Marozsan
CO7
coolz122
事件盈亏
+$169.73
成交量
$6,789.00
持仓数
Michael Zheng
AL8
alpheclabs
事件盈亏
+$229.58
成交量
$6,559.48
持仓数
Michael Zheng

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,350% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5(6,700%),以及 US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 36.5(5,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $163.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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