Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt

$114.4K Vol
2026年10月1日
Active
概率趋势
Fabian Marozsan 100.0%
Alex Bolt 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Fabian Marozsan 以压倒性的 9,955% 获胜概率主导市场；Alex Bolt 以 45% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $114.4K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Fabian Marozsan (9,955%)：Fabian Marozsan 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,955¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Alex Bolt (45%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Alex Bolt 保持着 45% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 45¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Fabian Marozsan9955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
2Alex Bolt45.0%—45¢55¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Alex Bolt in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Alex Bolt.

This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Fabian Marozsan.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 23, 2026

  • 11:24 PM
    0X0x193a26284500cBae8e0cCd445b4BFfc45F0Ed2a9-1790111418433
    $1.00

    Bought 3.846154 Alex Bolt for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt at 0.26

  • 10:12 PM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.50

    Bought 14 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt at 0.75

  • 08:09 PM
    NInigiri99
    $2.60

    Bought 10 Alex Bolt for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt at 0.26

  • 08:09 PM
    NInigiri99
    $2.08

    Bought 8 Alex Bolt for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt at 0.26

  • 08:09 PM
    NInigiri99
    $53.04

    Bought 204 Alex Bolt for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt at 0.26

  • 07:47 PM
    0X0x96D61a3A181c250f89875e1aE0E349c609eF5892-1765363824906
    $6.00

    Bought 8 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt at 0.75

  • 07:45 PM
    ——
    $4.87

    Bought 6.49 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt at 0.75

  • 07:45 PM
    0X0x294b241F8b97845803FE34a9B99629E07cd422d2-1778884232768
    $24.52

    Bought 98.074231 Alex Bolt for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt at 0.25

  • 07:45 PM
    NONotradecopy
    $25.00

    Bought 100 Alex Bolt for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt at 0.25

  • 07:45 PM
    GAGamblingAddict12345
    $25.00

    Bought 100 Alex Bolt for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt at 0.25

  • 07:36 PM
    KIkishkatonka777
    $18.16

    Bought 72.64 Alex Bolt for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt at 0.25

  • 07:36 PM
    KAkantesher
    $10.62

    Bought 42.48 Alex Bolt for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt at 0.25

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

PO1
Po1yamory
事件盈亏
-$3.57
成交量
$762.07
持仓数
Fabian MarozsanAlex Bolt
NO2
Notradecopy
事件盈亏
+$2.50
成交量
$500.00
持仓数
Alex Bolt
ST3
strudel8517
事件盈亏
-$3.59
成交量
$453.43
持仓数
Fabian Marozsan
UP4
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
-$0.49
成交量
$305.64
持仓数
Alex Bolt
NI5
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$1.11
成交量
$222.00
持仓数
Alex Bolt
KA6
kabina-
事件盈亏
+$1.01
成交量
$211.49
持仓数
Alex Bolt
187
0x1861…2823
事件盈亏
+$1.00
成交量
$199.99
持仓数
Fabian Marozsan
388
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$0.99
成交量
$197.00
持仓数
Fabian Marozsan

常见问题

当前市场对「Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Fabian Marozsan 以 9,955% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Alex Bolt（45%）。该市场总成交量已达 $114.4K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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