Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar

$396K Vol
2026年10月19日
Active
概率趋势
Jiri Lehecka 60.5%
Rafael Jodar 39.5%

核心摘要

根据「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar 以压倒性的 5,800% 获胜概率主导市场;Completed Match 以 5,450% 位居第二,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-0.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $396K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar (5,800%):Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,800¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $373.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Completed Match (5,450%):作为最可行的替代选项,Completed Match 保持着 5,450% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,450¢。
  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-0.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-0.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar5800.0%$373.6K5800¢-5700¢
2Completed Match5450.0%$6.7K5450¢-5350¢
3Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Rafael Jodar in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Rafael Jodar.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Jiri Lehecka.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 12, 2026

  • 12:29 AM
    MEMelon91
    $50.00

    Bought 119.04762 Rafael Jodar for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar at 0.42

  • 12:26 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $645.33

    Bought 1536.5 Rafael Jodar for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar at 0.42

  • 12:23 AM
    GOGondolala
    $5.31

    Bought 9 Jiri Lehecka for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar at 0.59

  • 12:21 AM
    ANAnd-Gangsta
    $1.00

    Bought 2.380953 Rafael Jodar for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar at 0.42

  • 12:17 AM
    RYRyancharran47
    $2.00

    Bought 3.389831 Jiri Lehecka for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar at 0.59

  • 12:13 AM
    RYRyancharran47
    $20.00

    Bought 33.898304 Jiri Lehecka for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar at 0.59

  • 12:04 AM
    GOGota0
    $12.00

    Bought 20.338982 Jiri Lehecka for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar at 0.59

Oct 11, 2026

  • 11:59 PM
    NInigiri99
    $145.74

    Bought 347 Rafael Jodar for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar at 0.42

  • 11:56 PM
    SESebk09
    $3.00

    Bought 7.142858 Rafael Jodar for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar at 0.42

  • 11:55 PM
    KOKomb
    $1.95

    Bought 3.305085 Jiri Lehecka for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar at 0.59

  • 11:51 PM
    NInigiri99
    $10.08

    Bought 24 Rafael Jodar for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar at 0.42

  • 11:51 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.66

    Bought 23 Rafael Jodar for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar at 0.42

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

UP1
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
+$801.86
成交量
$18,184.28
持仓数
Rafael Jodar
FA2
fastball67
事件盈亏
+$59.78
成交量
$13,029.10
持仓数
Jiri Lehecka
5C3
0x5c54…f1d2
事件盈亏
+$2,790.01
成交量
$8,771.60
持仓数
Jiri LeheckaUnderUnder+1
ID4
Idontwantausername
事件盈亏
+$434.73
成交量
$6,687.99
持仓数
Jiri Lehecka
TO5
Tobias1909
事件盈亏
+$366.67
成交量
$6,666.57
持仓数
Jiri Lehecka
JT6
jtwyslljy
事件盈亏
-$180.03
成交量
$5,497.97
持仓数
OverRafael Jodar
JU7
Justluck9
事件盈亏
+$1,075.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
Jiri Lehecka
BE8
bestevertodoit
事件盈亏
-$97.02
成交量
$4,880.95
持仓数
Rafael Jodar

常见问题

当前市场对「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar 以 5,800% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,450%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-0.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $396K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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