San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith

2026年9月30日
Active
概率趋势
Colton Smith 51.0%
Timo Legout 49.0%

核心摘要

根据「San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 1 Winner 以 5,000% 位居第二,San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 2 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 1 Winner (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 1 Winner 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 2 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 2 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%)、San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%),以及 San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
8San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Match O/U 21.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Match O/U 22.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Match O/U 23.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Legout and Colton Smith in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Timo Legout' if Timo Legout advances against Colton Smith.

This market will resolve to 'Colton Smith' if Colton Smith advances against Timo Legout.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 1 Winner(5,000%),以及 San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Colton Smith Set 2 Winner(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始