Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri

$693.5K Vol
2026年9月17日
Active
概率趋势
Max Alcala Gurri 100.0%
Pavel Lagutin 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Game Spread +/-3.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri 以 5% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $693.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Completed Match (9,995%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Game Spread +/-3.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Game Spread +/-3.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri (5%):以 5% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Completed Match9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Game Spread +/-3.59995.0%$5.9K9995¢-9895¢
3Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri5.0%$686.4K95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Max Alcala Gurri in the Seville, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Max Alcala Gurri.

This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Pavel Lagutin.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 10, 2026

  • 10:32 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Max Alcala Gurri for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.67

  • 10:32 AM
    MAmarigliano
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462687 Max Alcala Gurri for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.67

  • 10:31 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Max Alcala Gurri for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.67

  • 10:07 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.20

    Bought 30 Pavel Lagutin for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.34

  • 09:05 AM
    BEBereal1
    $10.00

    Bought 30.303031 Pavel Lagutin for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.33

  • 06:18 AM
    1010n1s
    $10.00

    Bought 30.303031 Pavel Lagutin for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.33

  • 03:53 AM
    MAmarigliano
    $3.00

    Bought 5.357143 Lagutin for Set Handicap: Gurri (-1.5) vs Lagutin (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 03:52 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Lagutin for Set Handicap: Gurri (-1.5) vs Lagutin (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 03:52 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Lagutin for Set Handicap: Gurri (-1.5) vs Lagutin (+1.5) at 0.56

Sep 9, 2026

  • 05:31 PM
    0X0x5E584658B86169a39ecFDCcf890D8EE181985BF4-1777286053343
    $3.80

    Bought 5.42857 Max Alcala Gurri for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.7

  • 04:02 PM
    SEseek333
    $3.30

    Bought 5 Max Alcala Gurri for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.66

  • 03:59 PM
    0X0x08E3B589CA3F1E81F7D6fa1C6E01F62B71E5B53D-1782729005701
    $5.18

    Bought 7.848485 Max Alcala Gurri for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.66

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

781
0x78be…bde0
事件盈亏
+$13,357.13
成交量
$46,299.17
持仓数
Pavel Lagutin
XA2
xabidaking
事件盈亏
-$2,254.42
成交量
$44,285.65
持仓数
Max Alcala Gurri
GA3
Gambler661
事件盈亏
+$8,231.96
成交量
$38,992.76
持仓数
Pavel Lagutin
RN4
RN1
事件盈亏
-$18,882.21
成交量
$25,990.10
持仓数
Max Alcala Gurri
UP5
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
+$10,233.03
成交量
$11,411.27
持仓数
Pavel Lagutin
166
0x1602…9012
事件盈亏
-$2,848.39
成交量
$11,096.68
持仓数
Max Alcala Gurri
HO7
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$3,645.32
成交量
$10,159.95
持仓数
Pavel Lagutin
328
0x32b4…3653
事件盈亏
-$15,524.31
成交量
$9,873.44
持仓数
Max Alcala Gurri

常见问题

当前市场对「Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Game Spread +/-3.5(9,995%),以及 Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $693.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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