US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien

$192.6K Vol
2026年9月14日
Active
概率趋势
Learner Tien 63.5%
Karen Khachanov 36.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 7,600% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 6,650% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 以 5,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $192.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,600%):US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,600¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,650%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 保持着 6,650% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,650¢。
  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 (5,750%):以 5,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,450%)、US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-2.5 (5,400%),以及 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.5 (5,100%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Completed Match 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.57600.0%7600¢-7500¢
2US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.56650.0%$2.2K6650¢-6550¢
3US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.55750.0%$405750¢-5650¢
4US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.55450.0%5450¢-5350¢
5US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-2.55400.0%$365400¢-5300¢
6US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.54600.0%$2814600¢-4500¢
19US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 40.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
20US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 Winner4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
21US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
22US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
23US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien3650.0%$190.1K3650¢-3550¢
24US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 4.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
25US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
26US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.52300.0%2300¢-2200¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Learner Tien.

This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Karen Khachanov.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 7, 2026

  • 09:05 AM
    0X0xCad22bcC3C5f2e35F12313d968fd413F376BF315-1781670340741
    $10.00

    Bought 27.027026 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.37

  • 09:03 AM
    EAeakhmetgaliev
    $30.00

    Bought 46.875 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.64

  • 08:55 AM
    ABAbso74
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.64

  • 08:54 AM
    PEpekpym
    $1.50

    Bought 4.411763 Under 3.5 for Karen Khachanov vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.34

  • 08:44 AM
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462684 Over 3.5 for Karen Khachanov vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.67

  • 08:31 AM
    0X0x10BD06862579CE7fCc90E1602850b32a8C7c675C-1777947352899
    $5.00

    Bought 10.638296 Tien for Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Khachanov (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 08:31 AM
    0X0x10BD06862579CE7fCc90E1602850b32a8C7c675C-1777947352899
    $10.00

    Bought 15.625 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.64

  • 08:30 AM
    $1.93

    Bought 3.015625 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.64

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0xd8a5f5EeffA028d9DC76FF690Ad88fF92aB6360f-1781842982286
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702701 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.37

  • 08:24 AM
    POpolice0
    $3.15

    Sold 5 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.63

  • 08:16 AM
    0X0xCc6b29A00A01519c26EF2f40283A5e6159D71b16-1774803167604
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.64

  • 08:16 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $14,111.00

    Bought 38137.85 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.37

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AV1
AV23IUa
事件盈亏
+$594.55
成交量
$118,668.02
持仓数
Learner Tien
DE2
degenfren
事件盈亏
-$249.87
成交量
$49,999.99
持仓数
Learner Tien
NE3
neutralwave23
事件盈亏
-$3.89
成交量
$48,292.03
持仓数
Karen KhachanovOver 3.5
9F4
0x9f15…bdb3
事件盈亏
-$64.74
成交量
$25,781.45
持仓数
Karen Khachanov
FB5
0xfB07…2542
事件盈亏
+$0.02
成交量
$19,999.98
持仓数
Karen Khachanov
HI6
hi774c
事件盈亏
-$59.94
成交量
$15,302.88
持仓数
Karen Khachanov
997
0x99F0…6382
事件盈亏
+$17.11
成交量
$10,545.00
持仓数
Karen Khachanov
0F8
0F62
事件盈亏
-$41.45
成交量
$8,291.34
持仓数
Learner Tien

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,600% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5(6,650%),以及 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5(5,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $192.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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