
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery
核心摘要
根据「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Completed Match 以 9,995% 位居第二,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery Game Spread +/-3.5 以 5% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $428.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery (9,995%):Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $804.0K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Completed Match (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Completed Match 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery Game Spread +/-3.5 (5%):以 5% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery Game Spread +/-3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery | 9995.0% | $804.0K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Completed Match | 9995.0% | $15.1K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery Game Spread +/-3.5 | 5.0% | $5.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Arthur Fery in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Arthur Fery.
This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Karen Khachanov.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 9, 2026
- 01:52 AMSHShoveIsAllYouNeed$80.00
Bought 166.666667 Karen Khachanov for Game Spread: Karen Khachanov (-3.5) vs Arthur Fery (+3.5) at 0.48
- 12:18 AMMJMJ002$20.00
Bought 29.411765 Karen Khachanov for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery at 0.68
Oct 8, 2026
- 11:39 PM0X0x2346E91FEaDaa96f1eA5505d4A6a0AEd78e3793c-1767698481321$1.08
Bought 1.588234 Karen Khachanov for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery at 0.68
- 11:34 PM——$15.59
Bought 22.926471 Karen Khachanov for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery at 0.68
- 10:54 PMNEneutralwave23$4.67
Bought 6.867646 Karen Khachanov for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery at 0.68
- 10:53 PM0X0xf2Da6437EF9e01CF9B2cC393dbBE91A85ab59385-1777211546173$6.60
Bought 20 Arthur Fery for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery at 0.33
- 10:40 PMNEneutralwave23$38.80
Bought 57.058821 Karen Khachanov for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery at 0.68
- 10:39 PMNEneutralwave23$764.26
Bought 1123.911765 Karen Khachanov for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery at 0.68
- 10:27 PMLALafufu-xG$20.96
Bought 38.82 Arthur Fery for Set Handicap: Karen Khachanov (-1.5) vs Arthur Fery (+1.5) at 0.54
- 09:41 PMOMomnibus-076daa$557.35
Bought 1032.12963 Arthur Fery for Set Handicap: Karen Khachanov (-1.5) vs Arthur Fery (+1.5) at 0.54
- 09:26 PMMUmuymaurice$1.02
Bought 3.09091 Arthur Fery for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery at 0.33
- 08:59 PM0X0x4830bf39562B637C2eeE02cDD0E0eEC11105A59d-1738863608481$7.00
Bought 21.212122 Arthur Fery for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery at 0.33
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Completed Match(9,995%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery Game Spread +/-3.5(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $428.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
