US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi

$38K Vol
2026年9月11日
Active
概率趋势
Karen Khachanov 66.5%
Benjamin Bonzi 33.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 7,850% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi 以 6,650% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 6,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $38K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,850%):US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,850¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi (6,650%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi 保持着 6,650% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,650¢。
  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,550%):以 6,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 Winner (6,150%)、US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 Winner (6,000%),以及 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 Winner (6,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 36.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.57850.0%7850¢-7750¢
2US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi6650.0%$31.9K6650¢-6550¢
3US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.56550.0%$5456550¢-6450¢
4US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 Winner6150.0%6150¢-6050¢
5US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 Winner6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
6US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 Winner6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
7US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 36.55800.0%$4785800¢-5700¢
8US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 9.55750.0%5750¢-5650¢
9US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 38.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
10US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Game Spread +/-3.55250.0%$4495250¢-5150¢
11US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-1.55050.0%$5115050¢-4950¢
12US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Completed Match4950.0%$1.1K4950¢-4850¢
23US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 40.54600.0%$1074600¢-4500¢
24US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 10.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
25US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 4.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
26US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-2.52750.0%$2.0K2750¢-2650¢
27US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-1.52100.0%$5112100¢-2000¢
28US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-2.5850.0%$2.0K850¢-750¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Benjamin Bonzi in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Benjamin Bonzi.

This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Karen Khachanov.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 09:12 AM
    0X0x25f332C3163D9906B773da7a4eCF09b68E11d1Ab-1772975274187
    $10.00

    Bought 27.777776 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 09:12 AM
    0X0xCc6b29A00A01519c26EF2f40283A5e6159D71b16-1774803167604
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777776 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 08:58 AM
    DADarkMagician0700
    $5.00

    Bought 13.89 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 08:53 AM
    CACarlos10
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1538.461537 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.65

  • 08:27 AM
    NUNutaek
    $1.85

    Bought 5.138887 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 08:25 AM
    $39.74

    Bought 76.415093 Bonzi for Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) at 0.52

  • 08:25 AM
    0X0x8C996043E75D3cCd7A59a7072Ef832AC1A67ebdc-1779774789228
    $11.88

    Bought 33 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 08:14 AM
    0X0xEc9f344ac6B942BF2A8bb36Ebc0294a73Cd9e57b-1783498927827
    $1,500.00

    Bought 2307.692305 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.65

  • 07:53 AM
    TDtdmtdmtdmtdm
    $15.00

    Bought 23.076922 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.65

  • 07:53 AM
    RARainRain12
    $40.00

    Bought 61.53846 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.65

  • 07:50 AM
    MAMarki7890
    $3.00

    Bought 4.615382 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.65

  • 07:26 AM
    RCRcolacola
    $1.80

    Bought 5 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

PL1
pltrkr111
事件盈亏
+$1,971.43
成交量
$5,714.28
持仓数
Benjamin Bonzi
0X2
0x0x23…h8c9
事件盈亏
+$0.15
成交量
$5,301.78
持仓数
Benjamin Bonzi
AG3
AGUGava
事件盈亏
-$153.45
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
Bonzi
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$2,735.26
成交量
$4,175.98
持仓数
Karen Khachanov
655
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
-$20.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持仓数
Karen Khachanov
SE6
sentrio
事件盈亏
+$11.66
成交量
$2,872.46
持仓数
Benjamin Bonzi
EC7
0xEc9f…7827
事件盈亏
-$11.54
成交量
$2,307.69
持仓数
Karen Khachanov
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$40.13
成交量
$2,097.84
持仓数
Benjamin BonziKhachanovBonzi

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,850% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi(6,650%),以及 US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5(6,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $38K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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