China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino
核心摘要
根据「China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Adrian Mannarino 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场；Miomir Kecmanovic 以 5% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $730.5K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Adrian Mannarino (9,995%)：Adrian Mannarino 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Miomir Kecmanovic (5%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Miomir Kecmanovic 保持着 5% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adrian Mannarino | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Adrian Mannarino in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Adrian Mannarino.
This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Miomir Kecmanovic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 28, 2026
- 12:09 PMLIlifeonrock$51.24
Sold 104.58 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.49
- 12:09 PMUPUpTheBlues$22.16
Bought 44.32 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.5
- 12:09 PM0X0x93078B5DD1C34D0F288d2F51B23f1347520D9dA3-1775700757892$5.20
Bought 10.4 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.5
- 12:09 PMPBPBot-10$2.55
Bought 5 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.51
- 12:09 PMTHthestingsnake$15.60
Bought 31.2 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.5
- 12:09 PMTHthestingsnake$152.04
Sold 304.07 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.5
- 12:09 PM——$13.78
Bought 31.31 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.44
- 12:09 PMDIdid-i-ask-for-the-physio$176.00
Bought 400 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.44
- 12:09 PMJIjiffyjoker66888$2.80
Sold 5 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.56
- 12:09 PMADAdelius$933.33
Sold 1666.66 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.56
- 12:09 PMCOCon1trol$2.00
Sold 3.57 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.56
- 12:08 PMM1M123888$10.00
Bought 20.408164 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.49
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Adrian Mannarino 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Miomir Kecmanovic（5%）。该市场总成交量已达 $730.5K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。