Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto

$272.6K Vol
2026年10月8日
Active
概率趋势
Guido Justo 100.0%
Pedro Sakamoto 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 Winner 以 9,960% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $272.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto (9,995%):Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $272.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 Winner (9,960%):作为最可行的替代选项,Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 Winner 保持着 9,960% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,960¢。
  • Completed Match (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Completed Match 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Game Spread +/-3.5 (9,950%),以及 Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 O/U 10.5 (45%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Game Spread +/-3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto9995.0%$272.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 Winner9960.0%—9960¢-9860¢
3Completed Match9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
4Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Game Spread +/-3.59950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
5Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 O/U 10.545.0%—45¢55¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Guido Justo and Pedro Sakamoto in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Guido Justo' if Guido Justo advances against Pedro Sakamoto.

This market will resolve to 'Pedro Sakamoto' if Pedro Sakamoto advances against Guido Justo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 1, 2026

  • 12:56 PM
    ——
    $9.52

    Bought 13.7971 Guido Justo for Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto at 0.69

  • 12:16 PM
    KOKomb
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Guido Justo for Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto at 0.69

  • 12:07 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Under 2.5 for Guido Justo vs. Pedro Sakamoto: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.64

  • 12:03 PM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.24

    Bought 32 Pedro Sakamoto for Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto at 0.32

  • 11:20 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.538462 Under 2.5 for Guido Justo vs. Pedro Sakamoto: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.65

  • 10:45 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Pedro Sakamoto for Set Handicap: Guido Justo (-1.5) vs Pedro Sakamoto (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 10:44 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 Under for Justo vs. Sakamoto: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.59

  • 10:39 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Pedro Sakamoto for Set Handicap: Guido Justo (-1.5) vs Pedro Sakamoto (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 10:37 AM
    UNUNEB3154s4f251
    $141.45

    Bought 205 Guido Justo for Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto at 0.69

  • 10:36 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 Under for Justo vs. Sakamoto: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.59

  • 10:35 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Guido Justo for Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto at 0.69

  • 10:34 AM
    MIMikiMuster
    $2.39

    Bought 3.52 Guido Justo for Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto at 0.68

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$6,459.81
成交量
$53,484.48
持仓数
Pedro Sakamoto
AT2
ATAKAJr.
事件盈亏
-$5,499.99
成交量
$49,999.95
持仓数
Guido Justo
783
0x78be…bde0
事件盈亏
+$254.72
成交量
$18,093.75
持仓数
Guido Justo
UP4
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
+$2,418.49
成交量
$10,188.40
持仓数
Pedro Sakamoto
GH5
ghostorder
事件盈亏
-$1,092.57
成交量
$4,937.20
持仓数
Guido Justo
FL6
Flaznorp
事件盈亏
+$957.83
成交量
$4,823.44
持仓数
Pedro Sakamoto
XP7
XPX0086
事件盈亏
+$1,044.68
成交量
$4,734.33
持仓数
Pedro Sakamoto
008
0x0079…3749
事件盈亏
+$1,057.70
成交量
$4,230.77
持仓数
Pedro Sakamoto

常见问题

当前市场对「Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto Set 2 Winner(9,960%),以及 Completed Match(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $272.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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