US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis

$63K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
概率趋势
Rafael Jodar 88.5%
Thanasi Kokkinakis 11.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis 以压倒性的 8,850% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 7,900% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 Winner 以 7,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $63K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis (8,850%):US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,850¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $59.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.5 (7,900%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.5 保持着 7,900% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,900¢。
  • US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 Winner (7,750%):以 7,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 Winner (7,750%)、US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner (7,700%),以及 US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,850%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Game Spread +/-6.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis8850.0%$59.5K8850¢-8750¢
2US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.57900.0%$4757900¢-7800¢
3US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 Winner7750.0%7750¢-7650¢
4US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 Winner7750.0%7750¢-7650¢
5US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner7700.0%$1117700¢-7600¢
6US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 8.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
7US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Game Spread +/-6.56300.0%6300¢-6200¢
8US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-2.55550.0%$2.3K5550¢-5450¢
9Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 36.54750.0%$3974750¢-4650¢
21US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 9.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
22US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Total Sets: O/U 3.54250.0%$184250¢-4150¢
23US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 38.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
24US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 10.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
25US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 40.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
26US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Total Sets: O/U 4.51500.0%$2831500¢-1400¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Thanasi Kokkinakis in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Thanasi Kokkinakis.

This market will resolve to 'Thanasi Kokkinakis' if Thanasi Kokkinakis advances against Rafael Jodar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 1, 2026

  • 08:39 AM
    KRkratos00
    $17.80

    Bought 20 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 08:34 AM
    0X0xF7C3b6CB4BADC158f44CEF43364701D3A393EaC2-1778273249266
    $1.10

    Bought 2.340424 Kokkinakis for Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Kokkinakis (+2.5) at 0.47

  • 08:32 AM
    $14.57

    Bought 31 Kokkinakis for Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Kokkinakis (+2.5) at 0.47

  • 08:31 AM
    MAmatthematike
    $5.00

    Bought 5.617972 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 08:26 AM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $1.00

    Bought 1.12359 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 07:57 AM
    $300.00

    Bought 337.078645 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 07:41 AM
    FOfORZEN
    $17.80

    Bought 20 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 06:58 AM
    0F0F62
    $1,780.00

    Bought 2000 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 06:57 AM
    02027k
    $35.60

    Bought 40 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 06:35 AM
    EMEmlBrg
    $4.99

    Bought 41.583332 Thanasi Kokkinakis for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.12

  • 06:33 AM
    0X0xF7C3b6CB4BADC158f44CEF43364701D3A393EaC2-1778273249266
    $2.00

    Bought 2.24719 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 06:33 AM
    OLoliverlukschander
    $5.00

    Bought 5.617976 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

BR1
Brimoz
事件盈亏
-$304.31
成交量
$17,353.68
持仓数
Thanasi Kokkinakis
CU2
Cuco84
事件盈亏
+$44.08
成交量
$12,479.16
持仓数
Rafael Jodar
JM3
jmcmil
事件盈亏
-$198.44
成交量
$5,963.92
持仓数
Thanasi Kokkinakis
NM4
NM-P
事件盈亏
+$5.40
成交量
$5,414.63
持仓数
Rafael Jodar
YE5
yesmate
事件盈亏
-$75.00
成交量
$4,999.96
持仓数
Thanasi Kokkinakis
GA6
Gaditima
事件盈亏
+$121.98
成交量
$4,485.00
持仓数
Rafael Jodar
DI7
did-i-ask-for-the-physio
事件盈亏
-$53.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持仓数
Thanasi Kokkinakis
0F8
0F62
事件盈亏
-$5.00
成交量
$3,000.00
持仓数
Rafael Jodar

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis 以 8,850% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.5(7,900%),以及 US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 Winner(7,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $63K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始