China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea

$616.1K Vol
2026年10月9日
Active
概率趋势
Arthur Gea 64.5%
Hubert Hurkacz 35.5%

核心摘要

根据「China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 22.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 23.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $616.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%):China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 22.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $2.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 23.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Total Sets: O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,950%)、China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 10.5 (9,950%),以及 Completed Match (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Game Spread +/-1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 22.59995.0%$2.0K9995¢-9895¢
2China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 23.59995.0%$4189995¢-9895¢
3China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Total Sets: O/U 2.59950.0%$2139950¢-9850¢
4China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 9.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
5China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 10.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
6Completed Match5000.0%$1.9K5000¢-4900¢
7China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%$1185000¢-4900¢
8China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea4750.0%$589.4K4750¢-4650¢
9China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 2 Winner50.0%$2.9K50¢50¢
10China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set Handicap +/-1.550.0%$6.9K50¢50¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Arthur Gea in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Arthur Gea.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Hubert Hurkacz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 2, 2026

  • 01:04 PM
    ——
    $8.40

    Sold 8.4 Over for Hurkacz vs. Gea: Match O/U 22.5 at 1

  • 01:00 PM
    REREBT41
    $3.60

    Bought 15 Arthur Gea for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.24

  • 01:00 PM
    DOdocshark
    $1.00

    Bought 4.166667 Arthur Gea for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.24

  • 01:00 PM
    DMdmoralez
    $553.74

    Bought 738.32 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.75

  • 01:00 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $132.66

    Bought 181.72 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.73

  • 01:00 PM
    ISishaqueansari
    $1.00

    Bought 1.388889 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.72

  • 01:00 PM
    THtharunrj8
    $10.00

    Bought 13.698631 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.73

  • 01:00 PM
    DRdragon-strike
    $32.72

    Sold 45.45 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.72

  • 01:00 PM
    COComebackofdreams
    $14.00

    Bought 50 Arthur Gea for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.28

  • 01:00 PM
    ALalipapa
    $14.60

    Bought 20 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.73

  • 01:00 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $2.56

    Sold 9.47 Arthur Gea for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.27

  • 12:59 PM
    FLflatbarrel
    $45.08

    Sold 61.75 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.73

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FA1
fastball67
事件盈亏
+$100.03
成交量
$19,999.98
持仓数
Hubert Hurkacz
RA2
RanaAmariPredicts
事件盈亏
+$8.98
成交量
$17,580.82
持仓数
Hubert Hurkacz
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$67.48
成交量
$13,492.49
持仓数
Arthur Gea
SH4
shaw
事件盈亏
+$38.00
成交量
$7,600.00
持仓数
Arthur Gea
OK5
okekispop
事件盈亏
-$16.86
成交量
$3,372.09
持仓数
Arthur Gea
RO6
roddrriisr4
事件盈亏
-$14.88
成交量
$2,976.74
持仓数
Arthur Gea
0X7
0x0x23…h8c9
事件盈亏
-$11.63
成交量
$2,325.58
持仓数
Arthur Gea
PL8
pltrkr111
事件盈亏
-$11.63
成交量
$2,325.58
持仓数
Arthur Gea

常见问题

当前市场对「China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 22.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 23.5(9,995%),以及 China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Total Sets: O/U 2.5(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $616.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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