Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

$419.4K Vol
2026年9月22日
Active
概率趋势
Naoya Honda 100.0%
Nikoloz Basilashvili 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Nikoloz Basilashvili 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Naoya Honda 以 5,000% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $419.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Nikoloz Basilashvili (5,000%):Nikoloz Basilashvili 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Naoya Honda (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Naoya Honda 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Nikoloz Basilashvili5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Naoya Honda5000.0%5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili.

This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Naoya Honda.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 16, 2026

  • 09:55 AM
    AFAfh1994
    $2,031.25

    Sold 2031.25 Naoya Honda for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 1

  • 09:55 AM
    DADaily3trades
    $5.20

    Sold 5.2 Naoya Honda for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 1

  • 09:45 AM
    NEnenzin
    $8.33

    Sold 8.33 Naoya Honda for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 1

  • 09:44 AM
    BLblueyeti
    $34.15

    Sold 34.15 Naoya Honda for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 1

  • 09:39 AM
    RUruslanmoody
    $45.00

    Sold 100 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Game Spread: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-4.5) vs Naoya Honda (+4.5) at 0.45

  • 09:33 AM
    0X0xA0DC7ee1f7a230a1a20163271717f8F8752b586C-1770458016711
    $769.23

    Sold 769.23 Naoya Honda for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 1

  • 09:33 AM
    PAPato-C1988
    $76.92

    Sold 76.92 Naoya Honda for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 1

  • 09:33 AM
    KOkoxma
    $0.00

    Bought 84.96 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0

  • 09:31 AM
    HGhg13
    $14.39

    Sold 14.39 Naoya Honda for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 1

  • 09:30 AM
    SIsilvinek
    $319.99

    Sold 319.99 Naoya Honda for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 1

  • 09:28 AM
    HEheymmen
    $199.02

    Sold 199.02 Naoya Honda for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 1

  • 09:28 AM
    0X0x5e76622dacEaoqp
    $64.23

    Sold 64.23 Naoya Honda for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 1

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

F11
0xf12f…3239
事件盈亏
-$343.93
成交量
$3,312.13
持仓数
Naoya Honda
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$335.94
成交量
$3,212.13
持仓数
Nikoloz Basilashvili
SI3
simbich
事件盈亏
+$5.00
成交量
$100.00
持仓数
Nikoloz Basilashvili
AL4
alexma11224
事件盈亏
+$0.29
成交量
$9.44
持仓数
Naoya Honda
RA5
RadioFreeZerg
事件盈亏
-$0.20
成交量
$8.22
持仓数
Nikoloz Basilashvili
HA6
Hacksaw21
事件盈亏
-$0.20
成交量
$6.72
持仓数
Nikoloz Basilashvili
AL7
AlexisIZL2
事件盈亏
+$0.11
成交量
$3.77
持仓数
Naoya Honda
LF8
Lfg689
事件盈亏
-$0.03
成交量
$1.72
持仓数
Naoya Honda

常见问题

当前市场对「Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Nikoloz Basilashvili 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Naoya Honda(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $419.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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