Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt

$172.7K Vol
2026年10月10日
Active
概率趋势
Lloyd Harris 100.0%
Alex Bolt 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Lloyd Harris 以压倒性的 7,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Alex Bolt 以 3,000% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $172.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Lloyd Harris (7,000%):Lloyd Harris 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Alex Bolt (3,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Alex Bolt 保持着 3,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 3,000¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Lloyd Harris7000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
2Alex Bolt3000.0%—3000¢-2900¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Lloyd Harris and Alex Bolt in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Alex Bolt.

This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Lloyd Harris.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 12:39 AM
    HOhonduraslover
    $7.92

    Bought 9.428568 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.84

Oct 2, 2026

  • 09:40 PM
    ——
    $8.00

    Bought 9.523806 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.84

  • 09:38 PM
    0X0x9b6E8946dC2c6B7c1b05b92fC0Cd4C2176CdE478-1780658713422
    $5.00

    Bought 5.952381 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.84

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0xb0fFD402eFA450104b4574d4bbdCB490Ccb7865C-1739228095976
    $3.22

    Bought 3.833331 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.84

  • 09:20 PM
    0X0xAff1b5E12F494089BD956248046A12842EccB691-1790858343755
    $1.23

    Sold 7.71 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.16

  • 09:09 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $41.30

    Bought 242.941177 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.17

  • 09:08 PM
    PRprofitlaw
    $1.00

    Bought 5.882353 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.17

  • 08:55 PM
    STStefnc
    $20.00

    Bought 28.571426 Under 2.5 for Lloyd Harris vs. Alex Bolt: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.7

  • 08:49 PM
    ——
    $16.00

    Bought 100 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.16

  • 08:49 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 125 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.16

  • 07:57 PM
    ——
    $137.38

    Bought 808.117059 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.17

  • 07:26 PM
    KOKOVSAN
    $1.00

    Bought 1.176466 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.85

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

DC1
0xdc81…e889
事件盈亏
-$38.93
成交量
$915.26
持仓数
Alex Bolt
PO2
Po1yamory
事件盈亏
-$0.79
成交量
$509.59
持仓数
Lloyd HarrisUnderUnder
383
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$1.75
成交量
$350.00
持仓数
Lloyd Harris
5C4
0x5c54…f1d2
事件盈亏
+$93.97
成交量
$280.52
持仓数
Lloyd Harris
FL5
Flaznorp
事件盈亏
+$1.36
成交量
$271.13
持仓数
Lloyd Harris
OM6
omnibus-076daa
事件盈亏
-$1.21
成交量
$242.94
持仓数
Alex Bolt
977
0x97b4…b9b4
事件盈亏
+$1.13
成交量
$225.00
持仓数
Alex Bolt
HA8
Haradwaith
事件盈亏
+$0.69
成交量
$138.88
持仓数
Lloyd Harris

常见问题

当前市场对「Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Lloyd Harris 以 7,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Alex Bolt(3,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $172.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始