US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo

$169.9K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
概率趋势
Alejandro Tabilo 91.5%
Yannick Hanfmann 8.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-2.5 以 8,800% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-2.5 以 6,300% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $169.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,950%):US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $88 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-2.5 (8,800%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-2.5 保持着 8,800% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,800¢。
  • US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-2.5 (6,300%):以 6,300% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 Winner (5,600%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 36.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.59950.0%$889950¢-9850¢
2US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-2.58800.0%$48800¢-8700¢
3US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-2.56300.0%$16300¢-6200¢
4US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 Winner5600.0%5600¢-5500¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 36.55000.0%$2.0K5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 3.55000.0%$1865000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$1445000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 4.55000.0%$2.0K5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 38.55000.0%$1075000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 40.55000.0%$235000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 Winner3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
22US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo800.0%$171.6K800¢-700¢
23US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner110.0%110¢-10¢
24US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.545.0%45¢55¢
25US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.540.0%40¢60¢
26US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner5.0%$1.0K95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Alejandro Tabilo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Alejandro Tabilo.

This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Yannick Hanfmann.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 31, 2026

  • 05:52 AM
    0X0x8C996043E75D3cCd7A59a7072Ef832AC1A67ebdc-1779774789228
    $12.04

    Bought 28 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 05:43 AM
    SLSL8888
    $10.00

    Bought 17.241378 Alejandro Tabilo for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.58

  • 05:15 AM
    0X0x4830bf39562B637C2eeE02cDD0E0eEC11105A59d-1738863608481
    $12.00

    Bought 27.906975 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 05:07 AM
    DEdegenfren
    $5,800.00

    Bought 10000 Alejandro Tabilo for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.58

  • 04:32 AM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $2.48

    Bought 4.133332 Hanfmann for Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Hanfmann (+1.5) at 0.6

  • 01:30 AM
    SOsomeweirdguesser
    $50.00

    Bought 86.206895 Alejandro Tabilo for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.58

  • 12:22 AM
    NInigiri99
    $37.84

    Bought 88 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 12:22 AM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.15

    Bought 5 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 12:22 AM
    NInigiri99
    $430.00

    Bought 1000 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 12:22 AM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.15

    Bought 5 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 12:22 AM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.15

    Bought 5 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 12:22 AM
    NInigiri99
    $557.28

    Bought 1296 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

0B1
0b1
事件盈亏
+$3,683.38
成交量
$81,851.12
持仓数
Alejandro Tabilo
2C2
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
+$21.02
成交量
$61,250.66
持仓数
Yannick Hanfmann
FA3
fastball67
事件盈亏
+$16.84
成交量
$16,666.98
持仓数
Yannick Hanfmann
F34
0xf3a1…bf4b
事件盈亏
+$5,496.02
成交量
$15,481.69
持仓数
Alejandro Tabilo
DE5
degenfren
事件盈亏
+$3,350.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持仓数
Alejandro Tabilo
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
-$555.42
成交量
$7,021.71
持仓数
Yannick HanfmannHanfmann
NI7
Nikos888
事件盈亏
-$90.76
成交量
$6,151.64
持仓数
Yannick Hanfmann
TR8
tradecraft
事件盈亏
-$2,109.58
成交量
$5,472.65
持仓数
Yannick Hanfmann

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-2.5(8,800%),以及 US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-2.5(6,300%)。该市场总成交量已达 $169.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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